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Ligue 1

Nice vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 20.09.2026 · 11:15 Allianz Riviera Referee: B. Dechepy
Nice emblem
Nice
L
D
L
D
D
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 11:15
Lille emblem
Lille
W
L
W
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
26%
Nice
28%
Draw
46%
Lille

Form Comparison

■ Nice ■ Lille
Nice
Lille
17%
Form
83%
13%
Att
88%
29%
Def
71%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
50%
H2h
50%
54%
Goals
46%
33%
Total
68%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.04.2026
Lille vs Nice
0 — 0
29.10.2025
Nice vs Lille
2 — 0
17.01.2025
Lille vs Nice
2 — 1
10.11.2024
Nice vs Lille
2 — 2
19.05.2024
Lille vs Nice
2 — 2
11.08.2023
Nice vs Lille
1 — 1
29.01.2023
Nice vs Lille
1 — 0
31.08.2022
Lille vs Nice
1 — 2
14.05.2022
Nice vs Lille
1 — 3
14.08.2021
Lille vs Nice
0 — 4

Last Matches

Nice
Lille
12.09.2026
Auxerre vs Nice
0 — 1
05.09.2026
Nice vs Le Mans
1 — 1
30.08.2026
Paris FC vs Nice
0 — 3
22.08.2026
Nice vs Lorient
0 — 0
15.08.2026
Hull City vs Nice
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Nice
A. Mendy, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, M. Sanson
Lille
H. Igamane

Nice's recent offensive struggles are evident, with the team averaging just 0.20 goals per match over their last five games. This stat highlights their challenges on the front foot, contrasting sharply with Lille's more potent attack that has averaged 1.60 goals in the same period. This disparity in attacking output sets the stage for an intriguing clash at the Allianz Riviera.

Form and Context

Nice finds themselves in a precarious 15th position, reflecting their inconsistent performances. Their last five matches have yielded only one victory, a 1-1 draw against Le Mans, underlining their recent inability to capitalize on opportunities. Despite being more resilient at home, with one win and two draws in their last five home outings, their lack of scoring prowess is a concern. Lille, on the other hand, sits comfortably in 4th place. Their recent form is commendable, with three wins and two draws in their last five away matches, showcasing their ability to perform on the road. Lille's tactical discipline has allowed them to maintain an undefeated away streak, a stark contrast to Nice's struggles.

Key Numbers

When analyzing goals, Nice's home form shows a glimmer of hope, as they average 1.67 goals scored per game, while conceding only 0.33. However, their overall average drops significantly due to their away struggles, where they score only 0.60 and concede 1.00 on average. Lille's away form is impressive, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match, suggesting they are formidable when traveling. Head-to-head encounters between these teams have been evenly matched, with each side securing one win, alongside three draws. This parity indicates a competitive fixture, albeit one where Lille's current form gives them a slight edge.

Prediction

Considering the current dynamics, Lille's unbeaten away form suggests they have the upper hand. While Nice's home defense has been robust, their attack lacks the cutting edge needed to exploit Lille's vulnerabilities. Therefore, the most probable betting outcome is "X2", given Lille's strength on the road and Nice's recent struggles in finding the back of the net. This prediction is further supported by Lille's superior goal-scoring record and Nice's inability to convert home advantage into decisive victories.

Overall, Nice's home resilience coupled with Lille's attacking prowess sets the stage for a match that could lean towards a draw or an away win, making "X2" a rational choice with a high confidence score. The additional predictions focus on moderate goal-scoring expectations, reflecting the statistical trends observed from both teams' recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
X
45%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nice vs Lille
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco
5 4 1 0 13
2
Lille logoLille ★
4 3 1 0 10
3
Rennes logoRennes
4 3 1 0 10
4
Lyon logoLyon
4 2 2 0 8
5
Paris FC logoParis FC
4 2 2 0 8
6
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
4 2 1 1 7
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
4 1 2 1 5
8
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
4 1 2 1 5
9
Lorient logoLorient
4 1 2 1 5
10
Lens logoLens
5 1 1 3 4
11
Angers logoAngers
4 1 1 2 4
12
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
4 1 1 2 4
13
Marseille logoMarseille
4 1 0 3 3
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
4 0 3 1 3
15
Auxerre logoAuxerre
4 1 0 3 3
16
Le Havre logoLe Havre
4 0 2 2 2
17
Toulouse logoToulouse
4 0 2 2 2
18
Nice logoNice ★
4 0 2 2 2
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