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Ligue 1

Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 29.08.2026 · 14:45 Stade du Moustoir Referee: M. Lesage
Lorient emblem
Lorient
D
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
29 Aug · 14:45
Estac Troyes emblem
Estac Troyes
D
D
D
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Lorient
50%
Draw
0%
Estac Troyes

Form Comparison

■ Lorient ■ Estac Troyes
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
85%
H2h
15%
73%
Goals
27%
79%
Total
21%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.02.2025
Estac Troyes vs Lorient
0 — 1
06.12.2024
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
2 — 0
12.03.2023
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
2 — 0
23.10.2022
Estac Troyes vs Lorient
2 — 2
21.05.2022
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
1 — 1
01.12.2021
Estac Troyes vs Lorient
2 — 0
20.03.2020
Estac Troyes vs Lorient
26.10.2019
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
0 — 1
19.04.2019
Lorient vs Estac Troyes
0 — 3
23.11.2018
Estac Troyes vs Lorient
2 — 0

Last Matches

Lorient
Estac Troyes
22.08.2026
Nice vs Lorient
0 — 0
15.08.2026
SV Elversberg vs Lorient
1 — 4
08.08.2026
Angers vs Lorient
1 — 2
04.08.2026
Lorient vs UNFP
5 — 1
25.07.2026
Guingamp vs Lorient
2 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Lorient enters this clash with a solid home form, having won both of their last two matches at Stade du Moustoir and scoring an average of 3.00 goals per game while conceding just 0.50. In contrast, Estac Troyes have a resilient away record, remaining unbeaten in their last three away fixtures, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding only 0.67. These statistics set the stage for an intriguing encounter between two teams that have shown considerable attacking prowess in recent games.

Lorient’s recent form has been a mixed bag with two wins and two losses in their last four outings. However, their home performances have been impeccable, defeating both UNFP and Nantes with a clear margin. Estac Troyes, on the other hand, have shown consistency in their results, drawing their last two games but boasting a comprehensive 5:2 home win against Chasselay MDA and a 3:0 away victory over Grenoble. Both teams have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest sides.

The numbers tell a compelling story. Lorient has averaged 2.00 goals per match in their last five, slightly below Estac Troyes’ 2.20. Despite their lower league position, Troyes have demonstrated a robust defense, conceding just 0.80 goals on average, compared to Lorient’s 1.40. Historically, Lorient has had the upper hand in head-to-head contests, winning three of the last five encounters, with two ending in draws. This data suggests that while Lorient might have the edge, Troyes are no pushovers, especially given their recent defensive solidity.

The prediction for this matchup leans towards a tightly contested affair. Given both teams' attacking records and solid defenses, a draw with goals seems plausible. The most likely betting event is a "1X" result, with Lorient's strong home form suggesting they will at least avoid defeat. Confidence in this outcome is bolstered by Lorient’s unbeaten home streak and their head-to-head superiority over Troyes. Additional probable outcomes include both teams scoring, given their offensive capabilities, and a low-scoring draw appearing likely given their defensive records. Lastly, considering both teams' recent form, a narrow win for either side cannot be ruled out, but a draw remains the most balanced prediction.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
40%
Total:Under: 2.5
45%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Marseille logoMarseille
1 1 0 0 3
2
Lens logoLens
1 1 0 0 3
3
Lille logoLille
1 1 0 0 3
4
Lyon logoLyon
1 1 0 0 3
5
Monaco logoMonaco
1 1 0 0 3
6
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
1 0 1 0 1
7
Le Mans logoLe Mans
1 0 1 0 1
8
Rennes logoRennes
1 0 1 0 1
9
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
1 0 1 0 1
10
Lorient logoLorient ★
1 0 1 0 1
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
1 0 1 0 1
12
Nice logoNice
1 0 1 0 1
13
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes ★
1 0 1 0 1
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
1 0 0 1 0
15
Toulouse logoToulouse
1 0 0 1 0
16
Angers logoAngers
1 0 0 1 0
17
Auxerre logoAuxerre
1 0 0 1 0
18
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
1 0 0 1 0
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