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Ligue 1

Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 10.10.2026 · 14:45 Stade Louis II Referee: C. Turpin
Monaco emblem
Monaco
W
D
W
W
W
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 14:45
Toulouse emblem
Toulouse
L
W
D
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
58%
Monaco
23%
Draw
19%
Toulouse

Form Comparison

■ Monaco ■ Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
72%
Form
28%
53%
Att
47%
75%
Def
25%
77%
Poisson distribution
23%
62%
H2h
38%
58%
Goals
42%
66%
Total
34%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.04.2026
Toulouse vs Monaco
2 — 2
25.10.2025
Monaco vs Toulouse
1 — 0
07.03.2025
Toulouse vs Monaco
1 — 1
07.12.2024
Monaco vs Toulouse
2 — 0
18.02.2024
Monaco vs Toulouse
1 — 2
20.12.2023
Toulouse vs Monaco
1 — 2
03.06.2023
Monaco vs Toulouse
1 — 2
06.11.2022
Toulouse vs Monaco
0 — 2
16.05.2020
Monaco vs Toulouse
—
04.12.2019
Toulouse vs Monaco
1 — 2

Last Matches

Monaco
Toulouse
18.09.2026
Monaco vs Lens
2 — 1
12.09.2026
Strasbourg vs Monaco
1 — 1
04.09.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco
2 — 1
30.08.2026
Monaco vs Marseille
2 — 0
27.08.2026
Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
4 — 1
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Monaco will host Toulouse in an exciting Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Louis II on October 10, 2026. As the current league leaders, Monaco aims to extend their unbeaten run, while Toulouse seeks to improve their mid-table position.

Monaco's Strong Start

Monaco has started the season in remarkable form, sitting at the top of the Ligue 1 table with 13 points from five matches. Their recent performances have been impressive, with notable victories over strong teams like Paris Saint Germain and Marseille. Monaco's attack has been prolific, averaging 2.20 goals per game over their last five matches, while maintaining a solid defense that has conceded only 0.80 goals per game. At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning four of their last five matches.

Toulouse's Mid-Table Challenges

Toulouse finds themselves in 13th place, having collected five points from their opening five matches. Their recent form has been mixed, with two draws and two losses in their last five games. Despite scoring 1.40 goals per game, their defense has been leaky, conceding 1.80 goals per game. Toulouse's away form has shown promise, with two draws in their last two trips, but they have yet to secure a win on the road this season.

Prediction of the Match Outcome

Given Monaco's strong start to the season and their impressive home form, they are favorites to win this encounter. Monaco's solid defensive record and attacking prowess make them well-equipped to handle Toulouse, who have struggled defensively. Our prediction for the match between Monaco and Toulouse is a home victory for Monaco.

In addition to predicting a win for Monaco, we anticipate the following outcomes: Monaco to score over 1.5 goals, Toulouse to score under 1.5 goals, both teams to score, and a match total over 2.0 goals. Monaco's consistent goal-scoring record and Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities support these predictions.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
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SBO
Betano

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Monaco logoMonaco ★
5 4 1 0 13
2
Lyon logoLyon
5 3 2 0 11
3
Paris FC logoParis FC
5 3 2 0 11
4
Lille logoLille
5 3 1 1 10
5
Rennes logoRennes
5 3 1 1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 8
7
Angers logoAngers
5 2 1 2 7
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
5 2 1 2 7
9
Le Mans logoLe Mans
5 1 3 1 6
10
Auxerre logoAuxerre
5 2 0 3 6
11
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 5
12
Lorient logoLorient
5 1 2 2 5
13
Toulouse logoToulouse ★
5 1 2 2 5
14
Nice logoNice
5 1 2 2 5
15
Lens logoLens
5 1 1 3 4
16
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
5 1 1 3 4
17
Marseille logoMarseille
5 1 0 4 3
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
5 0 2 3 2
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