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UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Denmark Prediction

UEFA Nations League 24.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: S. Frappart
Norway emblem
Norway
L
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
24 Sep · 14:45
Denmark emblem
Denmark
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
48%
Norway
27%
Draw
25%
Denmark

Form Comparison

■ Norway ■ Denmark
Norway
Denmark
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
20%
H2h
80%
25%
Goals
75%
23%
Total
78%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.06.2024
Denmark vs Norway
3 — 1
31.05.2020
Denmark vs Norway

Last Matches

Norway
Denmark
11.07.2026
Norway vs England
1 — 2
05.07.2026
Brazil vs Norway
2 — 1
30.06.2026
Ivory Coast vs Norway
2 — 1
26.06.2026
Norway vs France
1 — 4
22.06.2026
Norway vs Senegal
3 — 2
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Norway's recent form shows an average of 1.80 goals scored per match over their last five encounters. Their ability to find the net is slightly greater than Denmark's, who have averaged 1.00 goal per game in the same period. Despite Norway's offensive prowess, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Denmark, on the other hand, boasts a strong defensive record, allowing only 0.50 goals per game, highlighting a potential area where they could capitalize.

Form and Context

Norway comes into this clash with mixed results, securing three wins and two losses in their last five outings. Their home form mirrors this inconsistency, with two wins and two losses, plus a draw in their recent fixtures. In contrast, Denmark has been more stable defensively, maintaining an unbeaten run in their last five games, with one win and one draw. This solid performance is reflected in their impressive away record, with no goals conceded in their last away match. Both teams are without any injuries or suspensions, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

Key Numbers

Evaluating the head-to-head meetings, Denmark holds the upper hand with a 3:1 victory in their previous encounter against Norway. Norway's average goals scored at home, 1.60, is slightly less than their overall average, whereas Denmark's performance away from home has seen zero goals scored, though none conceded. Norway's defensive frailties at home, conceding an average of 1.80 goals, could be a critical factor, especially against a Denmark side that has shown resilience and tactical discipline.

Prediction

Given Norway's tendency to concede goals, coupled with Denmark's strong defense, a tight match is expected. The main betting prediction focuses on "Handicap 1: 0.5" in favor of Denmark, owing to their superior defensive capabilities and Norway's defensive lapses. This event is supported by Denmark's unbeaten run and their historical head-to-head advantage, providing a solid basis for this prediction with a confidence score of 8. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 1.5," considering Norway's goal-scoring form, with a probability of 70%. A "Win 2" for Denmark could also be possible given their defensive solidity, with a probability of 60%. Furthermore, a "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" seems feasible, reflecting Denmark's ability to score at least once, with a probability of 65%. Lastly, "X2" is a prudent choice, reinforcing Denmark's defensive strengths and Norway's vulnerability, with a probability of 75%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Win 2
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
X2
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Norway vs Denmark
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
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