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Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction

Major League Soccer 04.09.2026 · 19:30 Yankee Stadium Referee: A. Da Silva
New York City FC emblem
New York City FC
D
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
04 Sep · 19:30
Nashville SC emblem
Nashville SC
W
W
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
39%
New York City FC
26%
Draw
35%
Nashville SC

Form Comparison

■ New York City FC ■ Nashville SC
New York City FC
Nashville SC
19%
Form
81%
30%
Att
70%
38%
Def
62%
32%
Poisson distribution
68%
50%
H2h
50%
53%
Goals
47%
37%
Total
63%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
23.05.2026
Nashville SC vs New York City FC
2 — 1
17.08.2025
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
2 — 1
31.05.2025
Nashville SC vs New York City FC
2 — 2
06.10.2024
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
3 — 1
22.06.2024
Nashville SC vs New York City FC
1 — 0
15.04.2023
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
2 — 1
25.02.2023
Nashville SC vs New York City FC
2 — 0
03.10.2021
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
0 — 0
03.09.2021
Nashville SC vs New York City FC
3 — 1

Last Matches

New York City FC
Nashville SC
29.08.2026
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
1 — 1
23.08.2026
New England Revolution vs New York City FC
1 — 1
19.08.2026
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
1 — 2
16.08.2026
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
2 — 3
13.08.2026
New York City FC vs Necaxa
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

New York City FC
A. Farnos, A. Martinez, A. O'Neill, D. Baiera, H. Wolf, K. Parks, K. Trewin, M. Moralez, Talles Magno, Thiago Martins
Nashville SC
C. Applewhite, W. Madrigal

Nashville SC comes into this matchup on the back of a prolific scoring streak, averaging 2.60 goals per game over their last five matches. New York City FC, meanwhile, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.00 goals in that same span. This stark contrast in current form might be pivotal as the two teams clash at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC's recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five matches. Their home performance has been slightly better, boasting two wins, one draw, and two losses, while scoring an average of 1.80 goals and conceding 1.40. Nashville SC, however, shows a more balanced form, winning three of their last five matches. When playing away, they have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses, with a slightly lower scoring rate of 1.40 goals per game compared to their overall average.

Both teams have met five times previously, with a balanced record of two wins each and one draw. The last encounter ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for Nashville SC. Given the current statistics, Nashville appears to have the edge in terms of recent form both offensively and defensively. However, New York City's slightly superior home scoring rate could prove a decisive factor.

New York City FC has scored an average of 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defensive frailties have been evident, allowing 2.00 goals on average. In contrast, Nashville SC has been more robust, conceding only 1.20 goals per game. At home, New York City FC scores more frequently, with an average of 1.80 goals, which may counteract Nashville's strong defense. The head-to-head statistics reveal a balanced rivalry, suggesting that while Nashville is in better form, New York City FC cannot be easily counted out, especially at home.

The prediction for this match leans towards a close contest, with Nashville SC's form giving them a slight edge. Considering New York City FC's consistent scoring at home and Nashville's solid defensive record, a draw seems plausible. This is particularly supported by their head-to-head results, which have often been tight affairs. The most likely betting event for this match is a "Draw (X)" outcome, bolstered by Nashville's strong recent performances and New York City FC's resilience at home.

For additional betting scenarios, consider Nashville SC to maintain their scoring streak with "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5", given their impressive offensive form. New York City FC's home scoring suggests "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is probable. The match's historical tendency for goals makes "Total:Over: 1.5" a likely outcome. Finally, with both teams having shown vulnerabilities at the back, "Total:Over: 3.0" also holds value, especially with both teams averaging over one goal per game recently.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total:Over: 3.0
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

New York City FC vs Nashville SC
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano
Superbet
Dafabet

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
21 13 4 4 43
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
22 12 3 7 39
3
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
23 10 6 7 36
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
22 10 4 8 34
5
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
22 9 7 6 34
6
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
22 9 7 6 34
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
22 10 1 11 31
8
San Diego logoSan Diego
22 8 6 8 30
9
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
22 7 8 7 29
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
21 8 4 9 28
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
22 8 4 10 28
12
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
21 7 5 9 26
13
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
23 6 8 9 26
14
Austin logoAustin
22 6 6 10 24
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
22 4 3 15 15
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