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Serie A

AS Roma vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 17.05.2026 · 10:00 Stadio Olimpico Referee: F. Maresca
AS Roma emblem
AS Roma
W
W
W
D
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 10:00
Lazio emblem
Lazio
L
L
W
D
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.91

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
AS Roma
50%
Draw
0%
Lazio

Form Comparison

■ AS Roma ■ Lazio
AS Roma
Lazio
65%
Form
35%
65%
Att
35%
73%
Def
27%
72%
Poisson distribution
28%
71%
H2h
29%
71%
Goals
29%
70%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.09.2025
Lazio vs AS Roma
0 — 1
13.04.2025
Lazio vs AS Roma
1 — 1
05.01.2025
AS Roma vs Lazio
2 — 0
06.04.2024
AS Roma vs Lazio
1 — 0
10.01.2024
Lazio vs AS Roma
1 — 0
12.11.2023
Lazio vs AS Roma
0 — 0
19.03.2023
Lazio vs AS Roma
1 — 0
06.11.2022
AS Roma vs Lazio
0 — 1
20.03.2022
AS Roma vs Lazio
3 — 0
26.09.2021
Lazio vs AS Roma
3 — 2

Last Matches

AS Roma
Lazio
10.05.2026
Parma vs AS Roma
3 — 2
04.05.2026
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
4 — 0
25.04.2026
Bologna vs AS Roma
2 — 0
18.04.2026
AS Roma vs Atalanta
1 — 1
10.04.2026
AS Roma vs Pisa
3 — 0
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

AS Roma
B. Zaragoza, E. Ferguson
Lazio
I. Provedel
A. Romagnoli

As the Serie A season draws to a thrilling climax, the eternal city of Rome is set to host a fiery encounter between two fierce rivals: AS Roma and Lazio. Scheduled for May 17th at the iconic Stadio Olimpico, this derby promises not just local bragging rights but potentially crucial points as both teams strive to finish their campaign on a high note. With AS Roma currently sitting fifth and Lazio eighth, the stakes couldn't be higher.

AS Roma: A Team in Form

AS Roma enter this match in impressive form, having won three of their last five games, including a commanding 4-0 victory over Fiorentina. With an average of 2.4 goals per game over this period, their offensive prowess has been undeniable, especially at home, where they reflect the same scoring average. However, defensively, they have conceded an average of 1 goal per game at the Stadio Olimpico, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Lazio might exploit. The team will, however, be without the services of midfielder E. Bove due to injury, a minor setback given their recent performances. The Giallorossi will be eager to maintain their strong home form and secure another pivotal victory in front of their passionate supporters.

Lazio: A Strong Away Presence

Lazio's recent away form has been solid, with four wins in their last five matches on the road, showcasing a resilient defensive line that has conceded just 0.6 goals per game away from home. Their overall recent form includes a spirited 2-0 victory against Napoli, underscoring their potential to challenge any opponent. Scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, Lazio will rely on their attacking talents to break down Roma's defense. Unlike their rivals, Lazio boast a fully fit squad with no suspensions, giving them a slight edge in squad depth. This derby presents a perfect opportunity for Lazio to close the gap on their city rivals in the league standings.

Prediction: A Close Encounter

Given the recent form and statistics, this derby is poised to be a tightly contested affair. AS Roma have the edge in head-to-head encounters, having won three and drawn one of their last five meetings against Lazio. However, Lazio's impressive away form and strong defensive record on the road suggest they will be formidable opponents. The most likely betting event for this match is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," considering both teams' goal-scoring capabilities and defensive statistics. With AS Roma's average home goals and Lazio's away performance, goals from both sides seem probable. Our confidence score for this prediction is 8. Additionally, the game could see more than 2 goals, potentially ending in a draw. Both teams are well-matched, and this derby could be decided by small margins, making it a must-watch for football fans.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown strong offensive form recently, with AS Roma averaging 2.4 goals at home and Lazio being prolific away, suggesting both teams are likely to score.

3.91
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
X
30%
1X
70%
Handicap 2: 0.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AS Roma vs Lazio
Pin-UP
W11.52
X4.00
W26.20
William Hill
W11.53
X4.00
W25.80
Bet365
W11.53
X4.20
W26.00
Marathonbet
W11.53
X4.45
W26.25
Unibet
W11.54
X4.00
W25.80
Betfair
W11.50
X4.40
W26.50
BetVictor
W11.50
X4.20
W26.50
Pinnacle
W11.52
X4.50
W26.30
SBO
W11.49
X3.70
W25.32
1xBet
W11.56
X4.55
W26.39
Betano
W11.53
X4.20
W26.30
888Sport
W11.50
X4.00
W25.75
Dafabet
W11.55
X4.30
W26.20

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
36 27 4 5 85
2
Napoli logoNapoli
36 21 7 8 70
3
Juventus logoJuventus
36 19 11 6 68
4
AC Milan logoAC Milan
36 19 10 7 67
5
AS Roma logoAS Roma ★
36 21 4 11 67
6
Como logoComo
36 18 11 7 65
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta
36 15 13 8 58
8
Bologna logoBologna
36 15 7 14 52
9
Lazio logoLazio ★
36 13 12 11 51
10
Udinese logoUdinese
36 14 8 14 50
11
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
36 14 7 15 49
12
Torino logoTorino
36 12 8 16 44
13
Parma logoParma
36 10 12 14 42
14
Genoa logoGenoa
36 10 11 15 41
15
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
36 8 14 14 38
16
Cagliari logoCagliari
36 9 10 17 37
17
Lecce logoLecce
36 8 8 20 32
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
36 7 10 19 31
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
36 3 11 22 20
20
Pisa logoPisa
36 2 12 22 18
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