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Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 10.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade Océane Referee: Bastien Dechepy, France
Le Havre emblem
Le Havre
D
D
D
D
D
vs
– : –
10 May · 19:00
Marseille emblem
Marseille
L
D
L
W
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.02

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Le Havre
45%
Draw
45%
Marseille

Form Comparison

■ Le Havre ■ Marseille
Le Havre
Marseille
56%
Form
44%
62%
Att
38%
53%
Def
47%
51%
Poisson distribution
49%
0%
H2h
100%
21%
Goals
79%
49%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.10.2025
Marseille vs Le Havre
6 — 2
10.05.2025
Le Havre vs Marseille
1 — 3
05.01.2025
Marseille vs Le Havre
5 — 1
19.05.2024
Le Havre vs Marseille
1 — 2
08.10.2023
Marseille vs Le Havre
3 — 0
22.01.2012
Marseille vs Le Havre
3 — 1

Last Matches

Le Havre
Marseille
03.05.2026
Lille vs Le Havre
1 — 1
26.04.2026
Le Havre vs Metz
4 — 4
18.04.2026
Angers vs Le Havre
1 — 1
12.04.2026
Nice vs Le Havre
1 — 1
05.04.2026
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1 — 1
W: 0 · D: 5 · L: 0

As the Ligue 1 season heads towards its climax, Le Havre prepares to host Marseille at Stade Océane in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. With both teams having different aspirations and challenges, this match could play a pivotal role in shaping their respective campaigns. Le Havre is looking to secure their spot in the league next season, while Marseille aims to climb the standings for a potential European spot.

Le Havre: Fighting Spirit at Home

Le Havre has shown commendable resilience in recent weeks, managing to stay competitive despite a challenging season. Currently sitting in 14th place, their recent form has been characterized by hard-fought draws, with four out of their last five matches ending in stalemates. Their most recent home performance was a thrilling 4:4 draw against Metz, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net. However, their defense remains a cause for concern, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match in their last five outings. At Stade Océane, Le Havre has been slightly more consistent, scoring an average of 1.40 goals and conceding the same amount. Importantly, they have no players missing due to injury or suspension, which could be crucial in their quest to disrupt Marseille's plans.

Marseille: Seeking Redemption on the Road

Marseille finds themselves in the 6th position but has struggled to find consistency, particularly on the road. With only one win in their last five matches away from home, they have been unable to capitalize on their attacking prowess, scoring a meager average of 0.40 goals per game while conceding 2.20. Their recent 1:2 defeat against Lille highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite these challenges, Marseille has historically dominated Le Havre, winning all five of their previous encounters, including a decisive 3:0 victory in their last meeting. Like their opponents, Marseille enters this match without any suspensions or injuries, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup in an attempt to break their away-day hoodoo.

Prediction: A High-Scoring Affair

Given the recent performances of both teams, this encounter is likely to be a high-scoring one. Le Havre's ability to score at home combined with Marseille's struggles defensively on the road suggests that goals will be on the menu. The prediction leans towards both teams finding the net, especially considering their recent scoring trends and head-to-head history. Therefore, the most probable betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given Le Havre's propensity to score in front of their home crowd and Marseille's need to attack to bolster their European aspirations. With a confidence score of 8, this outcome seems highly likely. Additionally, expecting a competitive match, markets such as "Total:Over: 2.5" and "X2" also present value, reflecting the potential for goals and Marseille's historical edge over Le Havre.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both Le Havre and Marseille have shown tendencies to score and concede goals in recent matches, combined with Marseille's defensive struggles away from home.

3.02
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
X2
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Le Havre vs Marseille
Pin-UP
W13.45
X3.65
W21.97
William Hill
W13.50
X3.50
W21.95
Bet365
W13.60
X3.60
W21.91
Marathonbet
W13.64
X3.78
W22.03
Unibet
W13.80
X3.85
W21.84
Betfair
W14.50
X4.00
W21.67
BetVictor
W13.40
X3.60
W21.93
Pinnacle
W13.58
X3.74
W22.03
SBO
W13.18
X3.32
W21.95
1xBet
W13.70
X3.84
W22.06
Betano
W13.55
X3.70
W22.02
Dafabet
W13.50
X3.70
W21.98

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
31 22 4 5 70
2
Lens logoLens
31 20 4 7 64
3
Lyon logoLyon
32 18 6 8 60
4
Lille logoLille
32 17 7 8 58
5
Rennes logoRennes
32 16 8 8 56
6
Monaco logoMonaco
32 16 6 10 54
7
Marseille logoMarseille ★
32 16 5 11 53
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
31 13 7 11 46
9
Lorient logoLorient
32 10 12 10 42
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
32 11 8 13 41
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
32 10 11 11 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
31 10 8 13 38
13
Angers logoAngers
32 9 7 16 34
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre ★
32 6 14 12 32
15
Nice logoNice
32 7 10 15 31
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre
32 6 10 16 28
17
Nantes logoNantes
32 5 8 19 23
18
Metz logoMetz
32 3 7 22 16
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