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Ligue 1

Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 24.10.2026 · 11:15 Stadium Municipal Referee: M. Vernice
Toulouse emblem
Toulouse
D
L
W
D
L
vs
– : –
24 Oct · 11:15
Estac Troyes emblem
Estac Troyes
L
D
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Toulouse
25%
Draw
20%
Estac Troyes

Form Comparison

■ Toulouse ■ Estac Troyes
Toulouse
Estac Troyes
67%
Form
33%
69%
Att
31%
59%
Def
41%
53%
Poisson distribution
47%
85%
H2h
15%
82%
Goals
18%
69%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.02.2023
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
4 — 1
14.08.2022
Estac Troyes vs Toulouse
0 — 3
09.07.2022
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
6 — 1
06.02.2021
Estac Troyes vs Toulouse
1 — 1
03.10.2020
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
0 — 0
27.01.2018
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
1 — 0
09.09.2017
Estac Troyes vs Toulouse
0 — 0
07.05.2016
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
1 — 0
02.12.2015
Estac Troyes vs Toulouse
0 — 3
16.02.2013
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
2 — 2

Last Matches

Toulouse
Estac Troyes
10.10.2026
Monaco vs Toulouse
2 — 2
03.10.2026
Toulouse vs PAU
2 — 3
19.09.2026
Toulouse vs Le Havre
3 — 2
12.09.2026
Lorient vs Toulouse
2 — 2
03.09.2026
Toulouse vs Lille
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Toulouse will host Estac Troyes at Stadium Municipal in an intriguing Ligue 1 clash on October 24, 2026. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the league, with Toulouse sitting at 15th and Estac Troyes at 17th in the table. This match presents an opportunity for both sides to gain valuable points and climb out of the lower reaches of the standings.

Toulouse Seeking Stability

Toulouse is currently in the bottom quarter of the Ligue 1 table, having garnered just six points from their first six matches. Despite their struggles, they have shown resilience, especially in their recent 2:2 draw against league leaders Monaco. However, their inconsistency is evident from their home form, with only one win in their last five home games. Their defense has been a point of concern, conceding an average of two goals per game at home. On a positive note, Toulouse has managed to score consistently, averaging 1.80 goals per game over their last five matches. They will be aiming to turn their fortunes around against a fellow struggler in Estac Troyes.

Estac Troyes Struggling in Top Flight

Having been promoted to Ligue 1 this season, Estac Troyes has found the transition challenging, sitting second from the bottom with four points. Their recent form doesn't inspire much confidence, with a heavy 6:2 home defeat to Strasbourg and a 2:0 loss away to Lille. They are struggling defensively, conceding 2.80 goals on average over their last five matches. Offensively, they have been less effective, scoring only 0.80 goals per game in the same period. Despite these challenges, Estac Troyes will hope to capitalize on Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a much-needed win.

Prediction: A Tight Contest

In this matchup between Toulouse and Estac Troyes, the prediction is that Toulouse will take the victory. Toulouse has shown the capacity to score against strong opponents and will likely exploit Estac Troyes' defensive frailties. Additionally, Toulouse's better head-to-head record against Estac Troyes further supports this prediction. Despite both teams' defensive issues, Toulouse's home advantage and scoring ability give them the edge.

- **Main Prediction:** Win: 1 - **Additional Predictions:** - Both Teams to Score: Yes - Total: Over 1.5 - Total Team 1: Over 1 - Total Team 2: Over 0.5

Toulouse's ability to score consistently, coupled with Estac Troyes' defensive struggles, makes a Toulouse win the most compelling choice.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
Bet365
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Pinnacle

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco
6 4 2 0 14
2
Lille logoLille
6 4 1 1 13
3
Rennes logoRennes
6 4 1 1 13
4
Lyon logoLyon
6 3 2 1 11
5
Paris FC logoParis FC
6 3 2 1 11
6
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
6 3 2 1 11
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
6 2 2 2 8
8
Lorient logoLorient
6 2 2 2 8
9
Nice logoNice
6 2 2 2 8
10
Lens logoLens
6 2 1 3 7
11
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
6 2 1 3 7
12
Angers logoAngers
6 2 1 3 7
13
Marseille logoMarseille
6 2 0 4 6
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
6 1 3 2 6
15
Toulouse logoToulouse ★
6 1 3 2 6
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre
6 2 0 4 6
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes ★
6 1 1 4 4
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
6 0 2 4 2
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