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Real Madrid vs Oviedo Prediction

La Liga 14.05.2026 · 19:30 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Referee: R. De Burgos
Real Madrid emblem
Real Madrid
W
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
14 May · 19:30
Oviedo emblem
Oviedo
L
L
D
L
L
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
6.24

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Real Madrid
45%
Draw
10%
Oviedo

Form Comparison

■ Real Madrid ■ Oviedo
Real Madrid
Oviedo
62%
Form
38%
55%
Att
45%
55%
Def
45%
82%
Poisson distribution
18%
100%
H2h
0%
100%
Goals
0%
64%
Total
37%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.08.2025
Oviedo vs Real Madrid
0 — 3

Last Matches

Real Madrid
Oviedo
17.05.2026
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
1 — 0
14.05.2026
Real Madrid vs Oviedo
2 — 0
10.05.2026
Barcelona vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
03.05.2026
Espanyol vs Real Madrid
2 — 0
24.04.2026
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
1 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Real Madrid
A. Guler, A. Lunin, D. Ceballos, D. Huijsen, Eder Militao, F. Mendy, F. Valverde, Rodrygo
Oviedo
B. Domingues, L. Dendoncker, O. Ejaria
J. Lopez, K. Sibo

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Real Madrid hosts Oviedo at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on May 14, 2026. Real Madrid, sitting comfortably in second place, will be looking to solidify their position against an Oviedo side battling at the bottom of the table. With both teams having contrasting recent form, this matchup promises to offer intriguing dynamics.

Real Madrid's Commanding Presence at Home

Real Madrid has shown their prowess at home this season, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches at the Bernabéu. Scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game at home while conceding 1.40, Madrid's attacking capability is evident. In their recent encounters, they secured a win against Alaves and managed a draw against Girona, demonstrating resilience even against tough opposition. With no injuries or suspensions, Real Madrid will have a full-strength squad to choose from, which can be a significant advantage as they aim to maintain their strong home record.

Oviedo's Struggles on the Road

Oviedo, currently languishing in 20th position, has had a challenging season. Their away form highlights their struggles, having won just once in their last five outings, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per match. Despite a commendable 3-0 victory at Celta Vigo, recent defeats, including a heavy loss to Real Betis, underline their vulnerabilities when playing away. Like Real Madrid, Oviedo faces no issues with injuries or suspensions, meaning they, too, will field their strongest eleven. Despite this, their form suggests a formidable challenge ahead against a high-caliber Real Madrid side.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Considering both teams' recent performances and their current standings, this match leans significantly in favor of Real Madrid. Given Real Madrid's impressive scoring rate at home and Oviedo's defensive frailties on the road, the prediction leans towards multiple goals being scored. The most probable betting outcome is "Total:Over: 2.5," given the likelihood of Real Madrid's attacking threat overwhelming Oviedo's defense. With a confidence score of 8, this prediction is bolstered by statistical trends and Real Madrid's recent form. Additionally, betting markets such as "Win 1" and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" are probable, given the home side's current dominance and Oviedo's struggles. The match could also see both teams scoring, as Oviedo has shown they can find the net even in defeat.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Real Madrid's strong home scoring form and Oviedo's defensive weaknesses suggest multiple goals will be scored.

6.24
Odds
Win 1
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Real Madrid vs Oviedo
Pin-UP
W11.21
X6.50
W211.00
William Hill
W11.22
X6.50
W211.00
Bet365
W11.20
X7.00
W212.00
Marathonbet
W11.23
X6.95
W213.25
Unibet
W11.21
X7.00
W212.00
Betfair
W11.18
X6.50
W212.00
BetVictor
W11.18
X7.00
W215.00
Pinnacle
W11.21
X7.33
W212.98
SBO
W11.20
X6.57
W211.56
1xBet
W11.23
X7.14
W214.00
Betano
W11.24
X7.10
W213.00
888Sport
W11.22
X6.50
W211.00
Dafabet
W11.23
X7.00
W212.00

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
38 31 1 6 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid ★
38 27 5 6 86
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
38 22 6 10 72
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
38 21 6 11 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
38 15 15 8 60
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
38 14 12 12 54
7
Getafe logoGetafe
38 15 6 17 51
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
38 12 14 12 50
9
Valencia logoValencia
38 13 10 15 49
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
38 11 13 14 46
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
38 12 10 16 46
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
38 13 6 19 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
38 12 7 19 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves
38 11 10 17 43
15
Elche logoElche
38 10 13 15 43
16
Levante logoLevante
38 11 9 18 42
17
Osasuna logoOsasuna
38 11 9 18 42
18
Mallorca logoMallorca
38 11 9 18 42
19
Girona logoGirona
38 9 14 15 41
20
Oviedo logoOviedo ★
38 6 11 21 29
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