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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga 12.05.2026 · 19:30 Estadio El Sadar Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Osasuna emblem
Osasuna
L
W
L
D
D
vs
– : –
12 May · 19:30
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
W
D
W
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.86

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Osasuna
45%
Draw
45%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Osasuna ■ Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
45%
Form
55%
40%
Att
60%
56%
Def
44%
52%
Poisson distribution
48%
40%
H2h
60%
55%
Goals
45%
48%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.10.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
1 — 0
15.05.2025
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 0
12.01.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
1 — 0
19.05.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
1 — 4
28.09.2023
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 2
21.05.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
3 — 0
29.01.2023
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 1
19.02.2022
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 3
20.11.2021
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
1 — 0
16.05.2021
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
2 — 1

Last Matches

Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
02.05.2026
Osasuna vs Barcelona
1 — 2
26.04.2026
Osasuna vs Sevilla
2 — 1
21.04.2026
Athletic Club vs Osasuna
0 — 1
12.04.2026
Osasuna vs Real Betis
1 — 1
05.04.2026
Alaves vs Osasuna
2 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Osasuna and Atletico Madrid are set to clash at the Estadio El Sadar on May 12th, 2026. With both teams having distinct objectives, this match promises to offer an intriguing battle. Osasuna, sitting 10th in the league, will be eager to secure a strong finish, while Atletico Madrid, in 4th, are fighting to solidify their Champions League qualification.

Osasuna: Aiming to Finish Strong

Osasuna has showcased mixed form recently, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Despite their mid-table position, they have shown resilience against higher-placed teams, as evidenced by their narrow defeat to Barcelona and a solid victory over Sevilla. Their home form is a particular strength, with two wins and two draws in their last five outings at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna has averaged 1.40 goals per game at home while conceding 1.20, indicating a balanced approach that could frustrate even the strongest opponents. Fortunately for Osasuna, they have a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Atletico Madrid: Champions League Ambitions

Atletico Madrid finds themselves in a tight race for a top-four finish, with recent performances highlighting their offensive capabilities. They have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game over their last five matches but have also shown vulnerability at the back, conceding 1.60 goals on average. Their away form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five trips. Despite this, Atletico Madrid has proven their ability to compete on the road, as demonstrated by their 2-0 victory over Valencia. Like Osasuna, Atletico Madrid will have the advantage of a full-strength squad with no injury or suspension concerns.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Both Osasuna and Atletico Madrid have shown a propensity for high-scoring encounters, making "Total:Over: 2.5" a compelling prediction for this match. Osasuna's steady home scoring record, combined with Atletico Madrid's attacking prowess and defensive frailties, suggests that goals will be a feature of this match. Additionally, their head-to-head history includes high-scoring games, reinforcing the likelihood of an entertaining affair. With Osasuna's desire to impress their home fans and Atletico's need for points, expect an open and competitive contest. The main betting event focuses on goals, with a confidence score of 8 indicating strong backing for a high-scoring match.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have shown strong attacking form and vulnerability in defense, suggesting a goal-rich game.

2.86
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total:Over: 2.0
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
Pin-UP
W12.56
X3.45
W22.56
William Hill
W12.60
X3.40
W22.50
Marathonbet
W12.67
X3.62
W22.62
Betfair
W12.55
X3.50
W22.50
Pinnacle
W12.62
X3.59
W22.57
1xBet
W12.72
X3.68
W22.66
Betano
W12.62
X3.55
W22.57
Dafabet
W12.60
X3.55
W22.55

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
34 29 1 4 88
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
34 24 5 5 77
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
34 21 5 8 68
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
34 19 6 9 63
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
34 13 14 7 53
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
34 12 11 11 47
7
Getafe logoGetafe
34 13 5 16 44
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
34 13 5 16 44
9
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
33 11 10 12 43
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna ★
34 11 9 14 42
11
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
34 10 12 12 42
12
Valencia logoValencia
34 10 9 15 39
13
Espanyol logoEspanyol
34 10 9 15 39
14
Elche logoElche
34 9 11 14 38
15
Mallorca logoMallorca
34 10 8 16 38
16
Girona logoGirona
34 9 11 14 38
17
Alaves logoAlaves
34 9 9 16 36
18
Sevilla logoSevilla
33 9 7 17 34
19
Levante logoLevante
34 8 9 17 33
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
34 6 10 18 28
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