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Serie A

Palmeiras VS Vasco DA Gama: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 23.08.2026 · 15:00 Nubank Parque Referee: B. Machado
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
W
L
D
D
L
Full Time
4 – 1
HT 0:0
23 Aug · 15:00
Vasco DA Gama emblem
Vasco DA Gama
W
L
D
D
W

Match Stats

Palmeiras 4:1 Vasco DA Gama
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Shots Outside Box
3
5
Corners
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
440
Total Passes
329
380
Accurate Passes
281
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Marlon FreitasYellow Card
9'
44'
A. GomezYellow Card
A. BarbozaSubstitution · Murilo
46'
J. LopezGoal · Allan Elias
47'
50'
Thiago MendesYellow Card
Vitor RoqueGoal (Penalty)
51'
MauricioGoal · Andreas Pereira
56'
58'
CuiabanoSubstitution · Riquelme Avellar
58'
Thiago MendesSubstitution · Ramon Rique
65'
AdsonSubstitution · N. Moreira
65'
DavidSubstitution · F. Colidio
Allan EliasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
71'
Vitor RoqueSubstitution · J. Arias
71'
Marlon FreitasSubstitution · E. Martinez
71'
72'
A. GomezSubstitution · M. Hinestroza
83'
Robert RenanYellow Card
A. GiaySubstitution · Khellven
83'
J. LopezGoal · J. Arias
89'
90+4'
F. ColidioGoal

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
58%
Palmeiras
24%
Draw
18%
Vasco DA Gama

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
78%
Form
22%
91%
Att
9%
50%
Def
50%
73%
Poisson distribution
27%
80%
H2h
20%
80%
Goals
20%
75%
Total
25%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.03.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
2 — 1
01.10.2025
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
3 — 0
04.05.2025
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
22.09.2024
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
13.06.2024
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
2 — 0
27.08.2023
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 0
23.04.2023
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
2 — 2
26.01.2021
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 1
08.11.2020
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
06.11.2019
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras
1 — 2

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
19.08.2026
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
15.08.2026
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
12.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
1 — 1
09.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Internacional
0 — 0
05.08.2026
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Jefte, Paulinho, R. Sosa
Vasco DA Gama
Brenner, Jair, Mateus Carvalho

Palmeiras enters this clash at the top of the Serie A standings, having scored an impressive average of 2.00 goals per match in their last five outings. Contrastingly, Vasco DA Gama sits at 18th, with a more modest average of 0.80 goals scored over the same period. This disparity in offensive capabilities highlights the challenge Vasco faces as they prepare to visit the formidable Nubank Parque.

Form and Context

Both teams have experienced contrasting fortunes in recent matches. Palmeiras, although leading the league, has shown some vulnerabilities at home with two draws and a loss in their last five appearances. They average 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per home game, indicating a solid, if not invulnerable, defense. In contrast, their away performances are more prolific, with an average of 3.20 goals scored per match.

Vasco DA Gama's form, although improved with a recent win against Fluminense, remains inconsistent. Their away record includes only one win in five games, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded. Despite their struggles, their recent form away from home shows resilience, as evidenced by three draws.

Key Numbers

Palmeiras has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning four out of the last five matches against Vasco, including a decisive 3-0 victory. Vasco's sole win in these encounters came with a narrow 2-1 margin. Palmeiras' defensive superiority is evident, averaging just 0.80 goals conceded in the last five matches, compared to Vasco's 0.20, which underlies a disciplined defensive setup despite their lower league standing.

Vasco's lack of offensive firepower is highlighted by their average of 0.40 goals scored at home, although they slightly improve to 1.00 goals away. This contrasts with Palmeiras' more consistent scoring ability, both at home and on the road.

Prediction

Given Palmeiras' strong position and Vasco's struggles, a "Win 1" outcome seems likely. However, considering Palmeiras' recent home form and Vasco's defensive resilience, the most interesting prediction lies in "Total Team 1 Under: 2," with a solid defense likely to restrict heavy scoring. This prediction is supported by Palmeiras' average of 1.20 goals scored at home, coupled with Vasco's recent defensive form, allowing just 0.20 goals per match.

For additional betting insights, consider "Total:Over: 1.5," given Palmeiras' overall scoring form and Vasco's potential to surprise. Other probable outcomes include "Handicap 1: 1," considering Palmeiras' ability to win by margins, "X2," based on Vasco's recent draw-heavy form, and "Total Team 2 Under: 0.5," reflecting Vasco's scoring challenges. These predictions offer a balanced view, combining Palmeiras' attacking prowess and Vasco's defensive stability.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Handicap 1: 1
70%
X2
40%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
24 15 6 3 51
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
23 12 5 6 41
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia
24 9 10 5 37
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
23 10 5 8 35
8
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
23 9 6 8 33
9
Corinthians logoCorinthians
23 8 8 7 32
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
23 8 7 8 31
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
22 8 6 8 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
24 8 5 11 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
22 7 6 9 27
14
Santos logoSantos
22 6 7 9 25
15
Gremio logoGremio
23 6 7 10 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol
22 6 5 11 23
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama ★
23 5 7 11 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
22 1 8 13 11
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