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La Liga

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 10.10.2026 · 15:00 Santiago Bernabéu Stadium Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Real Madrid emblem
Real Madrid
L
W
W
W
L
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 15:00
Villarreal emblem
Villarreal
W
W
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
68%
Real Madrid
18%
Draw
14%
Villarreal

Form Comparison

■ Real Madrid ■ Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal
60%
Form
40%
57%
Att
43%
57%
Def
43%
80%
Poisson distribution
20%
93%
H2h
7%
68%
Goals
32%
69%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.01.2026
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
04.10.2025
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
3 — 1
15.03.2025
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
1 — 2
05.10.2024
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
2 — 0
19.05.2024
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
4 — 4
17.12.2023
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
4 — 1
08.04.2023
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
2 — 3
19.01.2023
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
2 — 3
07.01.2023
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
2 — 1
12.02.2022
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
0 — 0

Last Matches

Real Madrid
Villarreal
20.09.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
1 — 2
15.09.2026
Elche vs Real Madrid
3 — 2
12.09.2026
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
4 — 1
08.09.2026
Real Madrid vs Inter
2 — 1
04.09.2026
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Real Madrid
Eder Militao, F. Mendy, R. Asencio, Rodrygo
D. Huijsen
Villarreal
T. Buchanan

Real Madrid welcomes Villarreal to the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium for what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Real Madrid, sitting fourth in the league, will aim to bounce back from their recent defeat to Real Betis, while Villarreal looks to recover from a mixed run of form that has seen them struggle against higher-tier opposition.

Real Madrid's Strong Home Form

Real Madrid has been impressive at home this season, maintaining an unbeaten record in their last five matches at the Santiago Bernabéu, scoring an average of 3.20 goals per game and conceding just 1.00. Despite a recent away loss to Real Betis, they demonstrated resilience and attacking prowess in their recent Champions League win over Inter. Currently fourth in La Liga, they are firmly in the race for a Champions League spot, having accumulated 15 points from their first seven games. With no injury or suspension concerns, Real Madrid will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage and continue their strong start to the season.

Villarreal's Inconsistent Performances

Villarreal has had an inconsistent start to their league campaign, currently placed ninth with eight points. Their recent form reflects this inconsistency, with two wins and three losses in their last five games. They have managed to score 2.20 goals per game but have also conceded 2.00, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Away from home, Villarreal has struggled, winning just one of their last five outings. Despite their attacking capabilities, their defense will need to be more robust if they are to challenge Real Madrid on their turf.

Match Outcome Prediction

Given the current form and head-to-head history between Real Madrid and Villarreal, a Real Madrid win appears likely. Real Madrid has dominated recent encounters, winning four of the last five meetings. Their superior home form and Villarreal's defensive frailties suggest that Real Madrid will secure a victory. Additionally, with both teams exhibiting strong offensive capabilities, goals are expected from both sides.

Main Prediction: Handicap 1: 1.5

Real Madrid's strong home performances and Villarreal's defensive struggles support a prediction for Real Madrid to win with a handicap of 1.5 goals. This pick capitalizes on Real Madrid's ability to score heavily at home.

Additional Predictions:

1. **Both Teams to Score: Yes** - Both teams have shown a tendency to score in recent matches, making a high-scoring affair likely. 2. **Total: Over 1.5** - Given the attacking strengths of both sides, at least two goals are expected in the match. 3. **Total Team 1: Over 1.5** - Real Madrid's scoring form at home suggests they will score at least two goals. 4. **Total Team 2: Over 0.5** - Villarreal is likely to find the net at least once, given their offensive capabilities.

Real Madrid's recent performances and Villarreal's inconsistencies make this prediction a balanced assessment. Both teams will aim to assert themselves, but Real Madrid's home advantage gives them the edge.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
Betano

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
9 9 0 0 27
2
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
9 7 1 1 22
3
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid ★
9 7 0 2 21
4
Real Betis logoReal Betis
9 6 1 2 19
5
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
9 5 1 3 16
6
Sevilla logoSevilla
9 4 2 3 14
7
Alaves logoAlaves
9 3 2 4 11
8
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
9 2 5 2 11
9
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
9 2 5 2 11
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
9 3 2 4 11
11
Levante logoLevante
9 2 4 3 10
12
Villarreal logoVillarreal ★
9 2 3 4 9
13
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
8 2 3 3 9
14
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
8 2 3 3 9
15
Getafe logoGetafe
9 2 3 4 9
16
Espanyol logoEspanyol
9 2 2 5 8
17
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
9 2 2 5 8
18
Elche logoElche
9 1 4 4 7
19
Valencia logoValencia
9 1 3 5 6
20
Malaga logoMalaga
9 0 4 5 4
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