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Ligue 1

Monaco vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 18.09.2026 · 14:45 Stade Louis II Referee: W. Delajod
Monaco emblem
Monaco
W
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
18 Sep · 14:45
Lens emblem
Lens
W
L
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Monaco
26%
Draw
33%
Lens

Form Comparison

■ Monaco ■ Lens
Monaco
Lens
75%
Form
25%
45%
Att
55%
83%
Def
17%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
50%
H2h
50%
38%
Goals
62%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.02.2026
Lens vs Monaco
2 — 3
08.11.2025
Monaco vs Lens
1 — 4
17.05.2025
Lens vs Monaco
4 — 0
01.09.2024
Monaco vs Lens
1 — 1
25.02.2024
Lens vs Monaco
2 — 3
07.01.2024
Lens vs Monaco
2 — 2
02.09.2023
Monaco vs Lens
3 — 0
22.04.2023
Lens vs Monaco
3 — 0
20.08.2022
Monaco vs Lens
1 — 4
21.05.2022
Lens vs Monaco
2 — 2

Last Matches

Monaco
Lens
04.09.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco
2 — 1
30.08.2026
Monaco vs Marseille
2 — 0
27.08.2026
Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
4 — 1
23.08.2026
Le Havre vs Monaco
1 — 0
20.08.2026
Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
3 — 2
W: 5 · D: 0 · L: 0

Monaco heads into this matchup with an impressive average of 2.40 goals scored per match in their last five games, positioning them as a formidable offensive force. In contrast, Lens has managed 1.40 goals per match over the same period, indicating a potential attacking struggle against the league leaders.

Form and Context

Monaco currently sits at the top of the Ligue 1 standings, demonstrating consistent form with four wins and one draw in their last five outings. Their recent victory over Paris Saint Germain by 2-1 underlines their strength against top-tier teams. At home, Monaco remains unbeaten, showcasing an average of 2.80 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. Conversely, Lens, positioned at 11th, has been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses. Their recent 0-2 defeat to Sunderland highlights vulnerabilities that Monaco could exploit. Lens's away form has been shaky, with only one win in their last two away matches, although they boast a solid average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away game.

Key Numbers

When examining the numbers, Monaco's defense has been impressive, conceding an average of just 0.80 goals in their last five matches. This contrasts with Lens, who concedes an average of 1.40 goals. The head-to-head record is evenly matched, with both teams winning twice and drawing once in their last five encounters. Notably, the last meeting saw Monaco triumph 2-3 away at Lens, suggesting a potential upper hand in the current matchup.

Prediction

The prediction leans towards a Monaco victory, given their superior form and home advantage. However, the most likely betting event is "Handicap 1: 0.5," as Monaco's home dominance and Lens's inconsistent form could see Monaco winning by more than a narrow margin. With no players missing due to injury or suspension, both teams are at full strength, but Monaco's cohesive playing style and recent performances suggest they will comfortably handle Lens. Additional predictions include Monaco scoring over 1.5 goals, given their home scoring average, and both teams likely to score, as Lens has shown the capability to find the net, even in defeat. Despite their position, Lens can still pose a threat, as seen in their earlier victory against PSG. Confidence in these predictions is bolstered by statistical trends and recent performances, suggesting Monaco's continued dominance.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
X2
45%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
X
20%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Monaco vs Lens
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Pinnacle
1xBet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco ★
3 3 0 0 9
2
Paris FC logoParis FC
3 2 1 0 7
3
Lyon logoLyon
3 2 1 0 7
4
Lille logoLille
3 2 1 0 7
5
Rennes logoRennes
3 2 1 0 7
6
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
3 2 0 1 6
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
3 1 2 0 5
8
Lorient logoLorient
3 1 1 1 4
9
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
3 1 1 1 4
10
Marseille logoMarseille
3 1 0 2 3
11
Lens logoLens ★
3 1 0 2 3
12
Angers logoAngers
3 1 0 2 3
13
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
3 0 2 1 2
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
3 0 2 1 2
15
Nice logoNice
3 0 2 1 2
16
Le Havre logoLe Havre
3 0 1 2 1
17
Toulouse logoToulouse
3 0 1 2 1
18
Auxerre logoAuxerre
3 0 0 3 0
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