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Serie A

Sao Paulo VS Atletico-MG: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 05.09.2026 · 17:30 Estadio Do MorumBIS Referee: B. Machado
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
W
L
W
D
D
Full Time
2 – 0
HT 0:0
05 Sep · 17:30
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
W
D
D
D

Match Stats

Sao Paulo 2:0 Atletico-MG
51%
Ball Possession
49%
23
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Target
0
10
Shots off Target
3
8
Blocked Shots
1
17
Shots Inside Box
2
6
Shots Outside Box
2
16
Corners
2
2
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
526
Total Passes
521
450
Accurate Passes
429

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
45'
Reinier Jesus CarvalhoSubstitution · Mateo Cassierra
45'
Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteSubstitution · Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos
45'
Kevin CastañoSubstitution · Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
DanielzinhoSubstitution · Pablo Maia
63'
Gustavo SantanaSubstitution · Jonathan Calleri
63'
WendellSubstitution · Iago Amaral Borduchi
64'
LucianoGoal · Artur Victor Guimarães
67'
Iago Amaral BorduchiGoal · Lucas Ramon
69'
70'
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da CostaSubstitution · Alan Minda
Artur Victor GuimarãesSubstitution · Djhordney Ferreira
81'
81'
Victor Hugo Gomes SilvaSubstitution · Gustavo Scarpa
LucianoSubstitution · Aldemir Ferreira
85'
Djhordney FerreiraYellow Card
90+1'
90+4'
Tomás CuelloYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Sao Paulo
29%
Draw
26%
Atletico-MG

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
31%
Form
69%
36%
Att
64%
40%
Def
60%
59%
Poisson distribution
41%
50%
H2h
50%
57%
Goals
43%
46%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.03.2026
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
24.08.2025
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
06.04.2025
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
23.11.2024
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
12.09.2024
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
28.08.2024
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
0 — 1
11.07.2024
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
02.12.2023
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
06.08.2023
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
0 — 2
01.11.2022
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
29.08.2026
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
2 — 1
23.08.2026
Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
18.08.2026
Sao Paulo vs Bolívar
3 — 1
15.08.2026
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba
1 — 1
11.08.2026
Bolívar vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
D. Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, Victor Sa
Atletico-MG
Igor Gomes, Indio, L. Duarte, Lyanco, Patrick Silva, Ruan Tressoldi

Sao Paulo comes into this clash with Atletico-MG having scored an average of 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has been equally porous, conceding 1.20 goals on average. Atletico-MG, on the other hand, has displayed more defensive solidity, conceding only 0.60 goals per game while scoring 1.40 goals on average over the same period. This contrast in recent form sets up an intriguing encounter as both teams look to improve their standings in the Serie A table.

Form and Context

Sao Paulo's recent form is a mixed bag, with their last five matches yielding two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their home form has been relatively stable with two wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring 1.40 goals per game while conceding only 0.80. This could give them a slight edge at the Estadio Do MorumBIS. In contrast, Atletico-MG has been unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws. Their away performances have been impressive, with two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 1.00 goals and conceding 0.60, showing their ability to perform under pressure on the road.

Key Numbers

When comparing the two sides, Atletico-MG has been more prolific in front of goal recently, scoring 1.40 goals per game compared to Sao Paulo's 1.20. Defensively, Atletico-MG has been superior, conceding only 0.60 goals per match over their last five games, while Sao Paulo has let in double that amount. The head-to-head record between these teams is evenly matched with one win each and three draws in their last five encounters. This suggests that the match could be tightly contested, with neither side having a distinct historical edge.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, a draw seems the most likely outcome for this encounter. Both teams have shown strengths and weaknesses that could cancel each other out. Sao Paulo's decent home form and Atletico-MG's robust away performances point towards a stalemate. With Atletico-MG's strong defense and Sao Paulo's ability to score at home, the most probable betting event is a draw, with a confidence score of 7 out of 10. Additionally, expect the game to see both teams scoring, as Sao Paulo has shown a tendency to find the net at home, and Atletico-MG has been consistent away from home. There is also the potential for a low-scoring affair given Atletico-MG's defensive strength and Sao Paulo's home defense record.

Overall, the prediction leans towards a balanced match with a slight tilt towards defensive stability over attacking prowess.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
X2
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
28 18 6 4 60
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
28 16 9 3 57
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 49
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
28 13 9 6 48
5
Bahia logoBahia
28 12 10 6 46
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
28 13 6 9 45
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
27 11 7 9 40
8
Santos logoSantos
27 10 8 9 38
9
Coritiba logoCoritiba
28 10 8 10 38
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 36
11
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
27 10 6 11 36
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
28 9 8 11 35
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
28 9 6 13 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
28 8 8 12 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
28 8 8 12 32
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 31
17
Gremio logoGremio
28 7 8 13 29
18
Internacional logoInternacional
28 6 10 12 28
19
Remo logoRemo
28 5 8 15 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 18
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