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Liga MX

Tigres UANL vs Puebla Prediction

Liga MX 26.09.2026 · 21:00 Estadio Universitario Referee: J. Armenta
Tigres UANL emblem
Tigres UANL
D
D
D
W
L
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 21:00
Puebla emblem
Puebla
L
W
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Tigres UANL
45%
Draw
10%
Puebla

Form Comparison

■ Tigres UANL ■ Puebla
Tigres UANL
Puebla
40%
Form
60%
36%
Att
64%
70%
Def
30%
60%
Poisson distribution
40%
71%
H2h
29%
73%
Goals
27%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.03.2026
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
3 — 1
08.08.2025
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
7 — 0
04.04.2025
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
0 — 0
05.10.2024
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1 — 0
31.07.2024
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
2 — 1
29.03.2024
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
2 — 3
03.12.2023
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
3 — 0
30.11.2023
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
2 — 2
01.07.2023
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1 — 1
07.05.2023
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1 — 0

Last Matches

Tigres UANL
Puebla
12.09.2026
Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
0 — 0
05.09.2026
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa
1 — 1
29.08.2026
Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL
0 — 0
21.08.2026
Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC
2 — 0
15.08.2026
Atlas vs Tigres UANL
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

Tigres UANL enters this match with a solid home record, having secured four wins and a draw in their last five home games. In contrast, Puebla has struggled on the road, winning only twice in their last five away matches. This disparity is reflected in their league standings, with Tigres UANL sitting at 14th despite a strong home presence, while Puebla holds 8th place, benefiting from recent away victories. Tigres has shown defensive resilience, conceding just 0.60 goals on average at home, whereas Puebla's away defense has been more porous, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match.

Analyzing the key numbers, Tigres UANL averages 0.80 goals per game over their last five matches, highlighting a need for sharper attacking play. Conversely, Puebla has averaged 1.40 goals per game, demonstrating a more potent offensive threat. However, this has been offset by their comparable average of 1.40 goals conceded per match. The head-to-head record between these teams is tight, with Tigres UANL having a slight edge, winning three of the last five encounters. Their most recent clash ended in a 3:1 victory for Puebla, but Tigres had previously dominated with a 7:0 win at home.

The prediction for this encounter leans towards a competitive match, but Tigres UANL's home form could prove decisive. Considering Puebla's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, Tigres may exploit these weaknesses. The most likely betting event is a "Win 1" for Tigres UANL, given their robust home performance and Puebla's defensive struggles. The home side's disciplined defense may also limit Puebla's scoring opportunities. Additional predictions include a high probability of "Total:Under: 2.5" goals, given Tigres' strong defensive record and their own offensive struggles. A "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is probable, as Tigres has consistently scored at home. Meanwhile, "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" seems likely due to Tigres' defensive prowess. Finally, a "Handicap 1: 0.5" is plausible, reflecting Tigres' potential to secure a narrow victory.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%
Handicap 1: 0.5
60%

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Toluca logoToluca
8 6 1 1 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
8 5 2 1 17
3
Club America logoClub America
7 5 1 1 16
4
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
8 5 0 3 15
5
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
7 4 1 2 13
6
Leon logoLeon
8 4 1 3 13
7
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
7 4 1 2 13
8
Puebla logoPuebla ★
8 4 1 3 13
9
Atlas logoAtlas
8 4 1 3 13
10
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
8 3 2 3 11
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
8 3 2 3 11
12
Monterrey logoMonterrey
7 3 1 3 10
13
Necaxa logoNecaxa
8 2 2 4 8
14
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL ★
8 1 4 3 7
15
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
8 1 4 3 7
16
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
8 1 3 4 6
17
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
8 1 1 6 4
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
8 0 0 8 0
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