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Serie A

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A 12.09.2026 · 12:00 Stadio Olimpico Referee: M. Marcenaro
Lazio emblem
Lazio
W
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
12 Sep · 12:00
AC Milan emblem
AC Milan
D
W
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
30%
Lazio
30%
Draw
40%
AC Milan

Form Comparison

■ Lazio ■ AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
56%
Form
44%
44%
Att
56%
67%
Def
33%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
71%
H2h
29%
60%
Goals
40%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.03.2026
Lazio vs AC Milan
1 — 0
04.12.2025
Lazio vs AC Milan
1 — 0
29.11.2025
AC Milan vs Lazio
1 — 0
02.03.2025
AC Milan vs Lazio
1 — 2
31.08.2024
Lazio vs AC Milan
2 — 2
01.03.2024
Lazio vs AC Milan
0 — 1
30.09.2023
AC Milan vs Lazio
2 — 0
06.05.2023
AC Milan vs Lazio
2 — 0
24.01.2023
Lazio vs AC Milan
4 — 0
24.04.2022
Lazio vs AC Milan
1 — 2

Last Matches

Lazio
AC Milan
07.09.2026
Udinese vs Lazio
2 — 1
30.08.2026
Lazio vs Genoa
1 — 0
24.08.2026
Bologna vs Lazio
1 — 0
16.08.2026
Lazio vs Mantova
0 — 2
09.08.2026
Frosinone vs Lazio
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Lazio
A. Furlanetto, A. Marusic, D. Cataldi, F. Dele-Bashiru, L. Pellegrini, N. Rovella, Patric

Lazio's recent home form has been nothing short of impressive, with an average of 3.40 goals scored per game and only 1.00 conceded. Their last five matches have seen them secure four victories and a single loss. AC Milan, sitting third in the league, have had a slightly more challenging time on the road with an average of 2.00 goals scored and conceded per away match. Lazio's home advantage could play a crucial role in this encounter.

Both teams have been performing well recently, but Lazio's home form gives them a slight edge. With a series of solid performances, Lazio's confidence will be high, having won three out of their last five encounters against AC Milan. On the other hand, AC Milan's away form is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and one loss. The Rossoneri have shown resilience, particularly with a recent 4-2 victory against Manchester United, but they have also struggled, as seen in their 3-0 loss to Chelsea.

The goal-scoring and conceding stats further illuminate the dynamics of this clash. Lazio has averaged 1.60 goals per game in their last five outings while conceding just 0.60. In contrast, AC Milan has averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded. Head-to-head, Lazio has the upper hand, winning three of their last five encounters, including two 1-0 victories. AC Milan's sole victory in this run was a narrow 1-0 win, indicating tightly contested matches between these sides.

Prediction suggests a closely-fought battle at the Stadio Olimpico. With Lazio's strong home form and AC Milan's varying away performances, a draw seems likely. Lazio's ability to restrict opponents, combined with AC Milan's sporadic defensive lapses, adds weight to this prediction. While both teams have no injury or suspension concerns, their recent performances point towards a balanced encounter.

The most likely betting event is a draw (market: X), given the competitive nature of recent head-to-head matches and Lazio's strong defensive record at home. Confidence in this prediction is high, rated at 8 out of 10. For additional bets, consider a low-scoring game with Total:Under: 3.0, which has a high chance given the defensive records. Lazio might edge out on Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 goals, given their home scoring record, while Total Team 2 Over: 1 for AC Milan aligns with their away scoring average. Lastly, a narrow game suggests Handicap 1: 0.5, favoring Lazio not to lose.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Lazio vs AC Milan
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AS Roma logoAS Roma
3 3 0 0 9
2
Inter logoInter
3 3 0 0 9
3
Lazio logoLazio ★
3 3 0 0 9
4
Como logoComo
3 2 1 0 7
5
AC Milan logoAC Milan ★
3 2 1 0 7
6
Juventus logoJuventus
3 2 1 0 7
7
Frosinone logoFrosinone
3 2 0 1 6
8
Atalanta logoAtalanta
3 2 0 1 6
9
Cagliari logoCagliari
3 2 0 1 6
10
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
3 1 1 1 4
11
Udinese logoUdinese
3 1 1 1 4
12
Napoli logoNapoli
3 1 0 2 3
13
Torino logoTorino
3 1 0 2 3
14
Lecce logoLecce
3 1 0 2 3
15
Bologna logoBologna
3 0 1 2 1
16
Parma logoParma
3 0 1 2 1
17
Monza logoMonza
3 0 1 2 1
18
Venezia logoVenezia
3 0 0 3 0
19
Genoa logoGenoa
3 0 0 3 0
20
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
3 0 0 3 0
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