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Serie A

Monza VS Sassuolo: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 18.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: D. Perenzoni
Monza emblem
Monza
L
D
W
L
L
Full Time
2 – 1
HT 0:0
18 Sep · 14:45
Sassuolo emblem
Sassuolo
W
D
D
W
L

Match Stats

Monza 2:1 Sassuolo
36%
Ball Possession
64%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
15
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Target
8
6
Shots off Target
7
3
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots Inside Box
13
7
Shots Outside Box
7
7
Corners
5
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
6
4
Yellow Cards
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4
311
Total Passes
566
248
Accurate Passes
502
80%
Pass Accuracy
89%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
E. KouadioYellow Card
30'
⚽ G. VarelaGoal · S. Birindelli
51'
⇆ P. CutroneSubstitution · D. Mota
56'
⇆ R. MangasSubstitution · A. Bakoune
56'
⇆ E. AkinsanmiroSubstitution · F. Ondoa
56'
⚽ G. VarelaGoal (Penalty)
63'
64'
K. ThorstvedtSubstitution · K. Bowie ⇆
64'
N. MaticSubstitution · L. Lipani ⇆
72'
D. BerardiSubstitution · B. Dominguez ⇆
72'
S. EspositoSubstitution · V. Adzic ⇆
M. FolorunshoYellow Card
74'
⇆ J. RobinsonSubstitution · M. Mout
82'
82'
D. BakolaSubstitution · L. Skjellerup ⇆
85'
L. LipaniYellow Card
S. BirindelliYellow Card
85'
88'
V. AdzicGoal ⚽
G. VarelaYellow Card
90+2'
⇆ S. BirindelliSubstitution · Y. Maye
90+3'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
33%
Monza
28%
Draw
39%
Sassuolo

Form Comparison

■ Monza ■ Sassuolo
Monza
Sassuolo
13%
Form
88%
43%
Att
57%
39%
Def
61%
48%
Poisson distribution
52%
85%
H2h
15%
64%
Goals
36%
49%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.08.2024
Monza vs Sassuolo
2 — 2
28.01.2024
Monza vs Sassuolo
1 — 0
02.10.2023
Sassuolo vs Monza
0 — 1
19.05.2023
Sassuolo vs Monza
1 — 2
22.01.2023
Monza vs Sassuolo
1 — 1

Last Matches

Monza
Sassuolo
13.09.2026
Lecce vs Monza
2 — 3
06.09.2026
Parma vs Monza
1 — 1
01.09.2026
Torino vs Monza
1 — 0
29.08.2026
Monza vs Udinese
2 — 3
22.08.2026
Inter vs Monza
1 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Monza
I. Toure, J. Ziolkowski, M. Pessina, P. Ciurria
Sassuolo
C. Volpato, D. Boloca, E. Pieragnolo, F. Cande, I. Kone, J. Idzes, S. Walukiewicz, Y. Paz

Monza enters this Serie A clash against Sassuolo with a solid head-to-head advantage, having won three of their last five encounters while drawing the other two. Both teams, however, are experiencing contrasting fortunes this season. Monza sits at 17th in the league, grappling with inconsistency, whereas Sassuolo occupies a more comfortable 10th position.

Monza's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Notably, Monza boasts a strong home scoring record, averaging 2.60 goals per game, but they also concede an average of 2.40 goals. This defensive fragility has been a major concern. On the other hand, Sassuolo's form is somewhat steadier with two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five matches. They have struggled on the road, failing to secure a victory in their last four away games, drawing one and losing three. Their away defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game.

Both teams have shown a proclivity for high-scoring matches. Monza averages 1.60 goals scored and conceded per match in their last five games. In contrast, Sassuolo scores an average of 1.80 goals while conceding 1.20. This trend is evident in their head-to-head history as well, with four of the last five matches seeing both teams score. Monza's superior record against Sassuolo in recent times further highlights their competitive edge. However, Sassuolo's slightly better goal-scoring form could pose a significant challenge for Monza's brittle defense.

The prediction (pronostico) for this match leans towards a competitive encounter with both teams finding the net. Given Monza's strong home scoring record and Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high. A draw also seems plausible given the teams' recent performances and head-to-head history. The main event prediction focuses on Sassuolo's inability to win away from home, suggesting a bet on "1X" (Monza win or draw) with a confidence score of 7. This market is backed by Monza's undefeated record against Sassuolo and their reasonable home form. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a probability of 80%, considering both teams' offensive capabilities. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" has a 65% probability, driven by Monza's strong home scoring trend. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is likely at 75%, given Sassuolo's consistent scoring. Lastly, the "X" outcome, a draw, is estimated at 40% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of both teams' recent encounters.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
X
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
Bet365
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Betfair
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
6 5 1 0 16
2
Lazio logoLazio
6 5 1 0 16
3
AS Roma logoAS Roma
6 4 2 0 14
4
Frosinone logoFrosinone
7 4 1 2 13
5
Cagliari logoCagliari
6 4 1 1 13
6
AC Milan logoAC Milan
6 3 3 0 12
7
Juventus logoJuventus
6 3 2 1 11
8
Como logoComo
6 3 2 1 11
9
Napoli logoNapoli
6 3 1 2 10
10
Atalanta logoAtalanta
6 3 0 3 9
11
Sassuolo logoSassuolo ★
7 2 2 3 8
12
Torino logoTorino
6 2 1 3 7
13
Lecce logoLecce
6 2 0 4 6
14
Bologna logoBologna
6 1 2 3 5
15
Udinese logoUdinese
6 1 1 4 4
16
Monza logoMonza ★
6 1 1 4 4
17
Genoa logoGenoa
6 1 1 4 4
18
Parma logoParma
6 1 1 4 4
19
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
6 1 1 4 4
20
Venezia logoVenezia
6 0 0 6 0
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