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Ligue 1

Lille vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 30.10.2026 · 16:05 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Referee: F. Letexier
Lille emblem
Lille
L
D
L
W
W
vs
– : –
30 Oct · 16:05
Lens emblem
Lens
L
W
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
40%
Lille
28%
Draw
32%
Lens

Form Comparison

■ Lille ■ Lens
Lille
Lens
59%
Form
41%
43%
Att
57%
70%
Def
30%
63%
Poisson distribution
37%
80%
H2h
20%
67%
Goals
33%
64%
Total
36%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.04.2026
Lille vs Lens
3 — 0
20.09.2025
Lens vs Lille
3 — 0
30.03.2025
Lille vs Lens
1 — 0
26.10.2024
Lens vs Lille
0 — 2
29.03.2024
Lille vs Lens
2 — 1
08.10.2023
Lens vs Lille
1 — 1
04.03.2023
Lens vs Lille
1 — 1
09.10.2022
Lille vs Lens
1 — 0
16.04.2022
Lille vs Lens
1 — 2
04.01.2022
Lens vs Lille
2 — 2

Last Matches

Lille
Lens
21.10.2026
Lille vs Galatasaray
2 — 4
17.10.2026
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29
1 — 1
13.10.2026
Arsenal vs Lille
0 — 3
10.10.2026
Lille vs Le Havre
1 — 0
02.10.2026
Lille vs Zulte Waregem
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

In the much-anticipated Ligue 1 clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille will host Lens in what promises to be a fiercely contested encounter. Both teams have shown strong performances in recent times, making this match a crucial one for their league ambitions.

Lille’s Home Advantage

Lille comes into this match sitting fourth in the Ligue 1 table with 14 points from seven games. Despite a recent dip in form, including a challenging 4-2 loss against Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League, they have managed a solid home record. With three wins out of their last five home matches, Lille will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage. Their recent league form includes a narrow 1-0 victory over Le Havre and a 1-1 draw with Stade Brestois 29. Lille’s offense has shown potential, averaging 1.2 goals per game over their last five matches, while their defense has been relatively porous, conceding 1.8 goals per game. Facing Lens, Lille will rely on their strong historical head-to-head record, having won four out of their last five encounters against their rivals.

Lens’ Resilient Challenge

Lens, currently eighth in the table with 10 points, have demonstrated resilience and adaptability. Their recent performances include a notable 3-1 win over Estac Troyes and a 2-1 victory against league leaders Lyon. Despite a setback against Club Brugge KV in the Champions League, Lens have been competitive, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings. They have shown particular strength in away fixtures, winning twice and scoring 1.6 goals on average. Lens will be aiming to overcome their recent struggles against Lille, leveraging their current momentum and attacking prowess.

Prediction: Lille to Edge Out Lens

Given Lille’s strong home record and historical dominance over Lens, the prediction is for Lille to win (1). Lille’s ability to capitalize on home advantage, coupled with their urgent need to maintain their position in the top four, makes them slight favorites in this encounter.

Additional predictions include both teams scoring (Yes), reflecting their attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities. The total goals in the match are likely to exceed 2.0 (Over 2.0), with Lille expected to score over 1.5 goals (Total Team 1: Over 1.5). Lens, despite their challenge, may find it tough to score over 1 goal (Total Team 2: Under 1.5), given Lille’s historical defensive strength against them.

Overall, while Lille is expected to secure a narrow victory, Lens’ recent form suggests they will not be an easy opponent, setting the stage for an exciting match.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Lyon logoLyon
7 4 2 1 14
2
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
7 4 2 1 14
3
Paris FC logoParis FC
7 4 2 1 14
4
Lille logoLille ★
7 4 2 1 14
5
Monaco logoMonaco
7 4 2 1 14
6
Rennes logoRennes
7 4 1 2 13
7
Lorient logoLorient
7 3 2 2 11
8
Lens logoLens ★
7 3 1 3 10
9
Marseille logoMarseille
7 3 0 4 9
10
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
7 2 3 2 9
11
Toulouse logoToulouse
7 2 3 2 9
12
Auxerre logoAuxerre
7 3 0 4 9
13
Nice logoNice
7 2 2 3 8
14
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
7 2 1 4 7
15
Angers logoAngers
7 2 1 4 7
16
Le Mans logoLe Mans
7 1 3 3 6
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
7 1 1 5 4
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
7 0 2 5 2
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