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Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Major League Soccer 18.09.2026 · 19:30 Yankee Stadium Referee: J. Freemon
New York City FC emblem
New York City FC
W
L
D
D
D
vs
– : –
18 Sep · 19:30
New York Red Bulls emblem
New York Red Bulls
W
L
D
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
52%
New York City FC
24%
Draw
24%
New York Red Bulls

Form Comparison

■ New York City FC ■ New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
55%
Form
45%
63%
Att
38%
60%
Def
40%
62%
Poisson distribution
38%
71%
H2h
29%
60%
Goals
40%
62%
Total
38%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.05.2026
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 1
29.04.2026
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 3
27.09.2025
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
2 — 3
17.05.2025
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 0
23.11.2024
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 2
28.09.2024
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 5
18.05.2024
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 1
16.09.2023
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 0
03.08.2023
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 0
13.05.2023
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 0

Last Matches

New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
12.09.2026
Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC
2 — 0
09.09.2026
New York City FC vs New England Revolution
1 — 2
04.09.2026
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
0 — 0
29.08.2026
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
1 — 1
23.08.2026
New England Revolution vs New York City FC
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

New York City FC
A. Farnos, D. Baiera, K. Parks, K. Trewin, M. Moralez, Talles Magno
New York Red Bulls
A. Marcucci, J. Che, J. Marshall-Rutty, N. Benedetti

New York City FC and New York Red Bulls enter this derby clash on the back of contrasting performances in recent weeks. A key statistic to note is that New York City FC have managed to secure three victories in their last five head-to-head meetings with the Red Bulls, while the latter have just one win in the same period. The upcoming match at Yankee Stadium is expected to be another fiercely contested encounter.

New York City FC have shown mixed form in their recent matches, with their last five games resulting in one win, two draws, and two losses. They have averaged 0.60 goals per game in this period, conceding 0.80 on average. Their home form follows a similar pattern, with just one win in their last five outings, accompanied by two draws and two losses. Their average goals scored and conceded at home stand at an even 1.00.

Conversely, New York Red Bulls have struggled more in recent times, with only one win in their last five matches. They have drawn once and lost three times, averaging 0.60 goals per game while conceding 1.40. Their away form, however, sheds some positive light with two wins and one draw in their last five away games, indicating a slightly better performance on the road. This sets an interesting dynamic as they face a local rival with a comparable home record.

Analyzing the numbers further, New York City FC's home performance indicates a balanced scoring and conceding pattern, each averaging 1.00 goals per game. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have shown vulnerability, particularly at home, where they have conceded an average of 1.80 goals. However, their away form displays a more balanced approach with 1.40 goals scored and conceded per game.

The head-to-head statistics favor New York City FC, who have secured three wins out of the last five encounters. New York Red Bulls' solitary victory came as a 2-0 away win, which they would aim to replicate. In their most recent meeting, both teams played to a 1-1 draw, suggesting a closely matched affair.

Prediction for the match leans towards a tightly contested battle, given the statistics. With both teams averaging below 1.00 goals scored per game recently, a low-scoring draw seems plausible. However, considering the Red Bulls' slightly better away form, a double chance bet on New York Red Bulls to either win or draw (X2) emerges as the most likely betting event. This is supported by their ability to score and earn points away from home, contrasted against New York City FC's inconsistent home form.

In addition to the main prediction, betting on under 2.5 goals remains logical given both teams' recent scoring trends. A draw, a win for New York City FC, or a narrow win for either side with low goal margins are probable outcomes. The absence of injuries and suspensions for both teams ensures that neither side is at a personnel disadvantage, making these predictions more reliable.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
30%
Win 1
25%
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
50%

Bookmakers Odds Online

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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