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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Toronto FC Prediction

Major League Soccer 19.09.2026 · 20:30 CITYPARK Referee: L. Szpala
St. Louis City emblem
St. Louis City
W
W
D
W
D
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 20:30
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
L
W
D
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
St. Louis City
24%
Draw
20%
Toronto FC

Form Comparison

■ St. Louis City ■ Toronto FC
St. Louis City
Toronto FC
58%
Form
42%
61%
Att
39%
53%
Def
47%
70%
Poisson distribution
30%
100%
H2h
0%
100%
Goals
0%
61%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.07.2023
Toronto FC vs St. Louis City
0 — 1

Last Matches

St. Louis City
Toronto FC
16.09.2026
Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
3 — 0
12.09.2026
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
4 — 2
09.09.2026
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City
2 — 2
05.09.2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
3 — 1
30.08.2026
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas
3 — 3
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

St. Louis City
Celio Pompeu, K. Hiebert, P. Ault
Toronto FC
D. Mihailovic, J. Osorio, L. Stefanovic, N. Palacio

St. Louis City comes into this match against Toronto FC with a recent unbeaten streak in their last five games, showcasing a solid record of three wins and two draws. Their offensive prowess is evident, with an average of 2.20 goals scored per match. This attacking strength is complemented by a resilient defense, conceding 1.60 goals on average in the same period. In contrast, Toronto FC also remains unbeaten in their last five outings, but their performance has seen them secure two wins alongside three draws. Toronto averages 2.40 goals per game, yet their defense appears slightly more vulnerable, conceding 2.00 goals on average.

St. Louis City boasts an impressive home record, with three wins and two draws in their last five home fixtures. They maintain an average of 2.00 goals scored per game at CITYPARK while allowing 1.40 goals. Toronto FC's travels have been less prolific, with only one win in their last five away matches, complemented by three draws and one loss. Their away form sees them scoring an average of 0.80 goals and conceding the same number. When these two sides faced each other previously, St. Louis City emerged victorious with a 1-0 win over Toronto, indicating a favorable head-to-head record.

Given these statistics, predicting the outcome of this encounter involves analyzing the strengths and vulnerabilities of both teams. St. Louis City's strong home form and potent attack suggest they could capitalize on Toronto's defensive frailties, especially considering Toronto's struggle to secure wins away from home. A prediction that stands out is the likelihood of St. Louis City maintaining their unbeaten home streak. Both teams are expected to find the back of the net, given their recent goal-scoring performances. However, St. Louis City's superior form and head-to-head advantage suggest they are more likely to edge this encounter.

The most probable betting event for this match is St. Louis City to win with a handicap of -0.5. The rationale for this prediction lies in St. Louis City's superior home form and their ability to score consistently, coupled with Toronto's struggles to secure victories on the road. This event provides a balanced assessment of St. Louis City's advantage without disregarding Toronto's potential for resilience.

Additional betting predictions include a draw at halftime, considering both teams' tendency to start cautiously; a probability of around 45% for this event. Another plausible event is both teams to score, given their high average goals scored recently, carrying a probability of 60%. Furthermore, a total match goals over 3.0 reflects the attacking capabilities of both sides, with a probability of 55%. Lastly, St. Louis City to score over 1.5 goals seems likely, given their recent scoring form, with a probability of 65%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
45%
Total:Over: 3.0
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

St. Louis City vs Toronto FC
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City ★
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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