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Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 30.08.2026 · 09:00 Stade Jean Bouin Referee: H. Ben El Hadj Salem
Paris FC emblem
Paris FC
D
L
D
L
D
vs
– : –
30 Aug · 09:00
Nice emblem
Nice
D
D
D
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Paris FC
45%
Draw
10%
Nice

Form Comparison

■ Paris FC ■ Nice
Paris FC
Nice
50%
Form
50%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
80%
H2h
20%
67%
Goals
33%
66%
Total
34%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.03.2026
Paris FC vs Nice
1 — 0
28.09.2025
Nice vs Paris FC
1 — 1

Last Matches

Paris FC
Nice
22.08.2026
Estac Troyes vs Paris FC
0 — 0
15.08.2026
Angers vs Paris FC
2 — 3
12.08.2026
Paris FC vs Auxerre
-
08.08.2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs Paris FC
0 — 4
01.08.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Paris FC
2 — 2
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 2

Paris FC's recent form shows a concerning trend with an average of 2.20 goals conceded per match in their last five outings. This defensive vulnerability contrasts sharply with Nice's recent solidity, conceding just 0.40 goals on average over the same period. The clash at Stade Jean Bouin will see Paris FC, currently 11th in the league, attempting to leverage their home advantage against a Nice side sitting 16th but demonstrating defensive resilience.

Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent performances. Paris FC has struggled to find consistency, evidenced by their mixed results of two draws, two losses, and a solitary win in their last five games. Their home form, however, offers a glimmer of hope with one win and one draw from two matches, despite a modest average of 0.50 goals scored at home. Nice, in contrast, has shown promise with a standout 3-0 victory against Marseille and a commanding 4-0 win over Nimes in their last five matches. The away side's defensive capabilities are underscored by two clean sheets in their last two games, while their away form shows room for improvement with one victory, one draw, and two defeats.

Examining the key numbers, Nice's average of 1.40 goals scored per game is slightly superior to Paris FC's 1.20. However, Nice's away scoring average drops to 0.75, indicating a potential struggle to convert opportunities in unfamiliar territory. Paris FC's struggles in defense are evident with a high average of 2.75 goals conceded away, but at home, they have managed to keep a clean slate. In head-to-head encounters, Paris FC holds a slight edge with one win and one draw, suggesting a competitive match-up. With no injuries or suspensions reported for either side, both teams are at full strength, which could be crucial in determining the outcome.

Given the data, the prediction leans towards a tightly contested match where Nice's defensive strength might be the defining factor. A draw seems the most plausible outcome, with both teams showing tendencies to stalemate in their recent performances. Paris FC's home defensive record adds weight to this prediction, as does Nice's inability to score prolifically on the road. This match is likely to see limited goal-scoring opportunities, with a draw being the most favorable result. The absence of injuries or suspensions further supports a balanced contest.

The main betting prediction for this fixture is "X" (draw). Nice's recent defensive form and Paris FC's strong home defense suggest a low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome. Confidence in this result is rated at 7 out of 10. Additional betting options include "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" with a 70% probability, considering Nice's modest away scoring. A "Handicap 2: 0.5" bet is also viable at 65%, given the likelihood of a close scoreline. "Total:Over: 1.5" at 60% reflects both teams' potential to score at least once. Finally, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" with a 55% probability accounts for Paris FC's ability to find the net on home soil.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Handicap 2: 0.5
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
55%

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Marseille logoMarseille
1 1 0 0 3
2
Lens logoLens
1 1 0 0 3
3
Lille logoLille
1 1 0 0 3
4
Lyon logoLyon
1 1 0 0 3
5
Monaco logoMonaco
1 1 0 0 3
6
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
1 0 1 0 1
7
Le Mans logoLe Mans
1 0 1 0 1
8
Rennes logoRennes
1 0 1 0 1
9
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
1 0 1 0 1
10
Lorient logoLorient
1 0 1 0 1
11
Paris FC logoParis FC ★
1 0 1 0 1
12
Nice logoNice ★
1 0 1 0 1
13
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
1 0 1 0 1
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
1 0 0 1 0
15
Toulouse logoToulouse
1 0 0 1 0
16
Angers logoAngers
1 0 0 1 0
17
Auxerre logoAuxerre
1 0 0 1 0
18
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
1 0 0 1 0
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