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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A 23.07.2026 · 00:30 Estadio Do MorumBIS Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
W
D
D
L
vs
– : –
23 Jul · 00:30
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
L
L
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
48%
Sao Paulo
29%
Draw
23%
Atletico Paranaense

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
20%
Form
80%
60%
Att
40%
25%
Def
75%
74%
Poisson distribution
26%
71%
H2h
29%
54%
Goals
46%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
06.08.2025
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
31.07.2025
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
10.11.2024
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
04.07.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
29.10.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
21.06.2023
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
31.07.2022
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
10.04.2022
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
4 — 0
25.11.2021
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 0
07.08.2021
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
31.05.2026
Remo vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
26.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Boston River
2 — 0
23.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
1 — 1
20.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios
1 — 1
16.05.2026
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
Cauly, Lucas Moura, Luciano, Maik, Robert Arboleda, Sabino
Atletico Paranaense
Dantas, Mycael

As Serie A continues to unfold, Sao Paulo hosts Atletico Paranaense at the Estadio Do MorumBIS in what promises to be an engaging clash. Both teams are eager to secure points, with Sao Paulo aiming to climb higher from their current eighth position and Atletico Paranaense looking to solidify their stance in the top four. This match offers a significant opportunity for both sides to showcase their strengths and address recent inconsistencies.

Sao Paulo's Resilience at Home

Sao Paulo comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances, but their resilience at home has been noteworthy. Unbeaten in their last five home matches, with two wins and three draws, Sao Paulo has managed to maintain a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.80 goals per game at home. They have also shown proficiency in finding the net, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per home game. Their recent home victory against Boston River, a 2-0 triumph, highlighted their capability to control games. Despite their struggles on the road, where they have failed to win in their last five away matches, Sao Paulo's home form gives them a foundation to build upon. Notably, they face no suspensions or injuries, allowing them to field their strongest team.

Atletico Paranaense's Away Challenges

Atletico Paranaense has experienced a rollercoaster of results, particularly in away games. While they have managed two away victories in their last five outings, their inconsistency is apparent, as evidenced by three losses. Their recent 2-1 loss to RB Bragantino highlighted defensive vulnerabilities away from home. Despite these setbacks, Atletico Paranaense has shown potential with a disciplined approach, averaging one goal conceded per away game. Their ability to score on the road, however, remains a concern, with an average of only 0.60 goals per away match. Like Sao Paulo, they have no players sidelined through injury or suspension, allowing them to field a full-strength lineup. Their previous encounters with Sao Paulo have been evenly matched, with both teams securing victories and a draw in their last five meetings.

Prediction for a Balanced Encounter

Given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head history, this match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. Sao Paulo's solid home performance paired with Atletico Paranaense's fluctuating away form suggests a close contest. Both teams have shown similar scoring and conceding patterns, averaging one goal scored and one conceded over their last five matches. The prediction leans towards a draw, with possible goals from both sides, reflecting their balanced head-to-head results and current form. A 1-1 draw appears likely, given Sao Paulo's home advantage and Atletico Paranaense's ability to find the net away.

The most likely betting event is "1X" due to Sao Paulo's unbeaten home run and Atletico Paranaense's inconsistent away results. Confidence in this outcome is bolstered by Sao Paulo's defensive solidity at home and their head-to-head advantage over Atletico Paranaense.

With both teams striving for improvement, spectators can expect an engaging battle as Sao Paulo and Atletico Paranaense face off, each hoping to capitalize on the other's weaknesses.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
X
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
19 10 3 6 33
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
19 9 5 5 32
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Bahia logoBahia
19 8 6 5 30
7
Corinthians logoCorinthians
19 7 6 6 27
8
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
19 7 6 6 27
9
Botafogo logoBotafogo
19 7 5 7 26
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
19 7 4 8 25
14
Internacional logoInternacional
19 5 6 8 21
15
Santos logoSantos
19 5 6 8 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
19 5 5 9 20
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
18 5 4 9 19
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
19 1 6 12 9
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