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Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 17.05.2026 · 17:00 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Referee: J. Munuera
Oviedo emblem
Oviedo
L
L
D
L
L
vs
– : –
17 May · 17:00
Alaves emblem
Alaves
W
W
D
L
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
23%
Oviedo
28%
Draw
49%
Alaves

Form Comparison

■ Oviedo ■ Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
22%
Form
78%
22%
Att
78%
50%
Def
50%
40%
Poisson distribution
60%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.01.2026
Alaves vs Oviedo
1 — 1
13.01.2023
Oviedo vs Alaves
1 — 0
29.10.2022
Alaves vs Oviedo
2 — 1
30.07.2022
Alaves vs Oviedo
0 — 0

Last Matches

Oviedo
Alaves
17.05.2026
Oviedo vs Alaves
0 — 1
14.05.2026
Real Madrid vs Oviedo
0 — 2
10.05.2026
Oviedo vs Getafe
0 — 0
03.05.2026
Real Betis vs Oviedo
0 — 3
26.04.2026
Oviedo vs Elche
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Oviedo
B. Domingues, L. Dendoncker, O. Ejaria
Alaves
F. Garces

As the La Liga season approaches its climax, Oviedo hosts Alaves at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Both teams find themselves in a precarious position near the bottom of the table, making this clash on May 17 a critical battle for survival. With Oviedo sitting in 20th place and Alaves just two spots above them in 18th, the stakes couldn't be higher for these two sides.

Oviedo's Struggles and Hope

Oviedo's recent form has been a mixed bag, reflecting their struggles throughout the season. With only two wins in their last five matches, the team has shown glimpses of potential, particularly in their 3-0 away victory against Celta Vigo. However, their inconsistency is evident in recent home performance, with two wins, a draw, and two losses from their last five outings. Oviedo has managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per match while conceding the same amount, highlighting their balanced yet fragile defense. Notably, Oviedo will have a full squad available with no current injuries or suspensions, giving them a slight edge at home.

Alaves and Their Offensive Edge

Alaves, though slightly better positioned in the league, have also faced their share of challenges. Their recent matches have been characterized by high-scoring affairs, including a 3-3 draw against Real Sociedad and a narrow 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid. Alaves has scored an impressive average of 2.00 goals in their last five matches, indicating a potent attacking force capable of troubling Oviedo's defense. However, their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded an average of 2.40 goals in the same period. As with Oviedo, Alaves will field their strongest squad, with no players sidelined due to injury or suspension.

Prediction: Goals Galore in a Relegation Battle

With both teams desperately needing points, this encounter promises to be an intense and potentially high-scoring affair. Oviedo's ability to grind out wins at home, coupled with Alaves' attacking prowess, suggests that goals are likely to feature prominently in this matchup. The prediction leans towards a game where both teams find the net, given their recent form and defensive issues. The most probable event might be "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given the attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Confidence in this prediction is relatively high, considering the statistics and current form of the teams.

In addition to the main prediction, other betting markets to consider include "Total: Over: 2.5," given the high-scoring nature of Alaves' recent games. "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" could also be a viable option, reflecting Alaves' offensive strength. Conversely, the defensive issues suggest "Total: Under: 3.0" might also hold value, as both teams will aim to tighten up at the back. Lastly, considering the evenly matched nature of their head-to-head results, a draw "X" remains a distinct possibility.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have been scoring and conceding frequently in recent matches, increasing the likelihood of both scoring in this match.

3.10
Odds
Total: Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
60%
Total: Under: 3.0
55%
X
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Oviedo vs Alaves
Pin-UP
W14.10
X3.30
W21.90
William Hill
W13.90
X3.25
W21.95
Bet365
W14.00
X3.30
W22.00
Marathonbet
W14.10
X3.40
W22.03
Unibet
W13.95
X3.40
W21.96
Betfair
W14.00
X3.20
W21.95
BetVictor
W14.00
X3.30
W22.00
Pinnacle
W14.14
X3.37
W22.04
SBO
W13.76
X3.18
W22.01
1xBet
W14.11
X3.45
W22.07
Betano
W14.35
X3.50
W21.98
888Sport
W13.90
X3.25
W21.95
Dafabet
W14.20
X3.40
W21.98

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
38 31 1 6 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
38 27 5 6 86
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
38 22 6 10 72
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
38 21 6 11 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
38 15 15 8 60
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
38 14 12 12 54
7
Getafe logoGetafe
38 15 6 17 51
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
38 12 14 12 50
9
Valencia logoValencia
38 13 10 15 49
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
38 11 13 14 46
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
38 12 10 16 46
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
38 13 6 19 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
38 12 7 19 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves ★
38 11 10 17 43
15
Elche logoElche
38 10 13 15 43
16
Levante logoLevante
38 11 9 18 42
17
Osasuna logoOsasuna
38 11 9 18 42
18
Mallorca logoMallorca
38 11 9 18 42
19
Girona logoGirona
38 9 14 15 41
20
Oviedo logoOviedo ★
38 6 11 21 29
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