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Premier League

Leeds VS Newcastle: Final Score & Prediction

Premier League 14.09.2026 · 15:00 Elland Road Referee: M. Salisbury
Leeds emblem
Leeds
L
D
D
W
W
Full Time
4 – 1
HT 3:0
14 Sep · 15:00
Newcastle emblem
Newcastle
W
D
W
W
D

Match Stats

Leeds 4:1 Newcastle
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
2
5
Blocked Shots
0
10
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Shots Outside Box
3
5
Corners
5
2
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
429
Total Passes
418
356
Accurate Passes
343

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
19'
Nico GonzálezSubstitution · Sean Steur ⇆
⚽ Lewis MileyOwn Goal
32'
⚽ Jayden BogleGoal · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
34'
Dominic Calvert-LewinYellow Card
44'
⚽ Dominic Calvert-LewinGoal · Tarik Muharemovic
45+1'
54'
Jacob MurphyYellow Card
57'
Jacob MurphySubstitution · Bazoumana Touré ⇆
57'
Matias Fernandez-PardoSubstitution · Joe Willock ⇆
58'
Amar DedićSubstitution · Valentino Livramento ⇆
⚽ Noah OkaforGoal
59'
⇆ Noah OkaforSubstitution · Harry Wilson
72'
⇆ Ao TanakaSubstitution · Brenden Aaronson
72'
⇆ Gabriel GudmundssonSubstitution · Melvin Bard
72'
⇆ Dominic Calvert-LewinSubstitution · Lukas Nmecha
78'
80'
Lewis MileySubstitution · Aladji Bamba ⇆
⇆ Jayden BogleSubstitution · Daniel James
83'
⇆ Anton StachSubstitution · Sean Longstaff
88'
90'
Bazoumana TouréGoal ⚽
90+1'
Valentino LivramentoYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Leeds
28%
Draw
31%
Newcastle

Form Comparison

■ Leeds ■ Newcastle
Leeds
Newcastle
50%
Form
50%
33%
Att
67%
67%
Def
33%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
25%
H2h
75%
42%
Goals
58%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.01.2026
Newcastle vs Leeds
4 — 3
30.08.2025
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 0
13.05.2023
Leeds vs Newcastle
2 — 2
31.12.2022
Newcastle vs Leeds
0 — 0
22.01.2022
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 1
17.09.2021
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 1
26.01.2021
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 2
16.12.2020
Leeds vs Newcastle
5 — 2
14.04.2017
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 1
20.11.2016
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 2

Last Matches

Leeds
Newcastle
09.09.2026
Chelsea vs Leeds
3 — 6
05.09.2026
Brighton vs Leeds
1 — 1
30.08.2026
Leeds vs Brentford
1 — 1
25.08.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
2 — 0
22.08.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Leeds
I. Gruev, J. Rodon, M. Joseph
Newcastle
A. Dedic, D. Burn, E. Jaouen, Joelinton, W. Osula

Leeds United enter this fixture with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals per game in their last five matches. This sets the groundwork for an intriguing Premier League clash at Elland Road against Newcastle United, who have an average of 2.00 goals scored per game over the same period. Leeds' ability to keep clean sheets has been pivotal in their recent unbeaten run, whereas Newcastle's attacking prowess has been their standout feature.

Both teams are closely matched in terms of recent form and league standings, with Newcastle sitting in 7th place and Leeds right behind them in 8th. Leeds have been particularly impressive at home, winning two and drawing one of their last three matches at Elland Road, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.33. Comparatively, Newcastle have also shown resilience away from home, with two wins and a draw in their last four away games, scoring 1.50 goals on average but conceding 1.50 as well. This contrast in defensive solidity could be crucial in determining the outcome of this encounter.

Statistically, Newcastle have the edge in head-to-head matchups, having won two of their last five encounters against Leeds, with the other three ending in draws. However, Leeds' recent form, particularly at home, suggests they are well-prepared to challenge Newcastle's offense. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, both teams will field their strongest possible lineups, adding further intensity to this matchup.

The key numbers to watch revolve around goals scored and conceded. Leeds have been effective in front of goal, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, compared to Newcastle's 2.00. Defensively, Leeds hold the advantage, allowing just 0.40 goals per game compared to Newcastle's 1.40. This suggests a potential for a tight contest, with Leeds' strong defense likely to play a significant role in the final outcome. At home, Leeds' defensive numbers are even more impressive, which could limit Newcastle's attacking opportunities.

In terms of head-to-head records, Newcastle have found more success, but Leeds' recent home performance will give them confidence. The previous encounter ended in a 4-3 victory for Newcastle, highlighting both teams' capability to score, but Leeds' current defensive form suggests a different narrative could unfold this time.

For the prediction, a draw seems the most plausible outcome given the statistics and recent performances. Both teams have shown the ability to score and defend effectively, making a closely contested match likely. The prediction is for a draw, driven by Leeds' solid home form and Newcastle's balanced attack and defense. The key betting event predicted is "X" with a confidence score of 7, supported by the statistical trend of tight encounters and Leeds' defensive resilience at home. Additional predictions include goals from both sides, as both teams have shown consistent scoring form.

Given the data, expect both teams to look to capitalize on their strengths, with Leeds aiming to maintain their defensive record and Newcastle leveraging their offensive capabilities. A draw remains a strong possibility, reflecting the competitive balance between the two sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 2
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
6 6 0 0 18
2
Arsenal logoArsenal
6 5 0 1 15
3
Brighton logoBrighton
6 4 1 1 13
4
Brentford logoBrentford
6 2 4 0 10
5
Everton logoEverton
6 2 4 0 10
6
Chelsea logoChelsea
6 3 1 2 10
7
Leeds logoLeeds ★
6 2 3 1 9
8
Hull City logoHull City
6 2 3 1 9
9
Liverpool logoLiverpool
6 2 3 1 9
10
Ipswich logoIpswich
6 3 0 3 9
11
Newcastle logoNewcastle ★
6 2 2 2 8
12
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
6 2 1 3 7
13
Manchester United logoManchester United
6 1 3 2 6
14
Coventry logoCoventry
6 2 0 4 6
15
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5
16
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
6 1 2 3 5
17
Sunderland logoSunderland
6 1 1 4 4
18
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
6 0 3 3 3
19
Tottenham logoTottenham
6 0 3 3 3
20
Fulham logoFulham
6 0 2 4 2
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