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Serie A

Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 17.05.2026 · 16:00 New Balance Arena Referee: D. Perenzoni
Atalanta emblem
Atalanta
L
W
D
L
D
vs
– : –
17 May · 16:00
Bologna emblem
Bologna
W
W
D
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.28

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
54%
Atalanta
23%
Draw
23%
Bologna

Form Comparison

■ Atalanta ■ Bologna
Atalanta
Bologna
42%
Form
58%
55%
Att
45%
46%
Def
54%
56%
Poisson distribution
44%
50%
H2h
50%
60%
Goals
40%
52%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.01.2026
Bologna vs Atalanta
0 — 2
13.04.2025
Atalanta vs Bologna
2 — 0
04.02.2025
Atalanta vs Bologna
0 — 1
28.09.2024
Bologna vs Atalanta
1 — 1
03.03.2024
Atalanta vs Bologna
1 — 2
23.12.2023
Bologna vs Atalanta
1 — 0
08.04.2023
Atalanta vs Bologna
0 — 2
09.01.2023
Bologna vs Atalanta
1 — 2
20.03.2022
Bologna vs Atalanta
0 — 1

Last Matches

Atalanta
Bologna
17.05.2026
Atalanta vs Bologna
0 — 1
10.05.2026
AC Milan vs Atalanta
3 — 2
02.05.2026
Atalanta vs Genoa
0 — 0
27.04.2026
Cagliari vs Atalanta
2 — 3
22.04.2026
Atalanta vs Lazio
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Atalanta
I. Hien, L. Bernasconi, O. Kossounou
Bologna
J. Lucumi, K. Bonifazi, M. Vitik, N. Cambiaghi, N. Casale

As the Serie A season draws closer to its conclusion, Atalanta hosts Bologna at the New Balance Arena in what promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams. With Atalanta sitting in 7th place and Bologna just two spots behind in 9th, both sides will be eager to finish their campaigns on a high note. While neither team is contending for the title, the battle for pride and positioning remains intense.

Atalanta's Recent Struggles at Home

Atalanta has faced a challenging run of form recently, particularly in their home performances. With just one win in their last five matches across all venues, they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging 0.80 goals per game in this period. At home, the situation is even more concerning, with the team scoring just 0.60 goals per match while conceding an average of 1.60. Despite these struggles, Atalanta will look to capitalize on their previous head-to-head success against Bologna, having secured two wins in their last five encounters. Notably, Atalanta has a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions impacting their lineup.

Bologna's Mixed Fortunes on the Road

Bologna, on the other hand, enters this fixture with a mix of results, particularly in their away performances. They have managed to secure three wins out of their last five away games, showing a knack for picking up points on the road. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per away game. Offensively, they have had difficulty, scoring only 0.40 goals per game over their last five matches. Despite these challenges, Bologna will be motivated by their recent head-to-head victory over Atalanta, showcasing their ability to upset the odds. Like their opponents, Bologna also has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

Prediction: A Tightly Contested Encounter

This match between Atalanta and Bologna is expected to be a tightly contested affair. Given the recent form of both teams, goals may be at a premium. Atalanta's struggle to find the net at home, coupled with Bologna's defensive frailties, suggests that this game could go either way. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring encounter, with the possibility of both teams finding the net due to defensive lapses on either side. The head-to-head record further supports this, with previous matches often being closely contested. Therefore, the most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given both teams' tendencies to concede goals. This scenario provides a balanced view of the potential dynamics of the match, offering decent betting value with a confidence score of 7.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, and previous head-to-head encounters have been closely contested with goals from both sides.

3.28
Odds
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
X
45%
1X
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atalanta vs Bologna
Pin-UP
W11.75
X4.00
W24.10
William Hill
W11.73
X3.80
W24.33
Bet365
W11.73
X4.10
W24.33
Marathonbet
W11.73
X4.10
W24.60
Unibet
W11.67
X3.95
W24.50
Betfair
W11.73
X4.00
W24.60
BetVictor
W11.73
X4.00
W24.40
Pinnacle
W11.75
X4.05
W24.65
SBO
W11.74
X3.80
W24.20
1xBet
W11.77
X4.20
W24.70
Betano
W11.80
X4.10
W24.50
888Sport
W11.70
X3.80
W24.20
Dafabet
W11.76
X4.10
W24.40

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
38 27 6 5 87
2
Napoli logoNapoli
38 23 7 8 76
3
AS Roma logoAS Roma
38 23 4 11 73
4
Como logoComo
38 20 11 7 71
5
AC Milan logoAC Milan
38 20 10 8 70
6
Juventus logoJuventus
38 19 12 7 69
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta ★
38 15 14 9 59
8
Bologna logoBologna ★
38 16 8 14 56
9
Lazio logoLazio
38 14 12 12 54
10
Udinese logoUdinese
38 14 8 16 50
11
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
38 14 7 17 49
12
Torino logoTorino
38 12 9 17 45
13
Parma logoParma
38 11 12 15 45
14
Cagliari logoCagliari
38 11 10 17 43
15
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
38 9 15 14 42
16
Genoa logoGenoa
38 10 11 17 41
17
Lecce logoLecce
38 10 8 20 38
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
38 8 10 20 34
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
38 3 12 23 21
20
Pisa logoPisa
38 2 12 24 18
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