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Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 17.10.2026 · 14:45 Stade de l'Aube Referee: Hakim Ben el Hadj
Estac Troyes emblem
Estac Troyes
L
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 14:45
Lens emblem
Lens
L
W
W
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
24%
Estac Troyes
25%
Draw
51%
Lens

Form Comparison

■ Estac Troyes ■ Lens
Estac Troyes
Lens
43%
Form
57%
40%
Att
60%
38%
Def
62%
22%
Poisson distribution
78%
7%
H2h
93%
24%
Goals
76%
29%
Total
71%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.02.2026
Estac Troyes vs Lens
2 — 4
28.01.2023
Estac Troyes vs Lens
1 — 1
09.09.2022
Lens vs Estac Troyes
1 — 0
14.05.2022
Estac Troyes vs Lens
1 — 3
05.11.2021
Lens vs Estac Troyes
4 — 0
04.02.2020
Lens vs Estac Troyes
1 — 0
24.08.2019
Estac Troyes vs Lens
2 — 0
13.08.2019
Estac Troyes vs Lens
1 — 2
28.01.2019
Estac Troyes vs Lens
1 — 0
18.08.2018
Lens vs Estac Troyes
2 — 0

Last Matches

Estac Troyes
Lens
11.10.2026
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
0 — 2
02.10.2026
Dijon vs Estac Troyes
2 — 2
19.09.2026
Angers vs Estac Troyes
0 — 2
13.09.2026
Lille vs Estac Troyes
0 — 2
06.09.2026
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg
2 — 6
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Estac Troyes
A. Ouzenadji, I. Boura, Y. Kone, Y. Titi
Lens
A. Sima, J. Chavez, J. Gradit, M. Nawrocki
M. Udol

As the Ligue 1 season continues, Estac Troyes and Lens will meet at Stade de l'Aube on October 17, 2026. Both teams are struggling for form, sitting near the bottom of the table with four points each. This match is crucial for both sides as they seek to climb out of their current precarious positions.

Estac Troyes' Recent Struggles

Estac Troyes have found life in Ligue 1 challenging after their promotion from Ligue 2 last season. Currently occupying the 16th spot in the league, they have managed to secure only one win from their first five matches. Their recent form is concerning, particularly their defensive record, having conceded an average of 2.60 goals per game over their last five matches. Despite a notable away victory against Lorient, Troyes have struggled against higher-ranked teams such as Lille and Strasbourg, underscoring the step up in competition they face this season. They will hope to leverage their home advantage to secure a positive result against Lens.

Lens' Inconsistent Performances

Lens, last season’s Ligue 1 runners-up, have had a surprisingly slow start to this campaign. Positioned 15th, just above Troyes, Lens have shown flashes of quality, particularly in their UEFA Champions League victory over Slavia Praha. However, their domestic form remains inconsistent, highlighted by a recent home loss to Lorient. Their away performances have been slightly better, with two wins and a draw in their last five outings. Lens will be aiming to replicate their past successes against Troyes, where they have been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters.

Match Prediction and Analysis

In light of both teams’ current form and their defensive frailties, the prediction for this match is "Both Teams to Score: Yes". With Troyes' vulnerable defense and Lens' ability to find the net on the road, goals are expected from both sides. Despite their struggles, Estac Troyes and Lens are likely to exploit each other's weaknesses, leading to a competitive encounter.

Additional predictions for this match are: Double Chance: X2, Total: Over 1.5, Total Team 1: Over 0.5, and Total Team 2: Over 0.5. Lens' historical dominance over Troyes and their superior squad depth contribute to the expectation that they will avoid defeat. Both teams are likely to score, pushing the total over 1.5 goals, with each team expected to score at least once.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X2
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco
6 4 2 0 14
2
Lille logoLille
6 4 1 1 13
3
Rennes logoRennes
6 4 1 1 13
4
Lyon logoLyon
6 3 2 1 11
5
Paris FC logoParis FC
6 3 2 1 11
6
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
6 3 2 1 11
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
6 2 2 2 8
8
Lorient logoLorient
6 2 2 2 8
9
Nice logoNice
6 2 2 2 8
10
Lens logoLens ★
6 2 1 3 7
11
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
6 2 1 3 7
12
Angers logoAngers
6 2 1 3 7
13
Marseille logoMarseille
6 2 0 4 6
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
6 1 3 2 6
15
Toulouse logoToulouse
6 1 3 2 6
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre
6 2 0 4 6
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes ★
6 1 1 4 4
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
6 0 2 4 2
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