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Serie A

Palmeiras VS Sao Paulo: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 12.09.2026 · 17:30 Allianz Parque Referee: A. Daronco
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
W
D
D
D
W
Full Time
2 – 0
HT 1:0
12 Sep · 17:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
W
W
L
W

Match Stats

Palmeiras 2:0 Sao Paulo
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
4
12
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Shots Outside Box
4
9
Corners
6
3
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
527
Total Passes
400
458
Accurate Passes
335

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
12'
Pablo MaiaYellow Card
39'
Luis Osorio Messias De OliveiraRed Card
Joaquín PiquerezSubstitution · Arthur Gabriel
45'
Agustin GiaySubstitution · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
45'
45'
Cauly Oliveira SouzaSubstitution · Robert Arboleda
Murilo Cerqueira PaimGoal
45+1'
Gustavo GómezYellow Card
45+4'
Agustin GiayYellow Card
45+5'
Vitor RoqueGoal · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
50'
64'
Andre SilvaSubstitution · Artur Victor Guimarães
64'
WendellSubstitution · Iago Amaral Borduchi
64'
Djhordney FerreiraSubstitution · Danielzinho
Lucas EvangelistaSubstitution · Luis Pacheco
67'
Jhon AriasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
67'
Murilo Cerqueira PaimYellow Card
76'
76'
Aldemir FerreiraSubstitution · Tetê
José Manuel LópezSubstitution · Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
77'
Larson Torna Ferreira dos SantosYellow Card
85'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Palmeiras
26%
Draw
18%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
46%
Form
54%
54%
Att
46%
50%
Def
50%
74%
Poisson distribution
26%
100%
H2h
0%
71%
Goals
29%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.03.2026
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
01.03.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
24.01.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
05.10.2025
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
11.05.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
10.03.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
16.02.2025
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
18.08.2024
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
29.04.2024
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
03.03.2024
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
1 — 1

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
09.09.2026
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito
1 — 0
06.09.2026
Botafogo vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
02.09.2026
Santos vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
30.08.2026
Mirassol vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
26.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Santos
3 — 0
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Jefte, Marlon Freitas, Paulinho, R. Sosa
A. Barboza
Sao Paulo
D. Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques

Palmeiras enters this clash with a formidable defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals on average over their last five matches. This will be tested against a Sao Paulo side that has struggled away from home, averaging only 0.60 goals per game on the road. Palmeiras sits atop the Serie A standings, a position that reflects their consistent performances both at home and away. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, finds themselves in 11th place, a position that underscores their mixed form.

Form and Context

Palmeiras has been a dominant force, especially at home where they remain unbeaten in their last five fixtures, with three wins and two draws. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.20 goals scored per game at Allianz Parque, while maintaining a solid defense conceding just 0.40 goals. Sao Paulo's away form presents a stark contrast; they have managed only two draws and suffered three losses in their last five away fixtures, conceding 1.20 goals on average. The head-to-head record further emphasizes Palmeiras' superiority, having won all of their last five encounters against Sao Paulo.

Key Numbers

Palmeiras has scored an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, significantly outpacing Sao Paulo's 1.40 goals. Defensively, Palmeiras is more robust, conceding only 0.40 goals compared to Sao Paulo's 1.00. The head-to-head statistics are telling; Palmeiras has emerged victorious in all five recent meetings between the two teams, with Sao Paulo yet to secure a win or draw. This dominance is reflected in their recent matchups, where Palmeiras defeated Sao Paulo 2:1 and 3:1 in consecutive fixtures, showcasing their attacking and defensive balance.

Prediction

Given the current trends, the prediction leans towards Palmeiras maintaining their unbeaten home run. The most probable betting event is a "Win 1", as Palmeiras has consistently proven superior in both form and head-to-head encounters. The rational choice is reinforced by Palmeiras' strong home record and Sao Paulo's struggles away. A Confidence Score of 8 is assigned to this event, reflecting the statistical likelihood of Palmeiras securing a win. Additional predictions focus on goal totals and outcomes given the data. "Total:Under: 3.0" is a likely scenario, considering Palmeiras' solid defense and Sao Paulo's limited scoring ability away from home. A draw at halftime, with "X" as the market, has a fair probability given the cautious approach both teams might adopt initially. Sao Paulo's struggles suggest that "Total Team 2 Under: 1" is probable, and Palmeiras scoring over one goal aligns with their attacking form.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
X
50%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
28 18 6 4 60
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
28 16 9 3 57
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 49
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
28 13 9 6 48
5
Bahia logoBahia
28 12 10 6 46
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
28 13 6 9 45
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
27 11 7 9 40
8
Santos logoSantos
27 10 8 9 38
9
Coritiba logoCoritiba
28 10 8 10 38
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 36
11
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
27 10 6 11 36
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
28 9 8 11 35
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
28 9 6 13 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
28 8 8 12 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
28 8 8 12 32
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 31
17
Gremio logoGremio
28 7 8 13 29
18
Internacional logoInternacional
28 6 10 12 28
19
Remo logoRemo
28 5 8 15 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 18
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