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Serie A

Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 18.09.2026 · 14:45
Monza emblem
Monza
D
W
L
L
W
vs
– : –
18 Sep · 14:45
Sassuolo emblem
Sassuolo
D
D
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
34%
Monza
29%
Draw
37%
Sassuolo

Form Comparison

■ Monza ■ Sassuolo
Monza
Sassuolo
20%
Form
80%
44%
Att
56%
38%
Def
62%
49%
Poisson distribution
51%
85%
H2h
15%
64%
Goals
36%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.08.2024
Monza vs Sassuolo
2 — 2
28.01.2024
Monza vs Sassuolo
1 — 0
02.10.2023
Sassuolo vs Monza
0 — 1
19.05.2023
Sassuolo vs Monza
1 — 2
22.01.2023
Monza vs Sassuolo
1 — 1

Last Matches

Monza
Sassuolo
06.09.2026
Parma vs Monza
1 — 1
01.09.2026
Torino vs Monza
1 — 0
29.08.2026
Monza vs Udinese
2 — 3
22.08.2026
Inter vs Monza
1 — 4
14.08.2026
Monza vs Avellino
3 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Monza enters this Serie A clash against Sassuolo with a solid head-to-head advantage, having won three of their last five encounters while drawing the other two. Both teams, however, are experiencing contrasting fortunes this season. Monza sits at 17th in the league, grappling with inconsistency, whereas Sassuolo occupies a more comfortable 10th position.

Monza's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Notably, Monza boasts a strong home scoring record, averaging 2.60 goals per game, but they also concede an average of 2.40 goals. This defensive fragility has been a major concern. On the other hand, Sassuolo's form is somewhat steadier with two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five matches. They have struggled on the road, failing to secure a victory in their last four away games, drawing one and losing three. Their away defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game.

Both teams have shown a proclivity for high-scoring matches. Monza averages 1.60 goals scored and conceded per match in their last five games. In contrast, Sassuolo scores an average of 1.80 goals while conceding 1.20. This trend is evident in their head-to-head history as well, with four of the last five matches seeing both teams score. Monza's superior record against Sassuolo in recent times further highlights their competitive edge. However, Sassuolo's slightly better goal-scoring form could pose a significant challenge for Monza's brittle defense.

The prediction (pronostico) for this match leans towards a competitive encounter with both teams finding the net. Given Monza's strong home scoring record and Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high. A draw also seems plausible given the teams' recent performances and head-to-head history. The main event prediction focuses on Sassuolo's inability to win away from home, suggesting a bet on "1X" (Monza win or draw) with a confidence score of 7. This market is backed by Monza's undefeated record against Sassuolo and their reasonable home form. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a probability of 80%, considering both teams' offensive capabilities. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" has a 65% probability, driven by Monza's strong home scoring trend. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is likely at 75%, given Sassuolo's consistent scoring. Lastly, the "X" outcome, a draw, is estimated at 40% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of both teams' recent encounters.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
X
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Monza vs Sassuolo
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Pinnacle
1xBet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AS Roma logoAS Roma
3 3 0 0 9
2
Inter logoInter
3 3 0 0 9
3
Lazio logoLazio
3 3 0 0 9
4
Como logoComo
3 2 1 0 7
5
AC Milan logoAC Milan
3 2 1 0 7
6
Juventus logoJuventus
3 2 1 0 7
7
Frosinone logoFrosinone
3 2 0 1 6
8
Atalanta logoAtalanta
3 2 0 1 6
9
Cagliari logoCagliari
3 2 0 1 6
10
Sassuolo logoSassuolo ★
3 1 1 1 4
11
Udinese logoUdinese
3 1 1 1 4
12
Napoli logoNapoli
3 1 0 2 3
13
Torino logoTorino
3 1 0 2 3
14
Lecce logoLecce
3 1 0 2 3
15
Bologna logoBologna
3 0 1 2 1
16
Parma logoParma
3 0 1 2 1
17
Monza logoMonza ★
3 0 1 2 1
18
Venezia logoVenezia
3 0 0 3 0
19
Genoa logoGenoa
3 0 0 3 0
20
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
3 0 0 3 0
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