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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Major League Soccer 05.09.2026 · 19:30 BMO Field Referee: S. Demianchuk
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
D
W
D
W
D
vs
– : –
05 Sep · 19:30
Chicago Fire emblem
Chicago Fire
D
L
D
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
34%
Toronto FC
25%
Draw
41%
Chicago Fire

Form Comparison

■ Toronto FC ■ Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
45%
Form
55%
50%
Att
50%
46%
Def
54%
40%
Poisson distribution
60%
15%
H2h
85%
35%
Goals
65%
39%
Total
62%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
23.05.2026
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
2 — 1
04.10.2025
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
2 — 2
15.03.2025
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
1 — 2
28.09.2024
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
1 — 1
15.06.2024
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
1 — 4
15.07.2023
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
1 — 0
31.05.2023
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
0 — 0
13.07.2022
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
2 — 0
28.05.2022
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
3 — 2
03.10.2021
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
3 — 1

Last Matches

Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
29.08.2026
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
1 — 1
22.08.2026
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
2 — 1
19.08.2026
Toronto FC vs Charlotte
3 — 3
15.08.2026
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
2 — 1
31.07.2026
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Toronto FC enters the match against Chicago Fire having scored an average of 1.80 goals across their last five games. Despite this offensive output, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 1.60 goals per match. In contrast, Chicago Fire has been slightly more balanced with 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded over the same period.

Form and Context

Toronto FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. Their home performances have also been lackluster, having secured just one victory in their last five home games, alongside two draws and two losses. The defensive issues are more pronounced at home, where they concede an average of 2.40 goals per game. Meanwhile, Chicago Fire has shown resilience, especially on the road, with two wins and a draw in their last five away fixtures. The Fire's away defense has been shaky, conceding 1.60 goals on average, but their recent victories showcase their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Key Numbers

In head-to-head encounters, Chicago Fire has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings, with the remaining two ending in draws. This historical advantage may give them a psychological edge. Toronto FC’s home scoring average stands at 1.80, which is equal to their overall average, but they need to tighten their defense at home. On the other hand, Chicago Fire's away scoring average of 1.40, although lower than their home average, suggests they can find the net on the road. Both teams have shown a propensity to score, and their defenses have been porous, setting up a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Prediction

The upcoming clash at BMO Field is likely to see both teams finding the back of the net, given their scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities. A draw seems a plausible outcome, given Toronto's tendency to share points at home and Chicago's mixed away form. The most probable betting event is "Both Teams to Score," considering the offensive abilities and defensive lapses of both teams. With neither side having injured or suspended players, the teams will be at full strength, further supporting the likelihood of an open game. Additional predictions include a potential draw given the closely matched nature of recent encounters, and with each side capable of scoring, expect a competitive display.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
1X
60%
X2
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano
Dafabet

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
21 13 4 4 43
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
22 12 3 7 39
3
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
23 10 6 7 36
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
22 10 4 8 34
5
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
22 9 7 6 34
6
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
22 9 7 6 34
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
22 10 1 11 31
8
San Diego logoSan Diego
22 8 6 8 30
9
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
22 7 8 7 29
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
21 8 4 9 28
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
22 8 4 10 28
12
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
21 7 5 9 26
13
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
23 6 8 9 26
14
Austin logoAustin
22 6 6 10 24
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
22 4 3 15 15
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