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Serie A

Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction

Serie A 17.07.2026 · 23:00 Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
L
L
W
W
L
vs
– : –
17 Jul · 23:00
Gremio emblem
Gremio
W
L
W
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
47%
Mirassol
28%
Draw
25%
Gremio

Form Comparison

■ Mirassol ■ Gremio
Mirassol
Gremio
58%
Form
42%
50%
Att
50%
54%
Def
46%
63%
Poisson distribution
37%
100%
H2h
0%
73%
Goals
27%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.09.2025
Gremio vs Mirassol
0 — 1
16.04.2025
Mirassol vs Gremio
4 — 1
02.03.2022
Mirassol vs Gremio
3 — 2

Last Matches

Mirassol
Gremio
30.05.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol
0 — 1
26.05.2026
Lanus vs Mirassol
0 — 1
23.05.2026
Mirassol vs Fluminense
1 — 0
20.05.2026
Always Ready vs Mirassol
2 — 1
16.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Mirassol
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Mirassol
Igor Formiga, Nathan Fogaca, Negueba
Gremio
Marlon

As we approach another thrilling encounter in Serie A, Mirassol will host Gremio on July 17, 2026. Both teams find themselves in a precarious position in the league, with Mirassol sitting at 19th place and Gremio just slightly better off at 16th. This match is crucial for both sides as they battle to climb out of the relegation zone.

Mirassol's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their away performances letting them down. Despite a commendable home record of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, they have struggled away from home. Averaging 0.80 goals per game in their last five, they have managed to score more consistently at home, with an average of 1.60 goals. Defensively, they are more solid at home, conceding only 0.60 goals on average. Interestingly, Mirassol has had the upper hand against Gremio in their recent head-to-head meetings, winning all three of their last encounters. Fortunately for them, they have no injuries or suspensions to worry about, allowing them to field their strongest team.

Gremio, on the other hand, has shown resilience on the road. Their away form is impressive, boasting three wins and two draws in their last five away fixtures. This contrasts sharply with their home performances, where they have been less consistent. With an average of 1.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches, Gremio has been finding the back of the net regularly but has also been conceding an average of 2.00 goals. Their defense will need to tighten up if they are to secure a result against Mirassol, a team they have struggled against in the past. Like Mirassol, Gremio has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to focus on their tactical approach.

In terms of prediction, both teams have clear strengths and weaknesses. Mirassol's strong home form and historical dominance over Gremio give them a slight edge. However, Gremio's robust away performances suggest they will be no pushovers. The most likely outcome could be a match with multiple goals, considering Gremio's scoring ability and Mirassol's home scoring average. Therefore, a Total:Over: 2.5 goals bet seems promising, given both teams’ recent scoring patterns. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, considering their offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Additional betting events to consider include Mirassol's strong home form with a 1X double chance, as well as Gremio's ability to score away from home, suggesting the potential for both teams to score.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
65%
X2
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Mirassol vs Gremio
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
19 10 3 6 33
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
19 9 5 5 32
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Bahia logoBahia
19 8 6 5 30
7
Corinthians logoCorinthians
19 7 6 6 27
8
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
19 7 6 6 27
9
Botafogo logoBotafogo
19 7 5 7 26
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
19 7 4 8 25
14
Internacional logoInternacional
19 5 6 8 21
15
Santos logoSantos
19 5 6 8 21
16
Gremio logoGremio ★
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
19 5 5 9 20
18
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
18 5 4 9 19
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
19 1 6 12 9
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