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Ligue 1

Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 10.05.2026 · 19:00 Stadium de Toulouse Referee: Thomas Leonard, France
Toulouse emblem
Toulouse
W
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 19:00
Lyon emblem
Lyon
W
W
W
W
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.30

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
0%
Toulouse
50%
Draw
50%
Lyon

Form Comparison

■ Toulouse ■ Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
24%
Form
76%
39%
Att
61%
28%
Def
72%
41%
Poisson distribution
59%
29%
H2h
71%
36%
Goals
64%
33%
Total
67%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Lyon vs Toulouse
1 — 2
18.01.2025
Lyon vs Toulouse
0 — 0
29.09.2024
Toulouse vs Lyon
1 — 2
15.03.2024
Toulouse vs Lyon
2 — 3
10.12.2023
Lyon vs Toulouse
3 — 0
14.04.2023
Toulouse vs Lyon
1 — 2
07.10.2022
Lyon vs Toulouse
1 — 1
26.01.2020
Lyon vs Toulouse
3 — 0
18.12.2019
Lyon vs Toulouse
4 — 1
02.11.2019
Toulouse vs Lyon
2 — 3

Last Matches

Toulouse
Lyon
03.05.2026
Strasbourg vs Toulouse
2 — 1
25.04.2026
Toulouse vs Monaco
2 — 2
21.04.2026
Lens vs Toulouse
1 — 4
17.04.2026
Lens vs Toulouse
2 — 3
12.04.2026
Toulouse vs Lille
0 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Ligue 1 season approaches its climax, Toulouse welcomes Lyon to the Stadium de Toulouse in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for May 10th, both teams are battling for different objectives, with Toulouse aiming to finish the season strong and Lyon pushing for a higher league position.

Toulouse Struggles in Form

Toulouse finds themselves in a precarious position, currently sitting 10th in the league. Their recent form has been less than stellar, with only one win in their last five matches. They've struggled at home, managing to secure just one victory in their last five outings in front of their fans. With an average of 0.80 goals scored per game at home and conceding 1.60, their defense will need to tighten up against a formidable Lyon side. Fortunately, Toulouse has no injury or suspension concerns, meaning they can field their strongest lineup as they look to improve on their recent 2-2 draw against Monaco.

Lyon's Quest for Consistency

Lyon is riding a wave of confidence, sitting comfortably in fourth place. Their recent performances have been a mixed bag, but they have shown resilience, notably with an impressive 2-1 victory against Paris Saint Germain. In their last five away matches, Lyon has secured one win and three draws, displaying a solid defensive structure by conceding only one goal per game on average. Offensively, they have been consistent with an average of 1.00 goals scored per game on the road. Lyon will enter the match with a full-strength squad, as they have no players sidelined through injury or suspension.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given the statistical trends, this matchup is likely to see a flurry of goals. Toulouse has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding heavily in recent games, while Lyon has shown they can find the back of the net consistently. The head-to-head record also suggests a history of high-scoring affairs, with their last five meetings producing an average of over three goals per game. Therefore, the most probable outcome would be a high-scoring match, making "Total:Over: 2.5" goals the most likely betting event. With both teams eager to finish the season positively, expect a thrilling contest. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, considering the attacking potential both teams possess and their recent defensive lapses.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Toulouse and Lyon have both been involved in high-scoring matches recently, and their head-to-head history suggests this trend will continue.

3.30
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total:Over: 2.0
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Toulouse vs Lyon
Pin-UP
W14.45
X3.70
W21.74
William Hill
W14.20
X3.60
W21.75
Bet365
W14.33
X3.80
W21.73
Marathonbet
W14.60
X3.90
W21.79
Unibet
W14.10
X3.80
W21.79
Betfair
W13.70
X3.50
W21.91
BetVictor
W14.40
X3.60
W21.70
Pinnacle
W14.58
X3.87
W21.77
SBO
W14.07
X3.35
W21.71
1xBet
W14.68
X3.96
W21.82
Betano
W14.10
X3.75
W21.85
Dafabet
W14.40
X3.80
W21.75

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
31 22 4 5 70
2
Lens logoLens
31 20 4 7 64
3
Lyon logoLyon ★
32 18 6 8 60
4
Lille logoLille
32 17 7 8 58
5
Rennes logoRennes
32 16 8 8 56
6
Monaco logoMonaco
32 16 6 10 54
7
Marseille logoMarseille
32 16 5 11 53
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
31 13 7 11 46
9
Lorient logoLorient
32 10 12 10 42
10
Toulouse logoToulouse ★
32 11 8 13 41
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
32 10 11 11 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
31 10 8 13 38
13
Angers logoAngers
32 9 7 16 34
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
32 6 14 12 32
15
Nice logoNice
32 7 10 15 31
16
Auxerre logoAuxerre
32 6 10 16 28
17
Nantes logoNantes
32 5 8 19 23
18
Metz logoMetz
32 3 7 22 16
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