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UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Germany Prediction

UEFA Nations League 24.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Netherlands emblem
Netherlands
D
W
W
D
W
vs
– : –
24 Sep · 14:45
Germany emblem
Germany
D
L
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Netherlands
26%
Draw
33%
Germany

Form Comparison

■ Netherlands ■ Germany
Netherlands
Germany
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
38%
H2h
62%
50%
Goals
50%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.10.2024
Germany vs Netherlands
1 — 0
10.09.2024
Netherlands vs Germany
2 — 2
26.03.2024
Germany vs Netherlands
2 — 1
29.03.2022
Netherlands vs Germany
1 — 1
06.09.2019
Germany vs Netherlands
2 — 4
24.03.2019
Netherlands vs Germany
2 — 3
19.11.2018
Germany vs Netherlands
2 — 2
13.10.2018
Netherlands vs Germany
3 — 0
13.06.2012
Netherlands vs Germany
1 — 2

Last Matches

Netherlands
Germany
29.06.2026
Netherlands vs Morocco
1 — 1
25.06.2026
Tunisia vs Netherlands
3 — 1
20.06.2026
Netherlands vs Sweden
5 — 1
14.06.2026
Netherlands vs Japan
2 — 2
08.06.2026
Netherlands vs Uzbekistan
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Netherlands and Germany have both averaged 2.60 goals scored in their last five matches, a testament to their potent attacks. However, the defensive records of these two European powerhouses differ slightly, with both teams conceding an average of 1.20 goals per match. This sets the stage for an intriguing encounter where attacking prowess might just tip the scales.

In their recent form, Netherlands boast a robust attacking display, particularly at home, where they have recorded an average of 2.00 goals per game. Their recent home results include a 5-1 victory over Sweden and a 2-2 draw with Japan. Conversely, their defense has been less formidable, conceding an average of 1.20 goals at home. Germany's away record reveals a mixed bag, having scored an average of 2.33 goals per game but also conceding 2.00 goals per match. Their recent away fixtures include a 2-1 victory against the USA and a narrow 2-1 loss to Ecuador. This comparison highlights a potential vulnerability in Germany's away defense that the Netherlands' forwards could exploit.

The head-to-head record between these teams reveals a balanced contest historically, with Germany securing two wins, while Netherlands have managed one victory, and two matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter saw a thrilling 4-2 win for the Netherlands, showcasing their ability to break down Germany's defensive structures. This historical context suggests that both teams are capable of outplaying each other on any given day, making predictions challenging but enticing.

Given the attacking capabilities and recent form of both teams, they are likely to find the back of the net. However, the main prediction for this match is "Both Teams to Score" with a confidence score of 8. Both teams have displayed consistent scoring form, and their defensive vulnerabilities provide a strong case for this outcome. The Netherlands' home advantage combined with Germany's away scoring record further supports this prediction.

Additional predictions include a Draw (X) with a 25% probability, reflecting their closely matched form and recent head-to-head results. Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 with a 60% probability is supported by the Netherlands' home scoring average. Total Team 2 Over: 1 with a 55% probability is plausible given Germany's away scoring record. Finally, Total:Under: 3.0 with a 50% probability accounts for their defensive efforts in tight matches, despite their overall scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X
25%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
55%
Total:Under: 3.0
50%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Netherlands vs Germany
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