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Serie A

Vitoria VS Bahia: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 23.08.2026 · 15:00 Barradao Referee: R. Claus
Vitoria emblem
Vitoria
W
L
W
L
L
Full Time
0 – 2
HT 0:0
23 Aug · 15:00
Bahia emblem
Bahia
D
D
D
D
D

Match Stats

Vitoria 0:2 Bahia
47%
Ball Possession
53%
0.27
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
12
Total Shots
27
2
Shots on Target
8
7
Shots off Target
12
3
Blocked Shots
7
4
Shots Inside Box
16
8
Shots Outside Box
11
6
Corners
7
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
296
Total Passes
334
210
Accurate Passes
273
71%
Pass Accuracy
82%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
MatheuzinhoYellow Card
26'
42'
RodrigoYellow Card
D. TarziaSubstitution · T. Pochettino
46'
WalaceSubstitution · Emmanuel Martinez
46'
ErickSubstitution · Marinho
63'
67'
A. VelizGoal · Erick Pulga
MatheuzinhoSubstitution · Renato Kayzer
70'
71'
ErickSubstitution · Jean Lucas
E. BritezSubstitution · Matheusinho
77'
78'
Erick PulgaYellow Card
82'
Erick PulgaSubstitution · Ruan Pablo
82'
Ruan PabloSubstitution · Michel Araujo
90+4'
A. VelizSubstitution · Everaldo
90+7'
Jean LucasGoal · Michel Araujo
CacaYellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Jean LucasYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
36%
Vitoria
30%
Draw
34%
Bahia

Form Comparison

■ Vitoria ■ Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
44%
Form
56%
17%
Att
83%
38%
Def
62%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
29%
H2h
71%
42%
Goals
58%
40%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.03.2026
Bahia vs Vitoria
1 — 1
07.03.2026
Bahia vs Vitoria
2 — 1
25.01.2026
Vitoria vs Bahia
0 — 1
16.10.2025
Vitoria vs Bahia
2 — 1
18.05.2025
Bahia vs Vitoria
2 — 1
23.03.2025
Vitoria vs Bahia
1 — 1
16.03.2025
Bahia vs Vitoria
2 — 0
01.02.2025
Bahia vs Vitoria
0 — 0
11.08.2024
Bahia vs Vitoria
2 — 0
21.04.2024
Vitoria vs Bahia
2 — 2

Last Matches

Vitoria
Bahia
16.08.2026
Vitoria vs Botafogo
1 — 0
09.08.2026
Flamengo vs Vitoria
0 — 2
06.08.2026
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
4 — 0
03.08.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria
0 — 2
29.07.2026
Vitoria vs Palmeiras
0 — 4
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Vitoria
Anderson, Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, Nathan Mendes, R. Ramos, Riccieli
Bahia
Ademir, Everton Ribeiro, Leo Vieira

Vitoria has maintained a solid home form recently, winning four of their last five matches at Barradao, while Bahia has struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last five away games. Vitoria's home success is contrasted by their overall league position of 13th, while Bahia sits in 6th place, highlighting the disparity between their home and away performances.

Vitoria's home prowess is evident, with an average of 1.80 goals scored per game and only 1.00 conceded. Conversely, Bahia's away record is less impressive. They have scored an average of 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.60, a statistic that could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this encounter. In recent head-to-head clashes, Bahia has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings against Vitoria. However, the close nature of these games, including a draw, suggests that Vitoria could leverage their home advantage.

Both teams have scored an average of 0.80 goals across their last five matches. Vitoria's defense has been porous, allowing an average of 2.00 goals, which starkly contrasts with Bahia's more robust defense, conceding just 0.40 goals on average. This disparity in defensive stability could be a decisive factor, especially given Vitoria's recent struggles against stronger teams like Flamengo and Palmeiras.

Despite Vitoria's recent struggles, their impressive home form could play a significant role in this match. Bahia's inability to secure victories away from home, combined with Vitoria's scoring ability at Barradao, suggests a tightly contested match. Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction is that Vitoria will manage to secure at least a draw in this encounter. The most probable betting event is Vitoria securing a draw or win, given their strong home record and Bahia's poor away form.

For the main prediction, the market of "1X" is chosen. Vitoria's strong home performance makes them likely to avoid defeat. The rationale for this choice is based on Bahia's inability to capitalize on away games and Vitoria's consistent home success. The Confidence Score for this prediction is 7 out of 10, reflecting the balance between Vitoria's home strength and Bahia's higher league position.

Additional betting events to consider include both teams scoring, considering their similar goal-scoring averages. The probability of over 1.5 total goals is high due to Vitoria's home scoring rate. Bahia's defensive solidity away suggests a draw is possible, while Vitoria's scoring ability at home supports a potential multiple-goal scenario. These predictions are informed by the teams' current statistics and recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
X
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Vitoria vs Bahia
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
24 15 6 3 51
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
23 12 5 6 41
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia ★
24 9 10 5 37
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
23 10 5 8 35
8
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
23 9 6 8 33
9
Corinthians logoCorinthians
23 8 8 7 32
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
23 8 7 8 31
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
22 8 6 8 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria ★
24 8 5 11 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
22 7 6 9 27
14
Santos logoSantos
22 6 7 9 25
15
Gremio logoGremio
23 6 7 10 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol
22 6 5 11 23
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
23 5 7 11 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
22 1 8 13 11
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