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Serie A

Santos vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A 23.08.2026 · 17:30 Estadio Urbano Caldeira Referee: E. Batista
Santos emblem
Santos
D
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
23 Aug · 17:30
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
D
L
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Santos
28%
Draw
23%
Mirassol

Form Comparison

■ Santos ■ Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
50%
Form
50%
56%
Att
44%
61%
Def
39%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
62%
H2h
38%
47%
Goals
53%
56%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.03.2026
Mirassol vs Santos
2 — 2
19.11.2025
Santos vs Mirassol
1 — 1
19.07.2025
Mirassol vs Santos
3 — 0
16.01.2025
Santos vs Mirassol
2 — 1
12.10.2024
Santos vs Mirassol
3 — 2
26.06.2024
Mirassol vs Santos
0 — 0
11.02.2024
Mirassol vs Santos
2 — 2
14.01.2023
Santos vs Mirassol
2 — 1
17.02.2022
Mirassol vs Santos
3 — 2
07.03.2020
Santos vs Mirassol
3 — 1

Last Matches

Santos
Mirassol
20.08.2026
Macara vs Santos
0 — 0
16.08.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Santos
3 — 0
13.08.2026
Santos vs Macara
2 — 1
09.08.2026
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 2
04.08.2026
Remo vs Santos
1 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Santos
Gabriel Bontempo, Lucas Verissimo, Vinicius Lira
Mirassol
Denilson, Edson Carioca, Elias, G. Cazonatti, Gustavo Silva, Jose Aldo, Negueba

Santos currently sits at 17th place in the league standings, a position that they will be eager to improve upon as they face 15th-placed Mirassol. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Santos’ recent form slightly better, having secured two wins in their last five matches, compared to Mirassol’s single victory in the same stretch. The home side, Santos, has shown resilience at Estadio Urbano Caldeira, winning twice and drawing twice in their last five home fixtures, whereas Mirassol has found it tough on the road, failing to win any of their last five away matches.

When comparing key numbers, Santos has averaged 1.60 goals scored at home while conceding 1.40. Mirassol, conversely, has only managed 0.40 goals per game away from home, conceding 1.40 on average. In their head-to-head encounters, the scales are slightly tipped in favor of Santos, who have won two out of the last five meetings, with Mirassol claiming one win and two matches ending in draws. Both teams have managed to score in four out of the last five encounters, highlighting the potential for both to find the net in this upcoming clash.

For this match, the prediction leans towards a closely contested fixture with both teams having the capability to score. Given Santos' stronger home form and Mirassol's difficulties on the road, the main betting event is for both teams to score. The rationale for this prediction is based on their head-to-head data, which shows both teams scoring in four of their last five meetings, and Santos’ ability to find the net at home. A Confidence Score of 7 reflects the likelihood of this scenario based on past encounters and current form. Additional predictions include a win for Santos, given their superior home form, with an estimated 60% probability. A draw also appears probable at 35%, considering the historical head-to-head results. The chances of Mirassol scoring less than 1.5 goals are high, with a 75% probability, due to their poor away scoring record. Lastly, a low-scoring match under 3.0 goals has a 70% probability, given both teams' average goal records in recent games.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Win 1
60%
X
35%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Santos vs Mirassol
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
24 15 6 3 51
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
23 12 5 6 41
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia
24 9 10 5 37
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
23 10 5 8 35
8
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
23 9 6 8 33
9
Corinthians logoCorinthians
23 8 8 7 32
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
23 8 7 8 31
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
22 8 6 8 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
24 8 5 11 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
22 7 6 9 27
14
Santos logoSantos ★
22 6 7 9 25
15
Gremio logoGremio
23 6 7 10 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
22 6 5 11 23
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
23 5 7 11 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
22 1 8 13 11
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