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UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria vs Iceland Prediction

UEFA Nations League 13.11.2026 · 14:45 Hristo Botev Stadium Referee: Florian Badstubner
Bulgaria emblem
Bulgaria
W
L
D
L
D
vs
– : –
13 Nov · 14:45
Iceland emblem
Iceland
D
W
W
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
22%
Bulgaria
28%
Draw
50%
Iceland

Form Comparison

■ Bulgaria ■ Iceland
Bulgaria
Iceland
33%
Form
67%
30%
Att
70%
17%
Def
83%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
0%
H2h
100%
0%
Goals
100%
27%
Total
73%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.10.2026
Iceland vs Bulgaria
3 — 0

Last Matches

Bulgaria
Iceland
06.10.2026
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
0 — 2
03.10.2026
Iceland vs Bulgaria
3 — 0
29.09.2026
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0 — 0
26.09.2026
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
1 — 2
05.06.2026
Moldova vs Bulgaria
2 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Bulgaria and Iceland are set to face off in a UEFA Nations League clash that promises to be a compelling encounter. While both teams have had mixed results recently, Iceland's comprehensive 3-0 victory over Bulgaria earlier in the competition will undoubtedly play a significant role in shaping expectations.

Bulgaria's Recent Struggles

Bulgaria enters this match with a mixed recent form, having won just one of their last five matches. Their recent away win against Luxembourg provided a glimpse of potential, but their inability to score consistently at home remains a concern, as evidenced by just 0.33 goals per game in their recent home fixtures. The team's defensive vulnerabilities are also apparent, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game across their last five outings, including a 3-0 defeat to Iceland. With no injury or suspension concerns, Bulgaria will need to find a way to shore up their defense and find more potency in attack to challenge Iceland effectively.

Iceland's Upper Hand

Iceland, on the other hand, comes into this game with a more favorable recent record. Their solid defensive performance, conceding just 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches, demonstrates their resilience, especially against teams of similar or weaker stature. Offensively, Iceland has shown more promise, averaging 1.40 goals per game recently. Their prior 3-0 win over Bulgaria suggests they have the strategic edge and the confidence to repeat such a performance. Despite being away, Iceland's form away from home has been reasonably balanced, providing them with a strong foundation to build upon.

Prediction: Iceland to Continue Dominance

In this match, the prediction leans towards an Iceland win, considering their superior head-to-head result and more consistent form. Bulgaria's recent struggles at home, combined with Iceland's previous convincing victory, suggest that Iceland could replicate their past success. Additionally, expect both teams to score given Bulgaria's need to push for a result at home, which might leave them exposed at the back.

- **Main Prediction:** Match Result: 2 (Iceland Win) - **Additional Predictions:** - Both Teams to Score: Yes - Total Team 1: Under 1.5 - Total Team 2: Over 1.5 - Handicap 2: 0.5

These predictions reflect Iceland's strong performance in their previous encounter against Bulgaria and their overall solid form in the competition. While Bulgaria may find the net, Iceland's attacking capabilities and defensive solidity are likely to see them through to another victory.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%

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