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Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 10.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Referee: Jeremy Stinat, France
Auxerre emblem
Auxerre
W
L
D
D
D
vs
– : –
10 May · 19:00
Nice emblem
Nice
D
D
W
D
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.86

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Auxerre
45%
Draw
10%
Nice

Form Comparison

■ Auxerre ■ Nice
Auxerre
Nice
60%
Form
40%
67%
Att
33%
46%
Def
54%
58%
Poisson distribution
42%
50%
H2h
50%
45%
Goals
55%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
23.08.2025
Nice vs Auxerre
3 — 1
14.03.2025
Nice vs Auxerre
1 — 1
18.08.2024
Auxerre vs Nice
2 — 1
06.01.2024
Nice vs Auxerre
0 — 0
03.03.2023
Nice vs Auxerre
1 — 1
16.10.2022
Auxerre vs Nice
1 — 1
31.10.2018
Nice vs Auxerre
3 — 2
21.04.2012
Nice vs Auxerre
1 — 0
11.12.2011
Auxerre vs Nice
2 — 1
12.03.2011
Nice vs Auxerre
1 — 0

Last Matches

Auxerre
Nice
03.05.2026
Auxerre vs Angers
3 — 1
25.04.2026
Lyon vs Auxerre
2 — 3
19.04.2026
Monaco vs Auxerre
2 — 2
11.04.2026
Auxerre vs Nantes
0 — 0
05.04.2026
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

As the Ligue 1 season draws to a close, Auxerre hosts Nice at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in a clash that could have significant implications for both teams. With only a single point separating them in the league standings, this match is crucial, especially as both teams seek to avoid getting dragged into a relegation battle. Recent performances suggest a closely contested affair, with both sides showing resilience in their draws and wins.

Auxerre's campaign has been marked by inconsistency, but they have shown glimpses of potential, particularly in their recent 3-0 victory over Stade Brestois 29. At home, Auxerre has managed just one win in their last five games, drawing three and losing one. The team has struggled to find the back of the net at home, averaging only 0.60 goals per game, while maintaining a relatively tight defense with the same average for goals conceded. Notably, Auxerre comes into this match with a full squad available, as there are no injuries or suspensions to report.

Nice, currently sitting just above Auxerre in the standings, have had a mixed bag of results lately. They secured a solid away win against Strasbourg and managed to hold Marseille to a draw. Away from home, Nice has been more effective, winning two of their last five matches and drawing two, while losing just once. Their defense on the road has been more robust, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per match compared to their home record. Like Auxerre, Nice will be pleased to have no players missing through injury or suspension.

Prediction for this encounter leans towards a closely contested draw, with both teams having shown a penchant for sharing the spoils in recent matches. Auxerre’s home form, coupled with Nice’s solid away performances, suggests neither side will dominate. A key factor is their head-to-head record, which reveals a history of tightly-fought draws, including their last three meetings. The most likely betting event appears to be for both teams to score. Given both teams' recent form and head-to-head history, this outcome carries a high probability. Additionally, with Auxerre's home matches averaging low scores, a total under 2.5 goals is another likely scenario. This is reinforced by Nice's defensive solidity away from home. The expectation of a draw, combined with the goal statistics, makes these betting markets attractive propositions.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown the ability to score in recent matches and their head-to-head history supports this outcome.

2.86
Odds
X
60%
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Auxerre vs Nice
Pin-UP
W12.32
X3.30
W22.96
William Hill
W12.40
X3.25
W22.88
Bet365
W12.35
X3.40
W22.80
Marathonbet
W12.47
X3.44
W22.98
Unibet
W12.38
X3.45
W22.85
Betfair
W12.40
X3.40
W22.75
BetVictor
W12.30
X3.30
W22.80
Pinnacle
W12.46
X3.39
W22.96
SBO
W12.27
X3.11
W22.72
1xBet
W12.51
X3.49
W23.02
Betano
W12.45
X3.30
W22.92
Dafabet
W12.40
X3.35
W22.90

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
31 22 4 5 70
2
Lens logoLens
31 20 4 7 64
3
Lyon logoLyon
32 18 6 8 60
4
Lille logoLille
32 17 7 8 58
5
Rennes logoRennes
32 16 8 8 56
6
Monaco logoMonaco
32 16 6 10 54
7
Marseille logoMarseille
32 16 5 11 53
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
31 13 7 11 46
9
Lorient logoLorient
32 10 12 10 42
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
32 11 8 13 41
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
32 10 11 11 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
31 10 8 13 38
13
Angers logoAngers
32 9 7 16 34
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
32 6 14 12 32
15
Nice logoNice ★
32 7 10 15 31
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre ★
32 6 10 16 28
17
Nantes logoNantes
32 5 8 19 23
18
Metz logoMetz
32 3 7 22 16
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