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Premier League

Aston Villa VS Nottingham Forest: Final Score & Prediction

Premier League 12.09.2026 · 10:00 Villa Park Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Aston Villa emblem
Aston Villa
W
D
L
L
L
Full Time
1 – 2
HT 0:0
12 Sep · 10:00
Nottingham Forest emblem
Nottingham Forest
D
D
L
L
W

Match Stats

Aston Villa 1:2 Nottingham Forest
53%
Ball Possession
47%
7
Total Shots
22
5
Shots on Target
7
1
Shots off Target
12
1
Blocked Shots
3
6
Shots Inside Box
14
1
Shots Outside Box
8
6
Corners
1
0
Offsides
4
11
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
412
Total Passes
358
341
Accurate Passes
308

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
⇆ Pau TorresSubstitution · Tyrone Mings
25'
43'
Dan NdoyeYellow Card
Nicolas JacksonYellow Card
45'
⇆ Nicolas JacksonSubstitution · Tammy Abraham
45'
⇆ George HemmingsSubstitution · Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
45'
45+3'
Murillo SantiagoYellow Card
46'
Liam DelapGoal · Murillo Santiago ⚽
56'
Xaver SchlagerYellow Card
⇆ Emiliano BuendíaSubstitution · Ibrahim Mbaye
63'
⇆ Ross BarkleySubstitution · Johan Manzambi
63'
⚽ Alysson Edward Franco da RochaGoal · John McGinn
74'
75'
Liam DelapYellow Card
75'
Dan NdoyeSubstitution · Igor Jesus ⇆
80'
James McateeYellow Card
82'
James McateeSubstitution · Ibrahim Sangaré ⇆
88'
Igor JesusGoal · Morgan Gibbs-White ⚽
90+1'
Liam DelapSubstitution · Chris Wood ⇆
Tyrone MingsYellow Card
90+5'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Aston Villa
29%
Draw
30%
Nottingham Forest

Form Comparison

■ Aston Villa ■ Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
33%
Form
67%
0%
Att
100%
38%
Def
63%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
71%
H2h
29%
71%
Goals
29%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.05.2026
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
4 — 0
30.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 0
12.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 1
03.01.2026
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
3 — 1
05.04.2025
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
2 — 1
14.12.2024
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
2 — 1
24.02.2024
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
4 — 2
05.11.2023
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
2 — 0
08.04.2023
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
2 — 0
10.10.2022
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 1

Last Matches

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
08.09.2026
Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa
3 — 2
05.09.2026
Hull City vs Aston Villa
0 — 0
31.08.2026
Aston Villa vs Arsenal
0 — 1
23.08.2026
Brighton vs Aston Villa
0 — 4
15.08.2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Aston Villa
A. Onana, B. Madjo, J. Manzambi, L. Goretzka
Joao Gomes
Nottingham Forest
N. Savona

Aston Villa's recent form presents a stark challenge as they prepare to face Nottingham Forest at Villa Park. Aston Villa have lost all of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per game while scoring just 0.60. Their struggles are further highlighted by their home record, where they have yet to secure a win in their last three outings, averaging 2.33 goals conceded per match. Nottingham Forest, positioned 15th in the league, have had a mixed run with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five games, scoring and conceding an average of 1.20 goals per match.

Aston Villa's form, marked by a sequence of defeats including a recent 0-1 loss to Arsenal, contrasts sharply with Nottingham Forest's ability to hold Liverpool to a 2-2 draw away from home. Forest's away form, however, reveals vulnerabilities, with only one win in their last five away matches. Comparatively, Villa's home performance has been lackluster, failing to capitalize on their opportunities and suffering defensively. Nottingham Forest's recent victory against Bayer Leverkusen and a draw against Liverpool suggest a capacity for resilience that could trouble Villa.

Key statistics underline the differences between the teams. Nottingham Forest have managed to score multiple goals in three of their last five matches, including a 2-0 home victory against Stade Brestois 29. Aston Villa, on the other hand, have scored only once at home in their last three matches. Head-to-head encounters favor Aston Villa, who have emerged victorious in three of their last five meetings, including a dominant 4-0 win. However, Nottingham Forest have shown they can compete, securing a 1-0 win and a draw in recent encounters. These contrasting results reflect the unpredictable nature of the matchup.

The prediction for this encounter is that Nottingham Forest will avoid defeat at Villa Park. Given Villa's current struggles and Forest's ability to perform under pressure, the "X2" market offers strong value. Forest's recent form suggests they can at least secure a draw, if not a victory, as Villa continue to misfire offensively and leak goals defensively. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, reflecting the comparative form and head-to-head results. Additional betting opportunities include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a 70% probability, considering both teams' goal-scoring and conceding trends. "1X" is a viable option with a 60% probability, given Villa's historical edge. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" at 65% probability reflects Forest's scoring ability, and "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" with a 60% probability aligns with Villa's low scoring rate. These predictions provide a spectrum of betting angles for what promises to be a competitive encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
1X
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
6 6 0 0 18
2
Arsenal logoArsenal
6 5 0 1 15
3
Brighton logoBrighton
6 4 1 1 13
4
Brentford logoBrentford
6 2 4 0 10
5
Everton logoEverton
6 2 4 0 10
6
Chelsea logoChelsea
6 3 1 2 10
7
Leeds logoLeeds
6 2 3 1 9
8
Hull City logoHull City
6 2 3 1 9
9
Liverpool logoLiverpool
6 2 3 1 9
10
Ipswich logoIpswich
6 3 0 3 9
11
Newcastle logoNewcastle
6 2 2 2 8
12
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
6 2 1 3 7
13
Manchester United logoManchester United
6 1 3 2 6
14
Coventry logoCoventry
6 2 0 4 6
15
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest ★
6 1 2 3 5
16
Aston Villa logoAston Villa ★
6 1 2 3 5
17
Sunderland logoSunderland
6 1 1 4 4
18
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
6 0 3 3 3
19
Tottenham logoTottenham
6 0 3 3 3
20
Fulham logoFulham
6 0 2 4 2
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