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Ligue 1

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 01.11.2026 · 14:45 Orange Vélodrome Referee: B. Dechepy
Marseille emblem
Marseille
W
L
W
L
W
vs
– : –
01 Nov · 14:45
Toulouse emblem
Toulouse
D
W
D
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Marseille
24%
Draw
26%
Toulouse

Form Comparison

■ Marseille ■ Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
50%
Form
50%
55%
Att
45%
43%
Def
57%
43%
Poisson distribution
57%
71%
H2h
29%
58%
Goals
42%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.03.2026
Toulouse vs Marseille
0 — 1
04.03.2026
Marseille vs Toulouse
2 — 2
29.11.2025
Marseille vs Toulouse
2 — 2
06.04.2025
Marseille vs Toulouse
3 — 2
31.08.2024
Toulouse vs Marseille
1 — 3
21.04.2024
Toulouse vs Marseille
2 — 2
17.09.2023
Marseille vs Toulouse
0 — 0
19.02.2023
Toulouse vs Marseille
2 — 3
29.12.2022
Marseille vs Toulouse
6 — 1
08.02.2020
Marseille vs Toulouse
1 — 0

Last Matches

Marseille
Toulouse
25.10.2026
Marseille vs Le Havre
4 — 3
22.10.2026
Sturm Graz vs Marseille
0 — 1
18.10.2026
Angers vs Marseille
5 — 2
15.10.2026
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0 — 1
11.10.2026
Estac Troyes vs Marseille
2 — 0
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Marseille is set to face Toulouse at the iconic Orange Vélodrome in what promises to be an intriguing Ligue 1 encounter. Both teams are navigating through the early stages of the season with mixed results, sitting in the lower half of the league table. As they prepare to clash, each side will be looking to secure a vital three points to climb up the standings.

Marseille Looking to Bounce Back

Marseille enters this match positioned 10th in the Ligue 1 table, having accumulated 9 points from 7 matches. Their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches across all competitions. Notably, their defeats have come against strong opposition like Paris Saint-Germain and Olympiakos Piraeus, indicating potential resilience against challenging teams. At home, however, Marseille has struggled to capitalize on their opportunities, with four losses in their last five matches. Despite their current league position, Marseille has shown attacking promise, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game in their recent fixtures.

Toulouse Seeking Stability

Toulouse is just two spots below Marseille, in 12th place, also with 9 points from their opening 7 games. Their recent performances have been characterized by high-scoring encounters, as evidenced by their last five matches where they scored 2.40 goals per game. Toulouse has demonstrated a knack for finding the back of the net but has also conceded an average of 1.80 goals, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense. Away from home, Toulouse has managed to remain unbeaten in their last five outings, which might give them a slight edge heading into this fixture.

Predicting a Competitive Matchup

The prediction for this match suggests a closely contested battle between Marseille and Toulouse, with both teams eager to improve their league standings. Given Marseille's home struggles and Toulouse's ability to score on the road, the main prediction for this match is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." This prediction is supported by both teams' recent attacking form and defensive lapses.

Additional predictions for this match include "Double Chance: X2," given Toulouse's unbeaten away record, and "Total: Over 1.5," considering the scoring capabilities of both sides. Furthermore, "Handicap 2: 0.5" is a feasible option, reflecting Toulouse's potential to at least draw the match, while "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" underscores Marseille's likelihood of scoring at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X2
60%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Handicap 2: 0.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano
Dafabet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
8 5 2 1 17
2
Rennes logoRennes
8 5 1 2 16
3
Lille logoLille
8 4 3 1 15
4
Monaco logoMonaco
8 4 3 1 15
5
Lyon logoLyon
8 4 2 2 14
6
Paris FC logoParis FC
8 4 2 2 14
7
Lens logoLens
8 4 1 3 13
8
Marseille logoMarseille ★
8 4 0 4 12
9
Lorient logoLorient
8 3 3 2 12
10
Nice logoNice
8 3 2 3 11
11
Toulouse logoToulouse ★
8 2 4 2 10
12
Auxerre logoAuxerre
8 3 1 4 10
13
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
8 2 3 3 9
14
Angers logoAngers
8 2 2 4 8
15
Le Mans logoLe Mans
8 1 4 3 7
16
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
8 2 1 5 7
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
8 1 2 5 5
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
8 0 2 6 2
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