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UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction

UEFA Nations League 13.11.2026 · 14:45 Stade de Luxembourg Referee: Ishmael Barbara
Luxembourg emblem
Luxembourg
L
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
13 Nov · 14:45
Estonia emblem
Estonia
D
W
D
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
Luxembourg
30%
Draw
26%
Estonia

Form Comparison

■ Luxembourg ■ Estonia
Luxembourg
Estonia
33%
Form
67%
50%
Att
50%
13%
Def
88%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
0%
H2h
100%
0%
Goals
100%
32%
Total
68%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.10.2026
Estonia vs Luxembourg
1 — 0

Last Matches

Luxembourg
Estonia
06.10.2026
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
0 — 2
03.10.2026
Estonia vs Luxembourg
1 — 0
29.09.2026
Luxembourg vs Iceland
0 — 3
26.09.2026
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
1 — 2
06.06.2026
Albania vs Luxembourg
0 — 1
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

As Luxembourg prepares to host Estonia in the upcoming UEFA Nations League match, both teams are looking to improve upon their recent performances. Luxembourg will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, while Estonia seeks to maintain their competitive edge after a recent win against Luxembourg.

Luxembourg's Home Performance Challenges

Luxembourg has faced difficulties in their recent home fixtures, losing all three of their last home matches without scoring a goal. Their recent form has seen them manage only two wins in their last five outings, with a victory over Bulgaria being a notable highlight. Despite these challenges, Luxembourg's ability to secure victories in away fixtures, as seen against Albania and Bulgaria, shows their potential to surprise opponents. However, their struggles to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.60 goals per game, remain a concern.

Estonia's Defensive Resilience

Estonia comes into this match with a decent run of form, particularly in their defensive performance. They have managed to keep clean sheets in two of their last five matches, including a goalless draw against Iceland. Estonia's ability to restrict opponents to an average of 0.60 goals per game conceded indicates their strong defensive setup. In their previous encounter with Luxembourg, Estonia secured a narrow 1-0 victory, which might give them confidence heading into this fixture. However, their offensive output remains limited, with just 0.40 goals per game scored in recent matches.

Prediction: A Competitive Encounter

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair. With Estonia's solid defensive record and Luxembourg's struggles at home, the prediction for this match leans towards a draw. The main prediction is a "Draw: X" considering the defensive strengths of both teams and their recent scoring challenges.

In addition to the main prediction, we foresee a low-scoring game with the following outcomes: "Total: Under 2.0" due to both teams' limited goal-scoring records, "Both Teams to Score: No" given their defensive capabilities, "Total Team 1: Under 1" as Luxembourg struggles to score at home, and "Total Team 2: Under 1" considering Estonia's scoring difficulties. These predictions align with the expected gameplay dynamics and recent performances of both teams.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0
70%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
80%

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