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Liga MX

Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction

Liga MX 27.09.2026 · 21:00 Estadio León Referee: V. Caceres
Leon emblem
Leon
D
W
L
W
L
vs
– : –
27 Sep · 21:00
FC Juarez emblem
FC Juarez
W
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Leon
45%
Draw
10%
FC Juarez

Form Comparison

■ Leon ■ FC Juarez
Leon
FC Juarez
77%
Form
23%
67%
Att
33%
67%
Def
33%
93%
Poisson distribution
7%
71%
H2h
29%
57%
Goals
43%
72%
Total
28%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.04.2026
Leon vs FC Juarez
3 — 1
26.09.2025
FC Juarez vs Leon
2 — 0
25.01.2025
Leon vs FC Juarez
1 — 0
19.10.2024
FC Juarez vs Leon
2 — 3
27.04.2024
FC Juarez vs Leon
1 — 1
12.11.2023
Leon vs FC Juarez
2 — 1
17.02.2023
FC Juarez vs Leon
0 — 0
06.09.2022
Leon vs FC Juarez
1 — 0
04.03.2022
FC Juarez vs Leon
0 — 1
18.09.2021
Leon vs FC Juarez
0 — 1

Last Matches

Leon
FC Juarez
20.09.2026
Club Queretaro vs Leon
1 — 1
14.09.2026
Leon vs Atletico San Luis
2 — 0
10.09.2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon
1 — 3
06.09.2026
Leon vs Club America
1 — 0
02.09.2026
Toluca vs Leon
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Leon boasts an impressive home record with five consecutive wins, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game while conceding none. This starkly contrasts with FC Juarez's struggles, both home and away, where they have lost four of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. This upcoming clash at Estadio León highlights the disparity in form between the two sides, with Leon's recent performances at home providing a strong foundation for their current league position.

In terms of form, Leon sits comfortably in 7th place, largely due to their solid home performances. Their last five matches have seen them secure three wins, including a notable 1-0 victory against Club America, although they stumbled against Toluca and U.N.A.M. - Pumas. In contrast, FC Juarez finds themselves at the bottom of the league table in 18th place, grappling with consistency issues. Their recent win against Tigres UANL offers a glimmer of hope, but heavy defeats to Toluca and CF Pachuca underscore their defensive vulnerabilities.

Looking at key numbers, Leon's average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded in their last five matches reflects a balanced, if not entirely dominant, approach. In their fortress-like home environment, however, they have been clinical, averaging almost two goals per game without conceding. FC Juarez, meanwhile, has struggled to find the back of the net, with an average of just 0.80 goals scored per game over the same period, while their defense has leaked an average of 2.00 goals. The head-to-head statistics also favor Leon, who have triumphed in three of their last five encounters with FC Juarez.

Prediction for this match leans heavily towards a Leon victory, given their formidable home form and FC Juarez's defensive frailties. The most likely betting event appears to be Leon maintaining their clean sheet record at home with a "Total Team 2 Under: 0.5" market. Leon's defensive solidity at home, having not conceded in their last five matches, gives this prediction a strong foundation. Additional betting considerations include a Leon win ("Win 1"), which aligns with their consistent home performances, and "Total:Under: 3.0," reflecting the average goals scored in their recent encounters. Given the contrasting fortunes of the two teams, these predictions offer a balanced view of potential outcomes.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%
1X
85%

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Toluca logoToluca
9 6 1 2 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 18
3
Club America logoClub America
8 5 2 1 17
4
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
9 5 0 4 15
5
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
8 4 2 2 14
6
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
8 4 2 2 14
7
Leon logoLeon ★
9 4 2 3 14
8
Puebla logoPuebla
9 4 2 3 14
9
Atlas logoAtlas
9 4 2 3 14
10
Monterrey logoMonterrey
8 4 1 3 13
11
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 12
13
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 9
14
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
9 1 5 3 8
15
Necaxa logoNecaxa
9 2 2 5 8
16
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
9 1 4 4 7
17
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
9 2 1 6 7
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez ★
9 1 0 8 3
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