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Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A 21.07.2026 · 22:30 MRV Arena Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
W
L
W
W
vs
– : –
21 Jul · 22:30
Bahia emblem
Bahia
W
L
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
Atletico-MG
28%
Draw
28%
Bahia

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Bahia
Atletico-MG
Bahia
59%
Form
41%
50%
Att
50%
64%
Def
36%
47%
Poisson distribution
53%
29%
H2h
71%
38%
Goals
63%
48%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.11.2025
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
3 — 0
13.07.2025
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
2 — 1
15.09.2024
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
3 — 0
02.06.2024
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1 — 1
07.12.2023
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
4 — 1
13.08.2023
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1 — 0
02.12.2021
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
2 — 3
05.08.2021
Bahia vs Atletico-MG
2 — 1
29.07.2021
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
2 — 0
25.07.2021
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
3 — 0

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Bahia
31.05.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
27.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Puerto Cabello
1 — 0
24.05.2026
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG
0 — 1
21.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Cienciano
2 — 0
16.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Mirassol
3 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG
Gustavo Scarpa, I. Roman, Maycon, Patrick Silva
Bahia
David Duarte, Leo Vieira, Luciano Juba

As Atletico-MG prepares to face Bahia on July 21 at the MRV Arena, fans are set for an intriguing Serie A clash. Atletico-MG, currently sitting in 9th place, will look to leverage their recent strong form, while Bahia, 6th on the table, aims to overcome their away struggles. This matchup promises a captivating contest with significant implications for both sides in their quest for higher league positions.

Atletico-MG's Steady Ascent

Atletico-MG has found a rhythm lately, showing resilience and tactical discipline. Their recent form is commendable, with three wins in their last five matches, including a convincing 3-1 victory over Mirassol. At home, they have been relatively strong with three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 0.40 goals on average in their recent matches. This strong defensive record could be a decisive factor against Bahia. Fortunately for Atletico-MG, they have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match, allowing them to field their best possible lineup.

Bahia's Away Day Woes

Bahia's journey this season has been a tale of two halves; while their home form has been robust, their performances on the road have been less convincing. Despite scoring 1.80 goals on average in their last five matches, they have struggled away from home, failing to secure a win in their last five away games. They have conceded an average of 2.20 goals per game on the road, which could pose a significant challenge against a defensively sound Atletico-MG. Bahia will need to address these defensive frailties if they are to take anything from this fixture. Like Atletico-MG, Bahia also enters the match without injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to deploy their first-choice squad.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle

With both teams eager to climb the Serie A table, this matchup between Atletico-MG and Bahia is set to be a tactical battle. While Atletico-MG’s solid home performances and defensive prowess give them a slight edge, Bahia’s attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated. The prediction for this match leans towards a high-scoring affair, given both teams' recent goal-scoring records. The most likely outcome might be "Total:Over: 2.0" due to Atletico-MG's consistent scoring at home and Bahia's ability to find the net, even in defeat. However, Atletico-MG's defensive record might just tip the scales in their favor. With this in mind, the additional betting events include the likes of "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" as attractive options, reflecting the likelihood of a dynamic encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
1X
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atletico-MG vs Bahia
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
19 10 3 6 33
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
19 9 5 5 32
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Bahia logoBahia ★
19 8 6 5 30
7
Corinthians logoCorinthians
19 7 6 6 27
8
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
19 7 6 6 27
9
Botafogo logoBotafogo
19 7 5 7 26
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
19 7 4 8 25
14
Internacional logoInternacional
19 5 6 8 21
15
Santos logoSantos
19 5 6 8 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
19 5 5 9 20
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
18 5 4 9 19
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
19 1 6 12 9
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