Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
Ligue 1

Metz vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 10.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Metz emblem
Metz
L
D
L
L
D
vs
– : –
10 May · 19:00
Lorient emblem
Lorient
D
L
W
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.91

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Metz
45%
Draw
45%
Lorient

Form Comparison

■ Metz ■ Lorient
Metz
Lorient
29%
Form
71%
50%
Att
50%
40%
Def
60%
45%
Poisson distribution
55%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.01.2026
Lorient vs Metz
1 — 1
11.01.2025
Lorient vs Metz
0 — 0
21.09.2024
Metz vs Lorient
1 — 1
04.02.2024
Metz vs Lorient
1 — 2
26.11.2023
Lorient vs Metz
2 — 3
20.04.2022
Lorient vs Metz
1 — 0
12.12.2021
Metz vs Lorient
4 — 1
16.05.2021
Lorient vs Metz
2 — 1
04.10.2020
Metz vs Lorient
3 — 1
31.03.2019
Metz vs Lorient
2 — 1

Last Matches

Metz
Lorient
02.05.2026
Metz vs Monaco
1 — 2
26.04.2026
Le Havre vs Metz
4 — 4
19.04.2026
Metz vs Paris FC
1 — 3
10.04.2026
Marseille vs Metz
1 — 3
05.04.2026
Metz vs Nantes
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

As the Ligue 1 season draws closer to its conclusion, Metz prepares to host Lorient at Stade Saint-Symphorien. This match is crucial for both sides, albeit for different reasons. Metz, struggling in the relegation zone, is desperate for points to climb out of danger, while Lorient seeks to solidify a mid-table finish and potentially challenge for a higher position.

Metz's Battle Against Relegation

Metz finds themselves in a precarious position, languishing in 18th place. Their recent form has been troubling, with no wins in their last five outings. A thrilling 4-4 draw against Le Havre showcased their attacking potential, yet defensive frailties remain evident as they leaked goals too easily. At home, Metz has struggled significantly, failing to secure a victory in their last five matches, drawing once and losing the other four. They have averaged just 1.00 goal per game at home while conceding 2.20, a statistic they will need to improve upon to stand any chance of survival. Fortunately, Metz faces no suspension or injury issues, which means they can field their strongest possible side.

Lorient's Mid-Table Ambitions

Ninth-placed Lorient arrives at Metz with a mixed bag of form. Despite a recent victory over Marseille, they have been inconsistent, splitting their last five matches with two losses and two draws alongside that win. Away from home, they have yet to taste victory in their last five attempts, drawing twice and suffering three defeats. Their away goal-scoring record of 0.80 goals per game is modest, and they have conceded an average of 1.80 goals in the same period. Lorient, much like their hosts, will be grateful for a clean bill of health and no suspensions, allowing them to approach this match with a full-strength squad.

Prediction: Tight Contest on the Cards

Considering both teams' current form and statistical trends, a closely contested encounter seems likely. Metz and Lorient have produced several draws in their recent head-to-head clashes, suggesting a similar outcome could be on the cards. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, as both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently. The main betting event to consider is "Under 2.5 Goals", given Metz's defensive vulnerabilities and Lorient's modest attacking record. This market offers value with a solid confidence score of 7. Additionally, further betting events include "X" for a draw due to the propensity for stalemates in their head-to-head history, "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" considering Metz’s scoring woes, and "Total Team 2 Under: 1" aligned with Lorient's away form. Lastly, "All: Both Teams to Score: No" is a feasible option, reflecting both teams' recent difficulties in scoring.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have struggled to score consistently and have defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a low-scoring encounter.

2.91
Odds
X
40%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
60%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Metz vs Lorient
Pin-UP
W13.05
X3.50
W22.18
William Hill
W13.00
X3.40
W22.20
Bet365
W13.00
X3.60
W22.15
Marathonbet
W13.26
X3.66
W22.21
Unibet
W13.10
X3.50
W22.18
Betfair
W12.75
X3.60
W22.30
BetVictor
W13.00
X3.50
W22.10
Pinnacle
W13.22
X3.71
W22.17
SBO
W12.94
X3.28
W22.06
1xBet
W13.32
X3.72
W22.25
Betano
W13.20
X3.55
W22.20
Dafabet
W13.10
X3.60
W22.18

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
31 22 4 5 70
2
Lens logoLens
31 20 4 7 64
3
Lyon logoLyon
32 18 6 8 60
4
Lille logoLille
32 17 7 8 58
5
Rennes logoRennes
32 16 8 8 56
6
Monaco logoMonaco
32 16 6 10 54
7
Marseille logoMarseille
32 16 5 11 53
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
31 13 7 11 46
9
Lorient logoLorient ★
32 10 12 10 42
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
32 11 8 13 41
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
32 10 11 11 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
31 10 8 13 38
13
Angers logoAngers
32 9 7 16 34
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
32 6 14 12 32
15
Nice logoNice
32 7 10 15 31
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre
32 6 10 16 28
17
Nantes logoNantes
32 5 8 19 23
18
Metz logoMetz ★
32 3 7 22 16
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now