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Liga MX

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX 09.10.2026 · 23:00 Estadio Universitario Referee: Daniel Quintero Huitron
Tigres UANL emblem
Tigres UANL
W
L
D
D
D
vs
– : –
09 Oct · 23:00
Toluca emblem
Toluca
L
D
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
31%
Tigres UANL
28%
Draw
41%
Toluca

Form Comparison

■ Tigres UANL ■ Toluca
Tigres UANL
Toluca
38%
Form
63%
12%
Att
88%
73%
Def
27%
47%
Poisson distribution
53%
50%
H2h
50%
47%
Goals
53%
45%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
30.05.2026
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
1 — 1
17.01.2026
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
0 — 0
14.12.2025
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
2 — 1
11.12.2025
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
1 — 0
26.07.2025
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
3 — 4
17.05.2025
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
3 — 0
14.05.2025
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
1 — 1
01.02.2025
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
1 — 0
06.11.2024
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
2 — 1
02.03.2024
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
2 — 1

Last Matches

Tigres UANL
Toluca
26.09.2026
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1 — 0
18.09.2026
FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL
0 — 2
12.09.2026
Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
0 — 0
05.09.2026
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa
1 — 1
29.08.2026
Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL
0 — 0
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Tigres UANL and Toluca at Estadio Universitario promises to be an intriguing contest. While Tigres have struggled for consistency this season, Toluca have been in fine form at the top of the table.

Tigres UANL's Home Struggles

Tigres UANL currently find themselves in the lower echelons of the Liga MX table, sitting 15th with just 10 points from 10 matches. Despite a strong home record over their last five games, with four wins and one draw, they have struggled to convert this into league success. Their recent form has been mixed, with a win over Puebla but losses to lower-ranked sides like FC Juarez. They have shown resilience in defense, conceding just 0.60 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their attacking output has been meager, scoring only 0.40 goals per game in the same period. With no injuries or suspensions to report, Tigres will look to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Toluca side.

Toluca's Dominant Form

Toluca have been the team to beat this season, leading the Liga MX standings with 20 points from their opening 10 matches. Their recent performances have been impressive, particularly their 5-2 victory over Atlas and a solid 2-0 win against Monterrey. Toluca have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.60 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Despite a minor setback against Santos Laguna, they have displayed resilience, especially in away fixtures, where they remain unbeaten in their last five outings. Their offensive prowess, coupled with a solid defensive record, makes them a daunting challenge for any opponent.

Prediction: A Tough Test for Tigres

In this encounter between Tigres UANL and Toluca, the prediction leans towards a challenging evening for the home side. Given Toluca's impressive form and Tigres' struggles, a Double Chance: X2 is a strong prediction. Toluca's unbeaten away record and superior scoring rate provide the basis for this pick. Additionally, we predict: Total: Over 1.5, Both Teams to Score: Yes, Total Team 1: Under 1.5, and Total Team 2: Over 0.5. These selections reflect Toluca's attacking capabilities and Tigres' defensive resilience at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Club America logoClub America
12 8 3 1 27
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
13 6 5 2 23
3
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
13 7 2 4 23
4
Toluca logoToluca ★
13 6 4 3 22
5
Leon logoLeon
13 6 3 4 21
6
Atlas logoAtlas
13 6 3 4 21
7
Monterrey logoMonterrey
12 6 2 4 20
8
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
12 6 2 4 20
9
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
13 6 1 6 19
10
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
12 4 5 3 17
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 4 4 5 16
12
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
13 4 4 5 16
13
Puebla logoPuebla
13 4 4 5 16
14
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL ★
13 3 5 5 14
15
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
13 3 5 5 14
16
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
13 3 4 6 13
17
Necaxa logoNecaxa
13 2 3 8 9
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
13 1 1 11 4
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