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Serie A

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 20.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: F. La Penna
AC Milan emblem
AC Milan
L
D
D
W
W
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 14:45
Lecce emblem
Lecce
W
L
L
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
73%
AC Milan
18%
Draw
9%
Lecce

Form Comparison

■ AC Milan ■ Lecce
AC Milan
Lecce
57%
Form
43%
58%
Att
42%
64%
Def
36%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
86%
Goals
14%
66%
Total
34%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.01.2026
AC Milan vs Lecce
1 — 0
23.09.2025
AC Milan vs Lecce
3 — 0
29.08.2025
Lecce vs AC Milan
0 — 2
08.03.2025
Lecce vs AC Milan
2 — 3
27.09.2024
AC Milan vs Lecce
3 — 0
06.04.2024
AC Milan vs Lecce
3 — 0
11.11.2023
Lecce vs AC Milan
2 — 2
23.04.2023
AC Milan vs Lecce
2 — 0
14.01.2023
Lecce vs AC Milan
2 — 2
22.06.2020
Lecce vs AC Milan
1 — 4

Last Matches

AC Milan
Lecce
16.09.2026
AC Milan vs Benfica
0 — 2
12.09.2026
Lazio vs AC Milan
2 — 2
06.09.2026
Juventus vs AC Milan
1 — 1
28.08.2026
AC Milan vs Venezia
2 — 0
23.08.2026
Torino vs AC Milan
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Lecce
O. Gandelman, W. Geubbels

AC Milan heads into this clash against Lecce with a dominant head-to-head record, having won all of their last five encounters. Their recent form has been more consistent compared to Lecce's, which could play a pivotal role in the outcome of this match. AC Milan sits fifth in the league, with performances that have shown both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. In contrast, Lecce finds themselves in 14th place, struggling to find consistency in their results.

In terms of form and context, AC Milan appears the stronger of the two sides. Milan’s last five matches have yielded three wins, one draw, and one loss, showcasing their competitive edge. They have managed to score an average of 1.80 goals per match while conceding just 1.40. Their home form is particularly impressive, with an average of 1.50 goals scored and only 0.50 goals conceded. Lecce, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their scoring record is less promising, averaging only 0.60 goals per game while conceding 1.40, which highlights their vulnerability at the back.

Key numbers provide further insight into the potential dynamics of this match. At home, AC Milan has been effective, translating their opportunities into results with limited defensive lapses. In contrast, Lecce’s away form shows an average of 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, indicating a more conservative approach on the road. Historically, Lecce has struggled against Milan, failing to secure any victory in their last five meetings. This head-to-head record, combined with Lecce’s lower scoring rate, suggests a challenging outing for the visitors at an unspecified stadium.

The prediction for this match leans heavily in favor of AC Milan, given their superior form and historical dominance over Lecce. While a straightforward win for Milan is anticipated, the most likely betting event is for AC Milan to keep a clean sheet. With Milan’s solid home defensive record and Lecce’s struggles in front of goal, this outcome seems plausible. A clean sheet for Milan is supported by their home defensive statistics and Lecce’s scoring inefficiencies. Additional predictions include an AC Milan win, the game having under 2.5 goals, Milan scoring first, and Lecce failing to score. These predictions align with current form and statistical trends observed in both teams.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
X2
30%
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AC Milan vs Lecce
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AS Roma logoAS Roma
4 4 0 0 12
2
Inter logoInter
4 4 0 0 12
3
Como logoComo
4 3 1 0 10
4
Lazio logoLazio
4 3 1 0 10
5
Cagliari logoCagliari
4 3 0 1 9
6
AC Milan logoAC Milan ★
4 2 2 0 8
7
Frosinone logoFrosinone
4 2 1 1 7
8
Juventus logoJuventus
4 2 1 1 7
9
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
5 2 1 2 7
10
Napoli logoNapoli
4 2 0 2 6
11
Atalanta logoAtalanta
4 2 0 2 6
12
Lecce logoLecce ★
4 2 0 2 6
13
Udinese logoUdinese
4 1 1 2 4
14
Monza logoMonza
5 1 1 3 4
15
Torino logoTorino
4 1 0 3 3
16
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
4 1 0 3 3
17
Bologna logoBologna
4 0 1 3 1
18
Parma logoParma
4 0 1 3 1
19
Genoa logoGenoa
4 0 1 3 1
20
Venezia logoVenezia
4 0 0 4 0
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