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Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 11.10.2026 · 14:45 Stade de l'Aube Referee: Guillaume Paradis
Estac Troyes emblem
Estac Troyes
D
L
L
L
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 14:45
Marseille emblem
Marseille
L
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
26%
Estac Troyes
25%
Draw
49%
Marseille

Form Comparison

■ Estac Troyes ■ Marseille
Estac Troyes
Marseille
57%
Form
43%
36%
Att
64%
42%
Def
58%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
7%
H2h
93%
29%
Goals
71%
34%
Total
66%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.04.2023
Marseille vs Estac Troyes
3 — 1
11.01.2023
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
0 — 2
27.02.2022
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
1 — 1
28.11.2021
Marseille vs Estac Troyes
1 — 0
15.04.2018
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
2 — 3
20.12.2017
Marseille vs Estac Troyes
3 — 1
14.05.2016
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
1 — 1
23.08.2015
Marseille vs Estac Troyes
6 — 0
03.03.2013
Marseille vs Estac Troyes
2 — 1
21.10.2012
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
1 — 0

Last Matches

Estac Troyes
Marseille
02.10.2026
Dijon vs Estac Troyes
2 — 2
19.09.2026
Angers vs Estac Troyes
0 — 2
13.09.2026
Lille vs Estac Troyes
0 — 2
06.09.2026
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg
2 — 6
29.08.2026
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
2 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Estac Troyes
A. Ouzenadji, I. Boura, Y. Kone, Y. Titi
Marseille
D. Cornelius, G. Kondogbia, P. Hojbjerg
T. Weah

Estac Troyes and Marseille are set to face off at Stade de l'Aube in a Ligue 1 clash that sees both teams struggling at the lower end of the table. Both clubs are in dire need of points to climb out of the relegation zone, making this encounter a critical one for their respective campaigns.

Estac Troyes' Recent Form and Challenges

Estac Troyes, newly promoted to Ligue 1 this season, currently find themselves in the relegation playoff zone, sitting 16th out of 18 teams. With only four points from their first five matches, they are eager to establish a foothold in the top flight. Their recent performances have been a mixed bag, managing a vital win against Lorient but suffering heavy defeats such as the 2-6 loss to Strasbourg. Troyes have shown some resilience, notably in their 1-2 away win against Lorient, but defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite their challenges, they will look to leverage their home advantage against a similarly struggling Marseille.

Marseille's Struggles and Search for Stability

Marseille, typically a strong contender in Ligue 1, are surprisingly positioned 17th, just below Troyes. With only three points and no wins in their last five matches, they are under pressure to turn their season around. Marseille's form has been disappointing, with recent losses to top teams like Paris Saint Germain and Monaco highlighting their current struggles. Offensively, they have been less effective, averaging just 0.80 goals per game, while their defense has leaked 2.40 goals per match. Despite their poor form, Marseille's historical dominance over Troyes, winning four of their last five head-to-head encounters, could provide a psychological edge.

Prediction for the Outcome

Based on the current form and historical matchups, the prediction for the Estac Troyes vs Marseille match is a "Draw" (X). Both teams have struggled to secure victories, and with their defensive frailties, a balanced result seems likely. Moreover, given Troyes' slight home advantage and Marseille's inability to capitalize on their offensive opportunities lately, a stalemate appears plausible.

For additional predictions, "Total: Over 1.5" goals is expected, considering both teams' tendencies to concede goals. "Both Teams to Score: Yes" is another viable prediction, given their defensive vulnerabilities. We also anticipate "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" as Troyes have been able to score in recent matches, and "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" considering Marseille's capability to find the net even in defeats.

Prediction and Betting Tips

6/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
68%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
Betano
Dafabet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Lyon logoLyon
7 4 2 1 14
2
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
7 4 2 1 14
3
Paris FC logoParis FC
7 4 2 1 14
4
Lille logoLille
7 4 2 1 14
5
Monaco logoMonaco
7 4 2 1 14
6
Rennes logoRennes
7 4 1 2 13
7
Lorient logoLorient
7 3 2 2 11
8
Lens logoLens
7 3 1 3 10
9
Marseille logoMarseille ★
7 3 0 4 9
10
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
7 2 3 2 9
11
Toulouse logoToulouse
7 2 3 2 9
12
Auxerre logoAuxerre
7 3 0 4 9
13
Nice logoNice
7 2 2 3 8
14
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
7 2 1 4 7
15
Angers logoAngers
7 2 1 4 7
16
Le Mans logoLe Mans
7 1 3 3 6
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes ★
7 1 1 5 4
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
7 0 2 5 2
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