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Ligue 1

Marseille VS Paris FC: Final Score & Prediction

Ligue 1 06.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: C. Turpin
Marseille emblem
Marseille
L
W
L
W
W
Full Time
2 – 3
HT 1:2
06 Sep · 14:45
Paris FC emblem
Paris FC
W
D
L
D
L

Match Stats

Marseille 2:3 Paris FC
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
8
2
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Shots Outside Box
6
5
Corners
4
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
644
Total Passes
422
596
Accurate Passes
348

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
1'
Lassine SinayokoGoal · Luca Koleosho
Amine GouiriGoal
8'
19'
Lassine SinayokoGoal · Pablo Pagis
Amine GouiriGoal · Amine Harit
53'
64'
Pablo PagisSubstitution · Rudy Matondo
65'
Rudy MatondoYellow Card
Igor PaixãoSubstitution · Tadjidine Mmadi
72'
Angel GomesSubstitution · Keyliane Abdallah
73'
Nayef AguerdSubstitution · Derek Cornelius
73'
77'
Luca KoleoshoSubstitution · Moses Simon
77'
Ilan KebbalSubstitution · Patrick Zabi
86'
Lassine SinayokoGoal (Penalty)
87'
Lassine SinayokoYellow Card
90+1'
Maxime LópezSubstitution · Moustapha Mbow
90+1'
Lassine SinayokoSubstitution · Omar Sissoko
Emerson PalmieriSubstitution · Ulisses Garcia
90+1'
Himad AbdelliSubstitution · Faris Moumbagna
90+1'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Marseille
26%
Draw
24%
Paris FC

Form Comparison

■ Marseille ■ Paris FC
Marseille
Paris FC
43%
Form
57%
57%
Att
43%
0%
Def
100%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
80%
H2h
20%
64%
Goals
36%
61%
Total
39%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
31.01.2026
Paris FC vs Marseille
2 — 2
23.08.2025
Marseille vs Paris FC
5 — 2

Last Matches

Marseille
Paris FC
30.08.2026
Monaco vs Marseille
0 — 2
21.08.2026
Marseille vs Strasbourg
4 — 0
14.08.2026
Marseille vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 2
09.08.2026
Marseille vs Athletic Club
3 — 1
30.07.2026
Marseille vs Nimes
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Marseille
G. Kondogbia, T. Nnadi
Paris FC
E. Mbemba, J. Ikone, N. Sangui, Otavio

Marseille enters the clash against Paris FC with an impressive statistic: they have scored an average of 2.00 goals per match in their last five outings. This offensive prowess has helped them maintain the top spot in the league. Paris FC, positioned at 12th, will need to tighten their defense, having conceded an average of 1.80 goals per match over the same period.

Form and Context

Marseille's recent form has been buoyant, with three wins in their last five matches. This includes a dominant 4-0 victory over Strasbourg, showcasing their attacking capabilities. However, their form is not without blemishes, as seen in the heavy 0-3 defeat to Nice. Despite these setbacks, their home form remains strong, with three wins out of five and an average of 2.00 goals scored per game.

In contrast, Paris FC's form has been less convincing. They have managed just one win in their last five matches, although their ability to hold teams to draws, as seen in the 0-0 stalemate against Estac Troyes and the 2-2 draw against VfB Stuttgart, indicates resilience. Their away form shows room for improvement, with no wins but three draws, indicating potential for grinding out results.

Key Numbers

Marseille's goal-scoring average of 2.00 dwarfs Paris FC's 0.80. However, defensively, Marseille has been conceding 1.40 goals per match, a statistic they share with their home performance average. Paris FC, on the other hand, has allowed 2.20 goals on average in away games, highlighting a vulnerability that Marseille could exploit.

In head-to-head encounters, Marseille has the upper hand, having secured a decisive 5-2 victory in their last meeting. The teams also played out a 2-2 draw, suggesting that Paris FC can pose challenges, especially if they capitalize on defensive lapses from Marseille.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends and recent performances, a "Win 1" outcome looks probable. Marseille's superior goal-scoring ability, coupled with home advantage and Paris FC's defensive frailties on the road, supports this prediction. While Paris FC has shown they can draw matches, their inability to secure away victories diminishes their prospects against a top-performing Marseille side. Confidence in Marseille securing a win is bolstered by their league-leading position and recent commanding displays.

For additional betting events, consider a "Total:Over: 1.5" given both teams' tendencies to engage in high-scoring matches. A "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" is also plausible, as Marseille has hit this mark in recent victories. Additionally, "X2" might hold value due to Paris FC's knack for drawing away games. Finally, a "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" could occur if Paris FC finds the net as they did in previous encounters with Marseille.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
X2
40%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Marseille vs Paris FC
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco
3 3 0 0 9
2
Paris FC logoParis FC ★
3 2 1 0 7
3
Lyon logoLyon
3 2 1 0 7
4
Lille logoLille
3 2 1 0 7
5
Rennes logoRennes
3 2 1 0 7
6
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
3 2 0 1 6
7
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
3 1 2 0 5
8
Lorient logoLorient
3 1 1 1 4
9
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
3 1 1 1 4
10
Marseille logoMarseille ★
3 1 0 2 3
11
Lens logoLens
3 1 0 2 3
12
Angers logoAngers
3 1 0 2 3
13
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
3 0 2 1 2
14
Le Mans logoLe Mans
3 0 2 1 2
15
Nice logoNice
3 0 2 1 2
16
Le Havre logoLe Havre
3 0 1 2 1
17
Toulouse logoToulouse
3 0 1 2 1
18
Auxerre logoAuxerre
3 0 0 3 0
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