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Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga 19.09.2026 · 15:30 Referee: H. Carvalho
Sporting CP emblem
Sporting CP
D
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 15:30
Arouca emblem
Arouca
L
D
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
79%
Sporting CP
14%
Draw
7%
Arouca

Form Comparison

■ Sporting CP ■ Arouca
Sporting CP
Arouca
65%
Form
35%
65%
Att
35%
56%
Def
44%
85%
Poisson distribution
15%
93%
H2h
7%
84%
Goals
16%
75%
Total
25%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.01.2026
Arouca vs Sporting CP
1 — 2
17.08.2025
Sporting CP vs Arouca
6 — 0
15.02.2025
Sporting CP vs Arouca
2 — 2
13.09.2024
Arouca vs Sporting CP
0 — 3
10.03.2024
Arouca vs Sporting CP
0 — 3
08.10.2023
Sporting CP vs Arouca
2 — 1
16.04.2023
Sporting CP vs Arouca
1 — 1
24.01.2023
Arouca vs Sporting CP
1 — 2
29.10.2022
Arouca vs Sporting CP
1 — 0
05.03.2022
Sporting CP vs Arouca
2 — 0

Last Matches

Sporting CP
Arouca
13.09.2026
Famalicao vs Sporting CP
1 — 1
09.09.2026
Sporting CP vs Galatasaray
3 — 1
05.09.2026
Sporting CP vs Nacional
2 — 0
28.08.2026
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
4 — 0
22.08.2026
Sporting CP vs Alverca
3 — 1
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Sporting CP enters this clash with an impressive average of 3.00 goals scored per match in their last five outings, underscoring their potent attacking form. Meanwhile, Arouca's resilience has seen them concede just 0.60 goals on average over the same period. Both teams will be keen to assert their current form in this Primeira Liga encounter.

Form and Context

Sporting CP has been in scintillating form, winning all of their last five matches. Their offensive prowess is evident, having scored three or more goals in each of these games. In contrast, Arouca has also shown solid form, albeit with a more defensive approach. They have secured three wins and a draw in their last five matches, with a notable victory over Maritimo and a clean sheet against Estoril. Both teams are positioned high in the league, with Sporting CP sitting third and Arouca in fifth, setting the stage for a competitive matchup.

Key Numbers

Sporting CP's offensive statistics are impressive, with an average of 3.00 goals per game both at home and overall. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.80 goals per match on average. Arouca, on the other hand, has a stark contrast in their scoring between home and away matches. While they average 3.00 goals at home, their away form sees a drop to an average of just 0.60 goals scored. Defensively, they have been consistent, conceding 1.00 goal on average away from home. The head-to-head history strongly favors Sporting CP, who have won four of their last five encounters against Arouca, with the remaining match ending in a draw. Notably, Sporting CP has scored three or more goals in three of these contests.

Prediction

Given Sporting CP's formidable home record and scoring capabilities, the prediction leans towards a Sporting CP victory. However, Arouca's defensive resilience suggests they will keep the scoreline respectable. The standout betting event is "Total Team 1 Over: 2.5," given Sporting CP's recent goal-scoring exploits and their historical performance against Arouca.

Additional betting events include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a high probability due to Sporting CP's scoring trend, and "Handicap 1: 1" as Sporting CP is likely to win by more than one goal. "Total Team 2 Under: 1" also presents a strong case, given Arouca's limited scoring away from home. Finally, "Win 1" for Sporting CP is probable given their current form and head-to-head dominance.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Handicap 1: 1
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
80%
Win 1
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sporting CP vs Arouca
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Pinnacle

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
6 6 0 0 18
2
Benfica logoBenfica
6 5 1 0 16
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP ★
6 4 2 0 14
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
6 4 2 0 14
5
Arouca logoArouca ★
6 3 1 2 10
6
Estrela logoEstrela
6 2 4 0 10
7
SC Braga logoSC Braga
5 3 1 1 10
8
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
6 2 2 2 8
9
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
5 2 1 2 7
10
Maritimo logoMaritimo
6 2 1 3 7
11
Moreirense logoMoreirense
6 2 1 3 7
12
Alverca logoAlverca
6 1 2 3 5
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
6 0 4 2 4
14
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
6 1 1 4 4
15
Nacional logoNacional
6 1 1 4 4
16
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
6 1 1 4 4
17
Estoril logoEstoril
6 0 2 4 2
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
6 0 1 5 1
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