Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Wed, 14 Oct 2026
Serie A

Palmeiras VS Sao Paulo: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 12.09.2026 · 17:30 Allianz Parque Referee: A. Daronco
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
W
D
D
D
W
Full Time
2 – 0
HT 1:0
12 Sep · 17:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
W
W
L
W

Match Stats

Palmeiras 2:0 Sao Paulo
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
4
12
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Shots Outside Box
4
9
Corners
6
3
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
527
Total Passes
400
458
Accurate Passes
335

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
12'
Pablo MaiaYellow Card
39'
Luis Osorio Messias De OliveiraRed Card
⇆ Joaquín PiquerezSubstitution · Arthur Gabriel
45'
⇆ Agustin GiaySubstitution · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
45'
45'
Cauly Oliveira SouzaSubstitution · Robert Arboleda ⇆
⚽ Murilo Cerqueira PaimGoal
45+1'
Gustavo GómezYellow Card
45+4'
Agustin GiayYellow Card
45+5'
⚽ Vitor RoqueGoal · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
50'
64'
Andre SilvaSubstitution · Artur Victor Guimarães ⇆
64'
WendellSubstitution · Iago Amaral Borduchi ⇆
64'
Djhordney FerreiraSubstitution · Danielzinho ⇆
⇆ Lucas EvangelistaSubstitution · Luis Pacheco
67'
⇆ Jhon AriasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
67'
Murilo Cerqueira PaimYellow Card
76'
76'
Aldemir FerreiraSubstitution · Tetê ⇆
⇆ José Manuel LópezSubstitution · Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
77'
Larson Torna Ferreira dos SantosYellow Card
85'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Palmeiras
26%
Draw
18%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
46%
Form
54%
54%
Att
46%
50%
Def
50%
74%
Poisson distribution
26%
100%
H2h
0%
71%
Goals
29%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.03.2026
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
01.03.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
24.01.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
05.10.2025
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
11.05.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
10.03.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
16.02.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
18.08.2024
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
29.04.2024
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
03.03.2024
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
1 — 1

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
09.09.2026
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito
1 — 0
06.09.2026
Botafogo vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
02.09.2026
Santos vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
30.08.2026
Mirassol vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
26.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Santos
3 — 0
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Jefte, Marlon Freitas, Paulinho, R. Sosa
A. Barboza
Sao Paulo
D. Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques

Palmeiras enters this clash with a formidable defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals on average over their last five matches. This will be tested against a Sao Paulo side that has struggled away from home, averaging only 0.60 goals per game on the road. Palmeiras sits atop the Serie A standings, a position that reflects their consistent performances both at home and away. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, finds themselves in 11th place, a position that underscores their mixed form.

Form and Context

Palmeiras has been a dominant force, especially at home where they remain unbeaten in their last five fixtures, with three wins and two draws. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.20 goals scored per game at Allianz Parque, while maintaining a solid defense conceding just 0.40 goals. Sao Paulo's away form presents a stark contrast; they have managed only two draws and suffered three losses in their last five away fixtures, conceding 1.20 goals on average. The head-to-head record further emphasizes Palmeiras' superiority, having won all of their last five encounters against Sao Paulo.

Key Numbers

Palmeiras has scored an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, significantly outpacing Sao Paulo's 1.40 goals. Defensively, Palmeiras is more robust, conceding only 0.40 goals compared to Sao Paulo's 1.00. The head-to-head statistics are telling; Palmeiras has emerged victorious in all five recent meetings between the two teams, with Sao Paulo yet to secure a win or draw. This dominance is reflected in their recent matchups, where Palmeiras defeated Sao Paulo 2:1 and 3:1 in consecutive fixtures, showcasing their attacking and defensive balance.

Prediction

Given the current trends, the prediction leans towards Palmeiras maintaining their unbeaten home run. The most probable betting event is a "Win 1", as Palmeiras has consistently proven superior in both form and head-to-head encounters. The rational choice is reinforced by Palmeiras' strong home record and Sao Paulo's struggles away. A Confidence Score of 8 is assigned to this event, reflecting the statistical likelihood of Palmeiras securing a win. Additional predictions focus on goal totals and outcomes given the data. "Total:Under: 3.0" is a likely scenario, considering Palmeiras' solid defense and Sao Paulo's limited scoring ability away from home. A draw at halftime, with "X" as the market, has a fair probability given the cautious approach both teams might adopt initially. Sao Paulo's struggles suggest that "Total Team 2 Under: 1" is probable, and Palmeiras scoring over one goal aligns with their attacking form.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
X
50%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

We may earn a commission from links on this page. 18+ | Bet Responsibly.Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
SBO

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
30 19 7 4 64
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
30 18 9 3 63
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
30 15 8 7 53
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
30 14 9 7 51
5
Bahia logoBahia
30 13 10 7 49
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
30 14 6 10 48
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
30 13 8 9 47
8
Santos logoSantos
30 11 9 10 42
9
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
30 11 7 12 40
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
30 11 6 13 39
11
Coritiba logoCoritiba
30 10 9 11 39
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
30 10 6 14 36
13
Botafogo logoBotafogo
30 9 9 12 36
14
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
29 9 8 12 35
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
30 8 9 13 33
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
30 8 8 14 32
17
Internacional logoInternacional
30 7 11 12 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
30 7 10 13 31
19
Remo logoRemo
30 5 10 15 25
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
29 3 9 17 18
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now