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Premier League

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 14.09.2026 · 15:00 Elland Road Referee: M. Salisbury
Leeds emblem
Leeds
L
D
D
W
W
vs
– : –
14 Sep · 15:00
Newcastle emblem
Newcastle
W
D
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
39%
Leeds
28%
Draw
33%
Newcastle

Form Comparison

■ Leeds ■ Newcastle
Leeds
Newcastle
50%
Form
50%
33%
Att
67%
67%
Def
33%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
25%
H2h
75%
42%
Goals
58%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.01.2026
Newcastle vs Leeds
4 — 3
30.08.2025
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 0
13.05.2023
Leeds vs Newcastle
2 — 2
31.12.2022
Newcastle vs Leeds
0 — 0
22.01.2022
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 1
17.09.2021
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 1
26.01.2021
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 2
16.12.2020
Leeds vs Newcastle
5 — 2
14.04.2017
Newcastle vs Leeds
1 — 1
20.11.2016
Leeds vs Newcastle
0 — 2

Last Matches

Leeds
Newcastle
09.09.2026
Chelsea vs Leeds
3 — 6
05.09.2026
Brighton vs Leeds
1 — 1
30.08.2026
Leeds vs Brentford
1 — 1
25.08.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
2 — 0
22.08.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Leeds United enter this fixture with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals per game in their last five matches. This sets the groundwork for an intriguing Premier League clash at Elland Road against Newcastle United, who have an average of 2.00 goals scored per game over the same period. Leeds' ability to keep clean sheets has been pivotal in their recent unbeaten run, whereas Newcastle's attacking prowess has been their standout feature.

Both teams are closely matched in terms of recent form and league standings, with Newcastle sitting in 7th place and Leeds right behind them in 8th. Leeds have been particularly impressive at home, winning two and drawing one of their last three matches at Elland Road, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.33. Comparatively, Newcastle have also shown resilience away from home, with two wins and a draw in their last four away games, scoring 1.50 goals on average but conceding 1.50 as well. This contrast in defensive solidity could be crucial in determining the outcome of this encounter.

Statistically, Newcastle have the edge in head-to-head matchups, having won two of their last five encounters against Leeds, with the other three ending in draws. However, Leeds' recent form, particularly at home, suggests they are well-prepared to challenge Newcastle's offense. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, both teams will field their strongest possible lineups, adding further intensity to this matchup.

The key numbers to watch revolve around goals scored and conceded. Leeds have been effective in front of goal, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, compared to Newcastle's 2.00. Defensively, Leeds hold the advantage, allowing just 0.40 goals per game compared to Newcastle's 1.40. This suggests a potential for a tight contest, with Leeds' strong defense likely to play a significant role in the final outcome. At home, Leeds' defensive numbers are even more impressive, which could limit Newcastle's attacking opportunities.

In terms of head-to-head records, Newcastle have found more success, but Leeds' recent home performance will give them confidence. The previous encounter ended in a 4-3 victory for Newcastle, highlighting both teams' capability to score, but Leeds' current defensive form suggests a different narrative could unfold this time.

For the prediction, a draw seems the most plausible outcome given the statistics and recent performances. Both teams have shown the ability to score and defend effectively, making a closely contested match likely. The prediction is for a draw, driven by Leeds' solid home form and Newcastle's balanced attack and defense. The key betting event predicted is "X" with a confidence score of 7, supported by the statistical trend of tight encounters and Leeds' defensive resilience at home. Additional predictions include goals from both sides, as both teams have shown consistent scoring form.

Given the data, expect both teams to look to capitalize on their strengths, with Leeds aiming to maintain their defensive record and Newcastle leveraging their offensive capabilities. A draw remains a strong possibility, reflecting the competitive balance between the two sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 2
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Leeds vs Newcastle
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
3 3 0 0 9
2
Arsenal logoArsenal
3 3 0 0 9
3
Hull City logoHull City
3 2 1 0 7
4
Chelsea logoChelsea
3 2 0 1 6
5
Brentford logoBrentford
3 1 2 0 5
6
Liverpool logoLiverpool
3 1 2 0 5
7
Newcastle logoNewcastle ★
3 1 2 0 5
8
Everton logoEverton
3 1 2 0 5
9
Leeds logoLeeds ★
3 1 2 0 5
10
Brighton logoBrighton
3 1 1 1 4
11
Manchester United logoManchester United
3 1 1 1 4
12
Sunderland logoSunderland
3 1 1 1 4
13
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
3 1 0 2 3
14
Ipswich logoIpswich
3 1 0 2 3
15
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
3 0 2 1 2
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2
17
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
3 0 1 2 1
18
Tottenham logoTottenham
3 0 1 2 1
19
Fulham logoFulham
3 0 0 3 0
20
Coventry logoCoventry
3 0 0 3 0
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