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Ligue 1

Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 25.10.2026 · 12:15 Orange Vélodrome Referee: B. Bastien
Marseille emblem
Marseille
W
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
25 Oct · 12:15
Le Havre emblem
Le Havre
L
L
W
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
59%
Marseille
21%
Draw
20%
Le Havre

Form Comparison

■ Marseille ■ Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
60%
Form
40%
56%
Att
44%
47%
Def
53%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
100%
H2h
0%
77%
Goals
23%
61%
Total
39%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.05.2026
Le Havre vs Marseille
0 — 1
18.10.2025
Marseille vs Le Havre
6 — 2
10.05.2025
Le Havre vs Marseille
1 — 3
05.01.2025
Marseille vs Le Havre
5 — 1
19.05.2024
Le Havre vs Marseille
1 — 2
08.10.2023
Marseille vs Le Havre
3 — 0
22.01.2012
Marseille vs Le Havre
3 — 1

Last Matches

Marseille
Le Havre
18.10.2026
Angers vs Marseille
5 — 2
15.10.2026
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0 — 1
11.10.2026
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
2 — 0
20.09.2026
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain
1 — 2
17.09.2026
Beşiktaş vs Marseille
1 — 4
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Marseille and Le Havre prepare to face off at the Orange Vélodrome in what promises to be an intriguing encounter in the 2026 Ligue 1 season. With both teams looking to improve their standings in the league, this match presents an opportunity for either side to gain much-needed points.

Marseille Looking to Rebound

Marseille enters this match in 14th place in Ligue 1, with only six points from their first six matches. Their recent form has been concerning, with four losses in their last five games across all competitions. Despite a victory against Estac Troyes, Marseille has struggled against stronger opposition, including a defeat to Paris Saint Germain. Historically, they have dominated Le Havre, winning all their last five encounters, which should give them some confidence. However, their current position in the league and recent performances indicate a need for improvement, particularly in their defensive setup, as they have conceded 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches.

Le Havre Seeking First Win

Le Havre finds themselves at the bottom of Ligue 1 with just two points, and they are yet to secure a win this season. Their recent outings have shown some promise, particularly in a high-scoring friendly against Boulogne. However, they remain winless in competitive league matches. Le Havre's attack has been relatively productive, scoring 1.8 goals per game in their last five, which might pose a threat to Marseille's leaky defense. Their previous encounters against Marseille have been challenging, but Le Havre will be eager to reverse their fortunes and climb out of the relegation zone.

Match Prediction: Marseille to Edge Out Le Havre

For this clash between Marseille and Le Havre, the prediction is for Marseille to win, given their historical dominance over Le Havre and the home advantage. Although current form and league position suggest a tight contest, Marseille's superior head-to-head record gives them the edge.

In addition to a win for Marseille, the following outcomes are anticipated: both teams are likely to score, considering Marseille's defensive vulnerabilities and Le Havre's attacking potential. Expect a total of over 1.5 goals in the match, given both teams' scoring rates. Marseille is predicted to score over 1 goal, leveraging their attacking strength against Le Havre's defense. Finally, a handicap of 1 for Marseille is plausible, reflecting their potential to secure a comfortable victory.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
75%
Handicap 1: 1
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
Bet365
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BetVictor

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Lyon logoLyon
7 4 2 1 14
2
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
7 4 2 1 14
3
Paris FC logoParis FC
7 4 2 1 14
4
Lille logoLille
7 4 2 1 14
5
Monaco logoMonaco
7 4 2 1 14
6
Rennes logoRennes
7 4 1 2 13
7
Lorient logoLorient
7 3 2 2 11
8
Lens logoLens
7 3 1 3 10
9
Marseille logoMarseille ★
7 3 0 4 9
10
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
7 2 3 2 9
11
Toulouse logoToulouse
7 2 3 2 9
12
Auxerre logoAuxerre
7 3 0 4 9
13
Nice logoNice
7 2 2 3 8
14
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
7 2 1 4 7
15
Angers logoAngers
7 2 1 4 7
16
Le Mans logoLe Mans
7 1 3 3 6
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
7 1 1 5 4
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre ★
7 0 2 5 2
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