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Liga MX

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Liga MX 17.10.2026 · 21:00 Estadio Nemesio Diez Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava
Toluca emblem
Toluca
L
L
D
L
W
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 21:00
Atletico San Luis emblem
Atletico San Luis
L
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
69%
Toluca
19%
Draw
12%
Atletico San Luis

Form Comparison

■ Toluca ■ Atletico San Luis
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
54%
Form
46%
65%
Att
35%
48%
Def
52%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
93%
H2h
7%
75%
Goals
25%
67%
Total
33%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.04.2026
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
1 — 1
29.08.2025
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca
1 — 3
16.04.2025
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca
0 — 1
25.08.2024
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
2 — 1
19.04.2024
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca
1 — 5
29.10.2023
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
3 — 1
26.02.2023
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
2 — 0
21.08.2022
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca
1 — 0
12.02.2022
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca
0 — 1
26.09.2021
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
1 — 2

Last Matches

Toluca
Atletico San Luis
09.10.2026
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
2 — 3
03.10.2026
Monterrey vs Toluca
1 — 2
26.09.2026
Cruz Azul vs Toluca
3 — 3
20.09.2026
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
2 — 3
15.09.2026
Puebla vs Toluca
1 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Toluca will host Atletico San Luis at the Estadio Nemesio Diez in a Liga MX clash that promises to be an intriguing encounter. The match will see league leaders Toluca aiming to consolidate their position against a mid-table Atletico San Luis side looking to climb up the standings.

Toluca's Dominant Form at Home

Toluca has been in impressive form this season, sitting at the top of the Liga MX table with 20 points from 10 matches. Their recent performances have been noteworthy, especially at home, where they have won four out of their last five games, scoring an average of three goals per match. Their attacking prowess is further highlighted by their last five matches, where they scored 2.4 goals per game. Despite a narrow loss to Monterrey and a draw with Cruz Azul, Toluca demonstrated resilience with a commanding 5-2 victory over Atlas and a 1-0 away win against Puebla. With no injuries or suspensions, Toluca is poised to continue their strong run.

Atletico San Luis Searching for Consistency

Atletico San Luis currently sits in 13th place with 12 points, reflecting an inconsistent season so far. Their recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, with notable away victories against U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Monterrey, showcasing their ability to perform on the road. However, they have also suffered significant defeats, including a 3-0 loss to Guadalajara Chivas and a 2-0 defeat at Leon. San Luis has managed to score 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, which indicates they can pose a threat to the Toluca defense. The team will aim to harness this attacking potential to secure a positive result.

Prediction: Toluca to Maintain Their Winning Momentum

In this prediction for the Toluca vs Atletico San Luis match, the home team Toluca is favored to continue their strong form. Their superior home record and scoring ability set the stage for a likely victory. While Atletico San Luis has shown glimpses of quality, Toluca's consistency and attacking depth make them the favorites in this encounter.

**Main Prediction: Handicap 1: 1** Toluca is expected to win by at least a two-goal margin, given their recent home performances and superior league standing.

**Additional Predictions:** 1. **Total Team 1: Over 1.5** - Toluca's attacking form suggests they will score at least two goals. 2. **Both Teams to Score: Yes** - Atletico San Luis has shown they can find the net, even in challenging matches. 3. **Win: 1** - Toluca is likely to secure a straightforward victory. 4. **Total: Over 1.5** - Both teams' scoring records indicate a match with multiple goals.

With Toluca's attacking firepower and home advantage, backed by their current league position, they are well-placed to secure a comfortable win over Atletico San Luis. San Luis will need to deliver a strong performance to disrupt Toluca's momentum.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Win 1
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Club America logoClub America
12 8 3 1 27
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
13 6 5 2 23
3
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
13 7 2 4 23
4
Toluca logoToluca ★
13 6 4 3 22
5
Leon logoLeon
13 6 3 4 21
6
Atlas logoAtlas
13 6 3 4 21
7
Monterrey logoMonterrey
12 6 2 4 20
8
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
12 6 2 4 20
9
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
13 6 1 6 19
10
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
12 4 5 3 17
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 4 4 5 16
12
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis ★
13 4 4 5 16
13
Puebla logoPuebla
13 4 4 5 16
14
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
13 3 5 5 14
15
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
13 3 5 5 14
16
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
13 3 4 6 13
17
Necaxa logoNecaxa
13 2 3 8 9
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
13 1 1 11 4
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