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Primeira Liga

FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 20.09.2026 · 15:30 Referee: J. Pinheiro
FC Porto emblem
FC Porto
W
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 15:30
Benfica emblem
Benfica
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
37%
FC Porto
28%
Draw
35%
Benfica

Form Comparison

■ FC Porto ■ Benfica
FC Porto
Benfica
50%
Form
50%
41%
Att
59%
50%
Def
50%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
38%
H2h
62%
33%
Goals
67%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.03.2026
Benfica vs FC Porto
2 — 2
14.01.2026
FC Porto vs Benfica
1 — 0
05.10.2025
FC Porto vs Benfica
0 — 0
06.04.2025
FC Porto vs Benfica
1 — 4
10.11.2024
Benfica vs FC Porto
4 — 1
03.03.2024
FC Porto vs Benfica
5 — 0
29.09.2023
Benfica vs FC Porto
1 — 0
09.08.2023
Benfica vs FC Porto
2 — 0
07.04.2023
Benfica vs FC Porto
1 — 2
21.10.2022
FC Porto vs Benfica
0 — 1

Last Matches

FC Porto
Benfica
12.09.2026
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
4 — 1
08.09.2026
FC Porto vs Manchester City
0 — 2
04.09.2026
FC Porto vs Moreirense
2 — 1
29.08.2026
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
3 — 0
23.08.2026
FC Porto vs Arouca
2 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

FC Porto's recent form has been impressive, boasting an average of 1.80 goals scored per match in their last five outings. However, they face a formidable challenge in Benfica, who have maintained an even more prolific scoring rate of 3.00 goals per game over the same period. Both teams are in excellent form, occupying the top two positions in the Primeira Liga, with Porto leading the table by a narrow margin. This match-up promises to be a thrilling encounter between two attacking powerhouses.

Form and Context

FC Porto enters this clash with a strong home record, having secured four wins from their last five matches at home. Their defense has been particularly tight, conceding an average of just 0.60 goals per match on their turf. Conversely, Benfica has been equally dominant on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last five away games and scoring an impressive 3.60 goals on average. These statistics highlight the attacking prowess and defensive solidity of both teams, setting the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.

Key Numbers

Analyzing the recent results, FC Porto has been efficient in both scoring and defending, with a home scoring average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding just 0.60. Meanwhile, Benfica's away performance has been nothing short of spectacular. With an average of 3.60 goals scored per away game and only 0.40 conceded, they have shown remarkable consistency. In head-to-head encounters, the results have been mixed, with Benfica winning two of the last five meetings while Porto managed one victory and two draws. These numbers suggest that while Benfica has had the upper hand recently, Porto's home advantage could play a significant role.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, a draw appears to be a likely outcome for this top-of-the-table clash. Both teams are scoring freely, yet their defenses are also resilient. The prediction leans towards a stalemate, bolstered by the fact that two of their last five head-to-head encounters ended in draws. The most probable betting event is a draw, given the balanced dynamics and the teams' similar defensive records. However, additional betting events such as both teams to score or a draw with goals could also offer value, considering the attacking capabilities of both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X2
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 2
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
75%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

FC Porto vs Benfica
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto ★
6 6 0 0 18
2
Benfica logoBenfica ★
6 5 1 0 16
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
6 4 2 0 14
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
6 4 2 0 14
5
Arouca logoArouca
6 3 1 2 10
6
Estrela logoEstrela
6 2 4 0 10
7
SC Braga logoSC Braga
5 3 1 1 10
8
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
6 2 2 2 8
9
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
5 2 1 2 7
10
Maritimo logoMaritimo
6 2 1 3 7
11
Moreirense logoMoreirense
6 2 1 3 7
12
Alverca logoAlverca
6 1 2 3 5
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
6 0 4 2 4
14
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
6 1 1 4 4
15
Nacional logoNacional
6 1 1 4 4
16
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
6 1 1 4 4
17
Estoril logoEstoril
6 0 2 4 2
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
6 0 1 5 1
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