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Ligue 1

Rennes vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 11.09.2026 · 14:45 Roazhon Park Referee: R. Buquet
Rennes emblem
Rennes
W
W
D
L
L
vs
– : –
11 Sep · 14:45
Marseille emblem
Marseille
L
L
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
48%
Rennes
25%
Draw
27%
Marseille

Form Comparison

■ Rennes ■ Marseille
Rennes
Marseille
70%
Form
30%
54%
Att
46%
50%
Def
50%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
20%
H2h
80%
29%
Goals
71%
45%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
17.05.2026
Marseille vs Rennes
3 — 1
03.02.2026
Marseille vs Rennes
3 — 0
15.08.2025
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 0
17.05.2025
Marseille vs Rennes
4 — 2
11.01.2025
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 2
17.03.2024
Rennes vs Marseille
2 — 0
21.01.2024
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 1
03.12.2023
Marseille vs Rennes
2 — 0
05.03.2023
Rennes vs Marseille
0 — 1
20.01.2023
Marseille vs Rennes
1 — 0

Last Matches

Rennes
Marseille
06.09.2026
Angers vs Rennes
2 — 1
30.08.2026
Rennes vs Le Mans
3 — 2
23.08.2026
Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain
2 — 2
15.08.2026
Sunderland vs Rennes
1 — 2
08.08.2026
Rennes vs Brentford
2 — 4
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Marseille
G. Kondogbia, T. Nnadi

Rennes have averaged 1.80 goals per match in their last five games, contrasting sharply with Marseille's average of 2.00 goals scored per match in the same period. This sets the stage for an intriguing contest at Roazhon Park, where Rennes will look to leverage their home advantage to climb higher in the league standings. However, their defensive frailties could be a concern, as they have conceded an average of 2.40 goals per match, compared to Marseille's more robust defensive record of 1.20 goals conceded.

Rennes have shown mixed form at home, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings at Roazhon Park. They have netted an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding 2.20. In contrast, Marseille have struggled on the road, failing to win or draw in their recent away matches and not scoring any goals while conceding an average of 2.00. The head-to-head record further favors Marseille, who have won four out of the last five meetings between these teams, indicating a psychological edge.

From a statistical standpoint, the key numbers suggest a high-scoring affair. Rennes concede frequently, with a troubling average of 2.40 goals allowed in recent matches compared to Marseille's more disciplined defense. However, Rennes' attack, averaging 2.00 goals at home, will test Marseille's resolve. The head-to-head stats underline Marseille's dominance, having scored more than two goals in four of the last five encounters against Rennes. Given these trends, expect both teams to find the back of the net, with defensive lapses likely to play a critical role.

For this encounter, the prediction points towards a tightly contested match with goals likely from both sides. Rennes' home form suggests they can score against Marseille, yet their defensive vulnerabilities might be exploited by Marseille's potent attack. The main betting event is the market for "Both Teams to Score" due to Rennes' ability to score at home and their susceptibility to concede, combined with Marseille's scoring prowess and defensive solidity. With a confidence score of 7, this outcome seems probable given the attacking statistics and historical matchups.

Additional betting events also present intriguing possibilities. The probability of "Total:Over: 3.0" is pegged at 60%, given the attacking capabilities and defensive weaknesses on display. "Handicap 1: 0.5" has a 55% chance, assuming Rennes can hold their ground at home. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" stands at 50%, reflecting Rennes' scoring form at Roazhon Park. Finally, "X2" comes with a 70% probability, considering Marseille's favorable head-to-head record and the overall balance of play.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
50%
X2
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Rennes vs Marseille
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco
3 3 0 0 9
2
Paris FC logoParis FC
3 2 1 0 7
3
Lyon logoLyon
3 2 1 0 7
4
Lille logoLille
3 2 1 0 7
5
Rennes logoRennes ★
3 2 1 0 7
6
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
3 2 0 1 6
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
3 1 2 0 5
8
Lorient logoLorient
3 1 1 1 4
9
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
3 1 1 1 4
10
Marseille logoMarseille ★
3 1 0 2 3
11
Lens logoLens
3 1 0 2 3
12
Angers logoAngers
3 1 0 2 3
13
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
3 0 2 1 2
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
3 0 2 1 2
15
Nice logoNice
3 0 2 1 2
16
Le Havre logoLe Havre
3 0 1 2 1
17
Toulouse logoToulouse
3 0 1 2 1
18
Auxerre logoAuxerre
3 0 0 3 0
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